Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology

Drew Pasteur's NCAA D3 Men's Basketball Bracketology


All scores courtesy of D3Hoops.com
See also Matt Snyder's page
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Last update: 17-Feb-2019 7:43PM

Pool C projections page
Mock regional rankings
Teams by conference
Upcoming big games
Daily update
Regional details pages: NE EA AT MA SO GL CE WE

These ratings/rankings combine two methods
* Elo (no victory margins, recent games weighted more)
* Random walk (uses margins, all games weighted equally)
An average D3H team is rated 100

Current Top 25 teams
1) Nebraska_Wesleyan (24-1, 15-1 ARC, SOS 0.570, 1-1 vRRO) 121.5
2) Whitman (24-1, 16-0 NWC, SOS 0.554, 4-1 vRRO) 120.8
3) UW-Oshkosh (23-2, 13-1 WIAC, SOS 0.540, 3-2 vRRO) 119.9
4) Augustana (23-2, 15-1 CCIW, SOS 0.537, 7-2 vRRO) 119.6
5) Randolph-Macon (23-2, 15-1 ODAC, SOS 0.525, 4-2 vRRO) 117.6
6) St._John's (21-4, 17-3 MIAC, SOS 0.522, 4-1 vRRO) 117.6
7) St._Thomas (22-3, 18-2 MIAC, SOS 0.526, 3-2 vRRO) 115.8
8) Christopher_Newport (22-3, 12-2 CAC, SOS 0.543, 5-3 vRRO) 115.5
9) Amherst (21-4, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.560, 6-3 vRRO) 115.3
10) Swarthmore (22-3, 15-3 CC, SOS 0.528, 4-1 vRRO) 114.7
11) MIT (22-3, 12-2 NEWMAC, SOS 0.551, 1-0 vRRO) 114.0
12) Wooster (21-4, 16-2 NCAC, SOS 0.532, 5-3 vRRO) 113.8
13) UW-Stevens_Point (16-8, 8-6 WIAC, SOS 0.585, 1-6 vRRO) 113.6
14) Hamilton (22-3, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.553, 4-3 vRRO) 113.5
15) Pomona-Pitzer (19-2, 14-1 SCIAC, SOS 0.498, 1-0 vRRO) 113.2
16) Marietta (20-5, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.549, 4-4 vRRO) 113.1
17) Loras (20-5, 12-4 ARC, SOS 0.577, 3-1 vRRO) 113.0
18) Wittenberg (19-5, 14-4 NCAC, SOS 0.526, 5-4 vRRO) 112.6
19) Williams (20-5, 6-4 NESCAC, SOS 0.594, 5-4 vRRO) 112.6
20) UW-La_Crosse (17-8, 10-4 WIAC, SOS 0.574, 3-2 vRRO) 112.4
21) Emory (19-5, 9-3 UAA, SOS 0.558, 1-4 vRRO) 112.4
22) North_Central_(Ill.) (20-5, 12-4 CCIW, SOS 0.520, 3-3 vRRO) 112.3
23) Capital (19-6, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.541, 4-3 vRRO) 111.9
24) Wartburg (15-7, 11-5 ARC, SOS 0.570, 1-4 vRRO) 111.5
25) Illinois_Wesleyan (17-8, 10-6 CCIW, SOS 0.560, 2-7 vRRO) 111.5

