Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology

Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology


All scores courtesy of D3Hoops.com
See also Matt Snyder's page
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Last update: 24-Feb-2019 7:48PM

Pool C projections page
Mock regional rankings
Teams by conference
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Regional details pages: NE EA AT MA SO GL CE WE

These ratings/rankings combine two methods
* Elo (no victory margins, recent games weighted more)
* Random walk (uses margins, all games weighted equally)
An average D3H team is rated 100

Current Top 25 teams
1) Nebraska_Wesleyan (26-1, 15-1 ARC, SOS 0.574, 2-1 vRRO) 121.9
2) Whitman (26-1, 16-0 NWC, SOS 0.563, 5-1 vRRO) 121.2
3) Augustana (24-3, 15-1 CCIW, SOS 0.547, 8-3 vRRO) 119.1
4) St._John's (23-4, 17-3 MIAC, SOS 0.534, 4-2 vRRO) 118.7
5) UW-Oshkosh (23-3, 13-1 WIAC, SOS 0.542, 3-3 vRRO) 118.1
6) Randolph-Macon (25-3, 15-1 ODAC, SOS 0.539, 6-3 vRRO) 117.3
7) Christopher_Newport (25-3, 12-2 CAC, SOS 0.548, 7-3 vRRO) 117.2
8) Amherst (23-4, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.578, 8-3 vRRO) 116.9
9) Swarthmore (24-3, 15-3 CC, SOS 0.536, 5-1 vRRO) 115.8
10) UW-Stevens_Point (18-9, 8-6 WIAC, SOS 0.590, 2-6 vRRO) 114.9
11) Wittenberg (22-5, 14-4 NCAC, SOS 0.545, 6-3 vRRO) 114.7
12) St._Thomas (22-4, 18-2 MIAC, SOS 0.532, 4-1 vRRO) 114.6
13) Pomona-Pitzer (22-2, 15-1 SCIAC, SOS 0.510, 1-0 vRRO) 114.5
14) North_Central_(Ill.) (22-5, 12-4 CCIW, SOS 0.544, 5-3 vRRO) 114.5
15) Wooster (23-5, 16-2 NCAC, SOS 0.543, 3-4 vRRO) 113.3
16) Emory (20-5, 11-3 UAA, SOS 0.566, 2-4 vRRO) 113.2
17) MIT (22-4, 12-2 NEWMAC, SOS 0.555, 1-0 vRRO) 112.9
18) Hamilton (23-4, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.559, 4-4 vRRO) 112.8
19) Loras (21-6, 12-4 ARC, SOS 0.587, 2-2 vRRO) 112.8
20) UW-Platteville (17-10, 8-6 WIAC, SOS 0.593, 6-5 vRRO) 112.5
21) Baldwin_Wallace (20-8, 11-7 OAC, SOS 0.551, 4-8 vRRO) 112.3
22) Williams (20-6, 6-4 NESCAC, SOS 0.600, 6-5 vRRO) 112.3
23) Texas-Dallas (23-4, 13-3 ASC, SOS 0.504, 1-1 vRRO) 112.1
24) Guilford (21-7, 12-4 ODAC, SOS 0.546, 5-4 vRRO) 112.1
25) Marietta (20-6, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.550, 6-4 vRRO) 112.1

