Projected NC Playoff Brackets
(posted prior to the start of the 2009 playoffs)



Jump to Bracket:  4AA   4A   3AA   3A
  2AA   2A   1AA   1A

First Round: 114-14 (89%), compared to 106-22 (83%) for the higher seeds.
I was a perfect 16-0 in the 2AA bracket but only 12-4 on the 3AA.
The lower seeds that I picked went 11-3, so 79% of my "upset" predictions were correct.
One of my predicted regional champions (Westover, in the 3AA East) lost in the first round.
The biggest upset was in the 1AA West, where 22-point underdog East Wilkes won at East Surry.

Second Round: 48-13 (79%), compared to 43 top-four seeds that have won twice
Three of my projected second-round winners had already been eliminated.

Third Round: 18-9 (67%), compared to 12 of the #1 and #2 seeds reaching the regional championships.
Five of my projected third-round winners had already been eliminated.

Regional Finals: 9-0 (100%), compared to 5 of the #1 seeds that won regional championships.
Seven of my projected regional champions had already been eliminated.

State Finals: 3-1 (75%)
Four of my projected state champions had already been eliminated.

 
4AA Bracket Predictions
  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 Wake Forest-Rolesville (11-0) by 23 vs E16 Clayton (4-7)
E8 Garner (6-5) by 5 vs E9 Wakefield (6-5)
E5 Fuquay-Varina (9-2) by 6 vs E12 Millbrook (6-5)
E4 Pinecrest (9-2) by 23 vs E13 Jordan (6-5)
E3 Jack Britt (10-1) by 30 vs E14 Panther Creek (5-6)
E11 Leesville Road (8-3) by 1 at E6 Broughton (5-6)
E7 Lumberton (7-4) by 1 vs E10 South View (6-5)
E2 Hoggard (7-4) by 13 vs E15 Cary (5-6)
W1 Butler (10-0) by 30 vs W16 West Charlotte (5-6)
W8 West Forsyth (9-2) by 7 vs W9 Lake Norman (8-3)
W5 Page (9-2) by 4 vs W12 East Mecklenburg (6-5)
W4 Olympic (9-2) by 7 vs W13 North Mecklenburg (6-5)
W3 Mallard Creek (9-1) by 21 vs W14 Hopewell (6-5)
W6 Independence (10-1) by 25 vs W11 East Forsyth (6-5)
W10 Providence (7-4) by 4 at W7 Vance (5-6)
W2 Richmond (10-1) by 29 vs W15 Northwest Guilford (5-6)

Second Round
E1 Wake Forest-Rolesville by 19 vs E8 Garner
E4 Pinecrest by 5 vs E5 Fuquay-Varina
E3 Jack Britt by 21 vs E11 Leesville Road
E7 Lumberton by 7 at E2 Hoggard
W1 Butler by 26 vs W8 West Forsyth
W5 Page by 3 at W4 Olympic
W6 Independence by 4 at W3 Mallard Creek
W2 Richmond by 13 vs W10 Providence

Third Round
E1 Wake Forest-Rolesville by 10 vs E4 Pinecrest
E3 Jack Britt by 15 vs E7 Lumberton
W1 Butler by 25 vs W5 Page
W6 Independence by 1 at W2 Richmond

Regional Championships
E3 Jack Britt by 4 at E1 Wake Forest-Rolesville
W1 Butler by 10 vs W6 Independence

State Championship
W1 Butler by 18 vs E3 Jack Britt


 
4A Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 Southern Durham (10-1) by 19 vs E16 East Wake (4-7)
E8 Athens Drive (8-3) by 1 vs E9 Person County (6-5)
E5 New Hanover (8-3) by 6 vs E12 Holly Springs (7-4)
E4 Terry Sanford (9-2) by 19 vs
E13 Pine Forest (6-5)
E3 Middle Creek (10-1) by 15 vs E14 New Bern (5-5)
E6 Hillside (8-3) by 4 vs E11 Purnell Swett (9-2)
E7 Southeast Raleigh (9-2) by 18 vs E10 Rose (5-5)
E2 Harnett Central (11-0) by 25 vs E15 Seventy-First (5-6)
W1 Reynolds, R.J. (11-0) by 32 vs W16 Roberson (4-7)
W8 Mount Tabor (8-3) by 23 vs W9 Western Guilford (5-6)
W5 Alexander Central (10-1) by 9 vs W12 Porter Ridge (7-4)
W4 Reynolds, A.C. (9-2) by 18 vs W13 East Gaston (6-5)
W3 Ragsdale (11-0) by 31 vs W14 Watauga (6-5)
W6 Sun Valley (8-3) by 9 vs W11 North Davidson (7-4)
W7 Glenn (8-3) by 2 vs W10 High Point Central (8-3)
W2 Dudley (10-1) by 31 vs W15 Smith, Ben L. (5-6)