26) Mount_Union (20-5, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.507, 4-2 vRRO) 111.5
27) Wheaton_(Ill.) (18-7, 11-5 CCIW, SOS 0.567, 4-4 vRRO) 111.4
28) Nichols (23-2, 15-1 CCC, SOS 0.517, 3-2 vRRO) 111.2
29) Rochester (20-4, 10-3 UAA, SOS 0.528, 5-1 vRRO) 111.1
30) Texas-Dallas (20-4, 13-3 ASC, SOS 0.500, 1-1 vRRO) 110.8
31) Bethel (18-7, 15-5 MIAC, SOS 0.520, 2-5 vRRO) 110.7
32) Middlebury (17-7, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.599, 4-5 vRRO) 110.4
33) Wabash (18-5, 14-4 NCAC, SOS 0.524, 3-4 vRRO) 110.2
34) Whitworth (20-5, 12-4 NWC, SOS 0.523, 1-2 vRRO) 110.1
35) La_Roche (23-2, 18-0 AMCC, SOS 0.500, 0-1 vRRO) 110.0
36) York_(Pa.) (19-6, 12-2 CAC, SOS 0.548, 5-4 vRRO) 110.0
37) Washington_and_Lee (18-7, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.534, 4-3 vRRO) 109.9
38) Washington_U. (16-8, 9-4 UAA, SOS 0.563, 2-6 vRRO) 109.7
39) UW-Whitewater (17-8, 6-8 WIAC, SOS 0.568, 2-6 vRRO) 109.6
40) UW-Platteville (14-10, 8-6 WIAC, SOS 0.587, 4-5 vRRO) 109.6
41) Centre (19-4, 12-2 SAA, SOS 0.532, 1-1 vRRO) 109.5
42) Baldwin_Wallace (17-8, 11-7 OAC, SOS 0.531, 1-8 vRRO) 109.4
43) Wilmington (17-7, 13-5 OAC, SOS 0.536, 3-5 vRRO) 109.3
44) Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (15-6, 12-3 SCIAC, SOS 0.502, 0-4 vRRO) 109.3
45) Mary_Hardin-Baylor (20-5, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.515, 0-0 vRRO) 109.2
46) New_Jersey_City (19-6, 14-4 NJAC, SOS 0.543, 5-5 vRRO) 109.2
47) Linfield (15-8, 10-6 NWC, SOS 0.526, 1-5 vRRO) 109.2
48) Guilford (18-8, 12-4 ODAC, SOS 0.533, 3-4 vRRO) 109.0
49) Roanoke (18-7, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.500, 4-2 vRRO) 108.8
50) Occidental (17-4, 12-4 SCIAC, SOS 0.464, 1-1 vRRO) 108.6
51) Plattsburgh_State (19-5, 13-4 SUNYAC, SOS 0.530, 5-3 vRRO) 108.4
52) Eastern_Connecticut (19-6, 13-3 LEC, SOS 0.544, 2-4 vRRO) 108.3
53) Rowan (18-6, 13-5 NJAC, SOS 0.548, 7-3 vRRO) 108.3
54) Oswego_State (20-5, 15-3 SUNYAC, SOS 0.526, 4-3 vRRO) 108.1
55) Keene_State (18-7, 13-3 LEC, SOS 0.567, 2-4 vRRO) 108.0
56) Lynchburg (20-5, 11-5 ODAC, SOS 0.497, 3-4 vRRO) 107.9
57) Maryville_(Tenn.) (14-7, 14-4 USAC, SOS 0.493, 0-1 vRRO) 107.6
58) Johns_Hopkins (17-8, 14-4 CC, SOS 0.555, 2-4 vRRO) 107.6
59) Thomas_More (10-7, 0-0 IND, SOS 0.493, 0-1 vRRO) 107.5
60) Wesleyan (16-9, 6-4 NESCAC, SOS 0.615, 5-7 vRRO) 107.5
