Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology

Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology


All scores courtesy of D3Hoops.com
See also Matt Snyder's page
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Pool C projections page
Mock regional rankings page
Top 25 teams
Teams by conference
Upcoming big games
Daily update
Regional details pages: NE EA AT MA SO GL CE WE

Several of the 20 Pool C berths will go to strong conference leaders
when "bid thieves" unexpectedly win conference tournaments.

Locks & near-locks
(NWC) Whitman (24-1, SOS 0.554, 4-1 vRRO)
(ARC) Nebraska_Wesleyan (24-1, SOS 0.570, 1-1 vRRO)
(CCIW) Augustana (23-2, SOS 0.537, 7-2 vRRO)
(ODAC) Randolph-Macon (23-2, SOS 0.525, 4-2 vRRO)
(CAC) Christopher_Newport (22-3, SOS 0.543, 5-3 vRRO)
(NESCAC) Hamilton (22-3, SOS 0.553, 4-3 vRRO)
(out) Amherst (21-4, SOS 0.560, 6-3 vRRO)
(CC) Swarthmore (22-3, SOS 0.528, 4-1 vRRO)
(NEWMAC) MIT (22-3, SOS 0.551, 1-0 vRRO)
(CCC) Nichols (23-2, SOS 0.517, 3-2 vRRO)
(out) Williams (20-5, SOS 0.594, 5-4 vRRO)
(WIAC) UW-Oshkosh (23-2, SOS 0.540, 3-2 vRRO)
(out) Loras (20-5, SOS 0.577, 3-1 vRRO)
(MIAC) St._Thomas (22-3, SOS 0.526, 3-2 vRRO)
(NCAC) Wooster (21-4, SOS 0.532, 5-3 vRRO)
(out) Marietta (20-5, SOS 0.549, 4-4 vRRO)
(out) Middlebury (17-7, SOS 0.599, 4-5 vRRO)
(out) Rowan (18-6, SOS 0.548, 7-3 vRRO)

Strong contenders
(out) Rochester (20-4, SOS 0.528, 5-1 vRRO)
(UAA) Emory (19-5, SOS 0.558, 1-4 vRRO)
(out) St._John's (21-4, SOS 0.522, 4-1 vRRO)
(out) York_(Pa.) (19-6, SOS 0.548, 5-4 vRRO)
(OAC) Capital (19-6, SOS 0.541, 4-3 vRRO)
(NJAC) New_Jersey_City (19-6, SOS 0.543, 5-5 vRRO)
(out) Wittenberg (19-5, SOS 0.526, 5-4 vRRO)
(out) Plattsburgh_State (19-5, SOS 0.530, 5-3 vRRO)
(out) Wheaton_(Ill.) (18-7, SOS 0.567, 4-4 vRRO)
(SCIAC) Pomona-Pitzer (19-2, SOS 0.498, 1-0 vRRO)

Bubble-in
(SAA) Centre (19-4, SOS 0.532, 1-1 vRRO)
(LEC) Keene_State (18-7, SOS 0.567, 2-4 vRRO)
(MACC) Arcadia (20-5, SOS 0.527, 1-2 vRRO)
(C#13) Eastern_Connecticut (19-6, SOS 0.544, 2-4 vRRO)
(SUNYAC) Oswego_State (20-5, SOS 0.526, 4-3 vRRO)
(C#14) Salisbury (18-7, SOS 0.566, 4-6 vRRO)
(C#15) Gordon (21-4, SOS 0.508, 2-2 vRRO)
(AMCC) La_Roche (23-2, SOS 0.500, 0-1 vRRO)

Bubble-out
(out via "bid thief") Wabash (18-5, SOS 0.524, 3-4 vRRO)
(out via "bid thief") North_Central_(Ill.) (20-5, SOS 0.520, 3-3 vRRO)
(LAND) Drew (20-5, SOS 0.518, 2-2 vRRO)
(out via "bid thief") Scranton (20-5, SOS 0.509, 2-0 vRRO)
(out via "bid thief") Ramapo (18-8, SOS 0.562, 8-4 vRRO)
(out via "bid thief") Mary_Hardin-Baylor (20-5, SOS 0.515, 0-0 vRRO)
(out) Mount_Union (20-5, SOS 0.507, 4-2 vRRO)

Fringe contenders
(ASC) Texas-Dallas (20-4, SOS 0.500, 1-1 vRRO)
(out) Whitworth (20-5, SOS 0.523, 1-2 vRRO)
(out) Washington_and_Lee (18-7, SOS 0.534, 4-3 vRRO)
(out) Wilmington (17-7, SOS 0.536, 3-5 vRRO)
(out) Lynchburg (20-5, SOS 0.497, 3-4 vRRO)
(out) Wartburg (15-7, SOS 0.570, 1-4 vRRO)

Longshots
(out) Guilford (18-8, SOS 0.533, 3-4 vRRO)
(out) Mary_Washington (17-8, SOS 0.551, 4-6 vRRO)
(out) Mass-Dartmouth (18-7, SOS 0.523, 2-3 vRRO)
(out) Bethel (18-7, SOS 0.520, 2-5 vRRO)
(out) UW-Whitewater (17-8, SOS 0.568, 2-6 vRRO)
(out) Illinois_Wesleyan (17-8, SOS 0.560, 2-7 vRRO)

Other projected Pool A/B teams
(E8) Alfred (18-4, SOS 0.475, 2-1 vRRO)
(LL) Skidmore (17-6, SOS 0.517, 2-2 vRRO)
(MACF) DeSales (19-5, SOS 0.500, 0-2 vRRO)
(NEAC) Morrisville_State (20-4, SOS 0.473, 0-1 vRRO)
(B) Gwynedd_Mercy (17-8, SOS 0.490, 0-2 vRRO)
(CSAC) Cairn (17-8, SOS 0.391, 0-0 vRRO)
(CUNYAC) Baruch (20-5, SOS 0.453, 0-1 vRRO)
(GNAC) Albertus_Magnus (16-7, SOS 0.512, 0-4 vRRO)
(HCAC) Hanover (17-6, SOS 0.474, 0-1 vRRO)
(MASCAC) Salem_State (16-9, SOS 0.524, 0-4 vRRO)
(MIAA) Trine (17-7, SOS 0.482, 0-2 vRRO)
(MWC) St._Norbert (18-7, SOS 0.504, 0-2 vRRO)
(NAC) Maine-Farmington (14-9, SOS 0.467, 0-2 vRRO)
(NACC) MSOE (21-4, SOS 0.460, 0-0 vRRO)
(NECC) New_England_College (20-3, SOS 0.431, 0-1 vRRO)
(PAC) St._Vincent (19-4, SOS 0.443, 0-1 vRRO)
(SCAC) Texas_Lutheran (16-7, SOS 0.498, 0-2 vRRO)
(SKY) Yeshiva (18-6, SOS 0.481, 1-3 vRRO)
(SLIAC) Webster (18-5, SOS 0.469, 0-1 vRRO)
(UMAC) Northwestern_(Minn.) (19-6, SOS 0.454, 0-0 vRRO)
(USAC) Maryville_(Tenn.) (14-7, SOS 0.493, 0-1 vRRO)