Second Round
E1 Southern Durham by 17 vs E8 Athens Drive
E5 New Hanover by forfeit over E4 Terry Sanford
E6 Hillside by 2 at E3 Middle Creek
E2 Harnett Central by 14 vs E7 Southeast Raleigh
W1 Reynolds, R.J. by 8 vs W8 Mount Tabor
W4 Reynolds, A.C. by 5 vs W5 Alexander Central
W3 Ragsdale by 23 vs W6 Sun Valley
W2 Dudley by 14 vs W7 Glenn

Third Round
E1 Southern Durham by 13 vs E5 New Hanover
E2 Harnett Central by 12 vs E6 Hillside
W1 Reynolds, R.J. by 16 vs W4 Reynolds, A.C.
W3 Ragsdale by 8 at W2 Dudley

Regional Championships
E2 Harnett Central by 3 vs E10 Southern Durham
W3 Ragsdale by 5 at W1 Reynolds, R.J.

State Championship
W3 Ragsdale by 10 vs E2 Harnett Central


 
3AA Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 South Johnston (10-1) by 12 vs E16 Eastern Guilford (4-7)
E8 Rocky Mount (6-4) by 4 vs E9 South Central (8-3)
E5 Westover (9-2) by 8 vs E12 Byrd (7-4)
E4 West Brunswick (7-3) by 15 vs E13 Chapel Hill (5-6)
E3 Hunt (8-3) by 21 vs E14 Williams (5-5-1)
E11 Southern Nash (8-3) by 1 at E6 Triton (8-3)
E10 Aycock (9-2) by 13 at E7 Orange County (6-5)
E2 Gray's Creek (9-2) by 16 vs E15 Western Harnett (4-7)
W1 Northern Guilford (10-1) by 32 vs W16 Asheboro (4-7)
W8 North Forsyth (5-6) by 3 vs W9 Hickory Ridge (6-5)
W12 Anson (7-4) by 1 at W5 Marvin Ridge (9-2)
W4 Northeast Guilford (8-3) by 7 vs W13 Crest (6-4)
W3 Brown (9-2) by 23 vs W14 Robinson (5-6)
W6 Charlotte Catholic (7-4) by 12 vs W11 Erwin (7-4)
W7 South Point (9-2) by 20 vs W10 Ashbrook (4-7)
W2 Forestview (9-2) by 15 vs W15 Weddington (5-6)

Second Round
E1 South Johnston by 3 vs E8 Rocky Mount
E5 Westover by 10 at E4 West Brunswick
E3 Hunt by 8 vs E11 Southern Nash
E2 Gray's Creek by 5 vs E10 Aycock
W1 Northern Guilford by 29 vs W8 North Forsyth
W4 Northeast Guilford by 4 vs W12 Anson
W3 Brown by 2 vs W6 Charlotte Catholic
W7 South Point by 6 at W2 Forestview

Third Round
E5 Westover by 9 at E1 South Johnston
E2 Gray's Creek by 1 vs E3 Hunt
W1 Northern Guilford by 11 vs W4 Northeast Guilford
W7 South Point by 8 at W3 Brown

Regional Championships
E5 Westover by 4 at E2 Gray's Creek
W1 Northern Guilford by 3 vs W7 South Point