61) Simpson (14-9, 9-7 ARC, SOS 0.559, 0-4 vRRO) 107.3
62) LeTourneau (17-8, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.533, 1-2 vRRO) 107.2
63) Drew (20-5, 12-2 LAND, SOS 0.518, 2-2 vRRO) 107.1
64) Chicago (15-9, 8-5 UAA, SOS 0.563, 4-2 vRRO) 107.0
65) St._Norbert (18-7, 15-2 MWC, SOS 0.504, 0-2 vRRO) 106.9
66) Mary_Washington (17-8, 9-5 CAC, SOS 0.551, 4-6 vRRO) 106.9
67) Colby (17-8, 5-5 NESCAC, SOS 0.562, 3-4 vRRO) 106.9
68) Trine (17-7, 11-3 MIAA, SOS 0.482, 0-2 vRRO) 106.8
69) Louisiana_College (19-6, 11-5 ASC, SOS 0.494, 1-0 vRRO) 106.8
70) Arcadia (20-5, 14-2 MACC, SOS 0.527, 1-2 vRRO) 106.8
71) Alfred (18-4, 13-2 E8, SOS 0.475, 2-1 vRRO) 106.7
72) Augsburg (16-8, 13-7 MIAC, SOS 0.522, 1-4 vRRO) 106.6
73) Salisbury (18-7, 8-6 CAC, SOS 0.566, 4-6 vRRO) 106.6
74) UW-River_Falls (11-12, 4-10 WIAC, SOS 0.554, 1-6 vRRO) 106.3
75) Ramapo (18-8, 11-7 NJAC, SOS 0.562, 8-4 vRRO) 106.3
76) Scranton (20-5, 9-5 LAND, SOS 0.509, 2-0 vRRO) 106.1
77) Penn_State-Behrend (21-4, 14-4 AMCC, SOS 0.454, 0-2 vRRO) 106.1
78) DeSales (19-5, 12-2 MACF, SOS 0.500, 0-2 vRRO) 106.0
79) Moravian (17-8, 10-4 LAND, SOS 0.528, 2-5 vRRO) 106.0
80) Coe (14-10, 8-8 ARC, SOS 0.523, 0-5 vRRO) 106.0
81) Northwestern_(Minn.) (19-6, 15-1 UMAC, SOS 0.454, 0-0 vRRO) 105.8
82) Hanover (17-6, 14-4 HCAC, SOS 0.474, 0-1 vRRO) 105.8
83) Berry (15-6, 11-3 SAA, SOS 0.520, 1-3 vRRO) 105.7
84) Grinnell (17-5, 15-3 MWC, SOS 0.476, 0-1 vRRO) 105.7
85) Skidmore (17-6, 15-3 LL, SOS 0.517, 2-2 vRRO) 105.7
86) Emory_and_Henry (16-9, 9-7 ODAC, SOS 0.542, 2-6 vRRO) 105.6
87) MSOE (21-4, 16-4 NACC, SOS 0.460, 0-0 vRRO) 105.6
88) SUNY_Oneonta (15-10, 10-8 SUNYAC, SOS 0.511, 3-4 vRRO) 105.6
89) New_England_College (20-3, 14-1 NECC, SOS 0.431, 0-1 vRRO) 105.6
90) UW-Eau_Claire (14-11, 7-7 WIAC, SOS 0.545, 1-5 vRRO) 105.5
91) John_Carroll (12-13, 8-10 OAC, SOS 0.563, 3-8 vRRO) 105.4
92) Yeshiva (18-6, 16-3 SKY, SOS 0.481, 1-3 vRRO) 105.2
93) Albion (17-7, 10-4 MIAA, SOS 0.481, 2-1 vRRO) 105.2
94) Gordon (21-4, 13-3 CCC, SOS 0.508, 2-2 vRRO) 105.2
95) Endicott (17-8, 10-6 CCC, SOS 0.534, 2-4 vRRO) 105.1
96) Carroll (11-14, 7-9 CCIW, SOS 0.568, 2-9 vRRO) 105.1
97) Elmhurst (12-13, 7-9 CCIW, SOS 0.567, 2-10 vRRO) 105.0
98) Hood (17-7, 11-5 MACC, SOS 0.503, 1-2 vRRO) 104.9
99) Montclair_State (17-9, 11-7 NJAC, SOS 0.542, 4-6 vRRO) 104.9
100) WPI (17-8, 8-6 NEWMAC, SOS 0.547, 1-3 vRRO) 104.9