26) Nichols (25-2, 15-1 CCC, SOS 0.525, 4-2 vRRO) 111.7
27) Mount_Union (22-6, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.512, 5-4 vRRO) 111.3
28) UW-La_Crosse (17-9, 10-4 WIAC, SOS 0.574, 4-2 vRRO) 111.2
29) Illinois_Wesleyan (18-9, 10-6 CCIW, SOS 0.568, 2-8 vRRO) 111.2
30) Capital (20-7, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.546, 6-4 vRRO) 111.2
31) Wheaton_(Ill.) (19-8, 11-5 CCIW, SOS 0.574, 4-5 vRRO) 111.0
32) Whitworth (21-6, 12-4 NWC, SOS 0.544, 1-3 vRRO) 110.9
33) Middlebury (17-7, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.601, 4-5 vRRO) 110.6
34) Rochester (20-5, 10-4 UAA, SOS 0.538, 5-2 vRRO) 110.6
35) Washington_U. (17-8, 10-4 UAA, SOS 0.565, 3-6 vRRO) 110.5
36) York_(Pa.) (21-7, 12-2 CAC, SOS 0.561, 6-4 vRRO) 110.2
37) Wartburg (15-8, 11-5 ARC, SOS 0.567, 1-5 vRRO) 110.2
38) Bethel (19-8, 15-5 MIAC, SOS 0.531, 1-5 vRRO) 110.0
39) Washington_and_Lee (19-8, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.543, 5-5 vRRO) 110.0
40) Rowan (20-6, 13-5 NJAC, SOS 0.560, 9-3 vRRO) 109.6
41) Wabash (19-6, 14-4 NCAC, SOS 0.533, 2-4 vRRO) 109.6
42) La_Roche (24-3, 18-0 AMCC, SOS 0.509, 0-1 vRRO) 109.1
43) Keene_State (20-7, 13-3 LEC, SOS 0.575, 3-4 vRRO) 109.1
44) Roanoke (19-8, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.520, 5-3 vRRO) 109.1
45) Oswego_State (22-5, 15-3 SUNYAC, SOS 0.532, 8-4 vRRO) 109.1
46) New_Jersey_City (20-7, 14-4 NJAC, SOS 0.552, 6-6 vRRO) 109.0
47) Maryville_(Tenn.) (17-7, 14-4 USAC, SOS 0.499, 0-1 vRRO) 108.8
48) Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (16-7, 13-3 SCIAC, SOS 0.509, 0-4 vRRO) 108.8
49) UW-Whitewater (17-9, 6-8 WIAC, SOS 0.570, 2-6 vRRO) 108.8
50) Mary_Hardin-Baylor (21-6, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.521, 0-0 vRRO) 108.6
51) Wilmington (17-8, 13-5 OAC, SOS 0.544, 5-6 vRRO) 108.6
52) Centre (21-5, 12-2 SAA, SOS 0.530, 1-1 vRRO) 108.5
53) Occidental (18-5, 12-4 SCIAC, SOS 0.493, 1-2 vRRO) 108.4
54) Eastern_Connecticut (20-7, 13-3 LEC, SOS 0.557, 2-5 vRRO) 108.4
55) Linfield (15-9, 10-6 NWC, SOS 0.535, 1-6 vRRO) 108.3
56) Alfred (21-4, 14-2 E8, SOS 0.492, 1-2 vRRO) 108.3
57) Augsburg (18-9, 13-7 MIAC, SOS 0.545, 3-6 vRRO) 108.2
58) Penn_State-Behrend (23-4, 14-4 AMCC, SOS 0.475, 1-2 vRRO) 107.9
59) Simpson (15-10, 9-7 ARC, SOS 0.573, 0-5 vRRO) 107.9
60) Johns_Hopkins (18-9, 14-4 CC, SOS 0.572, 2-5 vRRO) 107.8
61) Moravian (19-8, 10-4 LAND, SOS 0.540, 3-5 vRRO) 107.8
62) Arcadia (22-5, 14-2 MACC, SOS 0.530, 1-2 vRRO) 107.7
63) Lynchburg (20-6, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.508, 3-5 vRRO) 107.6
64) Wesleyan (16-9, 6-4 NESCAC, SOS 0.617, 5-7 vRRO) 107.6
65) Plattsburgh_State (20-6, 14-4 SUNYAC, SOS 0.529, 6-6 vRRO) 107.3
66) Mary_Washington (18-9, 9-5 CAC, SOS 0.559, 4-7 vRRO) 107.1
67) Sewanee (18-6, 8-6 SAA, SOS 0.514, 3-1 vRRO) 107.0
68) Colby (17-8, 5-5 NESCAC, SOS 0.562, 3-4 vRRO) 107.0
69) Hanover (19-6, 14-4 HCAC, SOS 0.486, 0-1 vRRO) 106.9
70) DeSales (21-5, 12-2 MACF, SOS 0.508, 0-2 vRRO) 106.8
71) Skidmore (19-6, 15-3 LL, SOS 0.523, 0-2 vRRO) 106.8
72) Drew (21-6, 12-2 LAND, SOS 0.528, 1-1 vRRO) 106.6
73) Albion (19-7, 10-4 MIAA, SOS 0.494, 2-1 vRRO) 106.5
74) Northwestern_(Minn.) (21-6, 15-1 UMAC, SOS 0.464, 0-0 vRRO) 106.5
75) Salisbury (19-8, 8-6 CAC, SOS 0.575, 4-7 vRRO) 106.5
76) Chicago (15-10, 8-6 UAA, SOS 0.568, 4-2 vRRO) 106.4
77) LeTourneau (17-9, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.537, 1-2 vRRO) 106.4
78) Trine (18-8, 11-3 MIAA, SOS 0.492, 0-3 vRRO) 106.3
79) John_Carroll (13-14, 8-10 OAC, SOS 0.575, 4-11 vRRO) 106.3
80) UW-River_Falls (11-12, 4-10 WIAC, SOS 0.553, 1-6 vRRO) 106.2
81) Thomas_More (10-8, 0-0 IND, SOS 0.495, 0-2 vRRO) 106.1
82) WPI (19-9, 8-6 NEWMAC, SOS 0.562, 2-2 vRRO) 106.1
83) St._Norbert (19-8, 15-2 MWC, SOS 0.510, 0-2 vRRO) 106.0
84) Hardin-Simmons (17-11, 10-6 ASC, SOS 0.535, 1-3 vRRO) 106.0
85) Louisiana_College (19-7, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.494, 1-0 vRRO) 105.9
86) SUNY_Oneonta (16-11, 10-8 SUNYAC, SOS 0.525, 4-7 vRRO) 105.9
87) Ramapo (18-9, 11-7 NJAC, SOS 0.569, 8-5 vRRO) 105.8
88) Lake_Forest (17-9, 12-6 MWC, SOS 0.502, 1-3 vRRO) 105.6
89) Scranton (20-6, 9-5 LAND, SOS 0.520, 2-2 vRRO) 105.6
90) Coe (14-11, 8-8 ARC, SOS 0.527, 0-5 vRRO) 105.4
91) Emory_and_Henry (17-10, 9-7 ODAC, SOS 0.547, 2-7 vRRO) 105.4
92) Gordon (23-5, 13-3 CCC, SOS 0.522, 2-3 vRRO) 105.3
93) Berry (16-7, 11-3 SAA, SOS 0.530, 1-3 vRRO) 105.2
94) St._John_Fisher (18-9, 12-4 E8, SOS 0.517, 2-3 vRRO) 105.0
95) Emerson (16-10, 9-5 NEWMAC, SOS 0.567, 1-4 vRRO) 104.9
96) William_Paterson (16-10, 11-7 NJAC, SOS 0.551, 4-6 vRRO) 104.8
97) UW-Eau_Claire (14-12, 7-7 WIAC, SOS 0.547, 1-7 vRRO) 104.8
98) Carroll (11-15, 7-9 CCIW, SOS 0.572, 2-10 vRRO) 104.8
99) Baruch (22-5, 14-2 CUNYAC, SOS 0.464, 1-1 vRRO) 104.7
100) Farmingdale_State (20-7, 16-4 SKY, SOS 0.505, 2-4 vRRO) 104.7