State Championship
W1 Northern Guilford by 8 vs E5 Westover


 
3A Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 Cardinal Gibbons (10-1) by 33 vs E16 Currituck (2-9)
E9 Carson (6-5) by 6 at E8 Ledford (6-5)
E5 Eastern Alamance (10-1) by 30 vs E12 McMichael (5-6)
E4 West Craven (9-2) by 23 vs E13 Southern Vance (5-6)
E3 Havelock (10-1) by 26 vs E14 Southern Guilford (5-6)
E6 East Rowan (8-3) by 10 vs E11 South Brunswick (5-5)
E7 Western Alamance (8-3) by 7 vs E10 Washington (6-5)
E2 Hertford (11-0) by 29 vs E15 White Oak (5-6)
W1 Hibriten (11-0) by 33 vs W16 Harding (4-7)
W9 Northwest Cabarrus (8-3) by 9 at W8 Concord (5-6)
W5 Burns (5-6) by 9 vs W12 West Henderson (6-5)
W4 Tuscola (9-1-1) by 23 vs W13 Hickory (6-5)
W3 Asheville (9-0-1) by 26 vs W14 West Iredell (5-6)
W6 Franklin (9-2) by 4 vs W11 Hunter Huss (6-5)
W7 South Rowan (9-2) by 10 vs W10 R-S Central (8-3)
W2 West Rowan (11-0) by 33 vs W15 Freedom (5-6)

Second Round
E1 Cardinal Gibbons by 11 vs E9 Carson
E5 Eastern Alamance by 6 at E4 West Craven
E3 Havelock by 19 vs E6 East Rowan
E2 Hertford by 25 vs E7 Western Alamance
W1 Hibriten by 22 vs W9 Northwest Cabarrus
W4 Tuscola by 21 vs W5 Burns
W3 Asheville by 15 vs W6 Franklin
W2 West Rowan by 16 vs W7 South Rowan

Third Round
E5 Eastern Alamance by 9 at E1 Cardinal Gibbons
E2 Hertford by 12 vs E3 Havelock
W1 Hibriten by 5 vs W4 Tuscola
W2 West Rowan by 9 vs W3 Asheville

Regional Championships
E2 Hertford by 10 vs E5 Eastern Alamance
W2 West Rowan by 2 at W1 Hibriten

State Championship
W2 West Rowan by 1 vs E2 Hertford


 
2AA Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 East Duplin (11-0) by 38 vs E16 Saint Pauls (2-9)
E9 Kinston (9-2) by 14 at E8 High Point Andrews (7-4)
E5 Northwood (10-1) by 4 vs E12 Northeastern (7-4)
E4 South Granville (8-3) by 17 vs E13 South Lenoir (7-4)
E3 Reidsville (11-0) by 28 vs E14 Beddingfield (6-5)
E6 Bunn (8-3) by 15 vs E11 Richlands (5-6)
E7 Northside-Jax (8-3) by 16 vs E10 Cedar Ridge (7-4)
E2 Southwest Edgecombe (11-0) by 39 vs E15 West Stanly (5-6)
W1 Shelby (10-1) by 31 vs W16 Bunker Hill (4-7)
W8 Salisbury (7-4) by 2 vs W9 East Burke (8-3)
W5 Pisgah (7-4) by 7 vs W12 Owen (6-5)
W4 Forest Hills (8-3) by 23 vs W13 Wilkes Central (6-5)
W3 East Lincoln (9-2) by 29 vs W14 Ashe (6-5)
W6 West Stokes (7-4) by 9 vs W11 Berry Academy (7-4)
W7 Newton-Conover (10-1) by 28 vs W10 Piedmont (7-4)
W2 Bandys (10-1) by 29 vs W15 South Iredell (4-7)

Second Round
E9 Kinston by 2 at E1 East Duplin
E5 Northwood by 2 at E4 South Granville
E3 Reidsville by 28 vs E6 Bunn
E2 Southwest Edgecombe by 24 vs E7 Northside-Jax
W1 Shelby by 7 vs W8 Salisbury
W4 Forest Hills by 5 vs W5 Pisgah
W3 East Lincoln by 25 vs W6 West Stokes
W7 Newton-Conover by 1 at W2 Bandys

Third Round
E9 Kinston by 8 at E5 Northwood
E2 Southwest Edgecombe by 5 vs E3 Reidsville
W1 Shelby by 9 vs W4 Forest Hills
W7 Newton-Conover by 1 at W3 East Lincoln

Regional Championships
E2 Southwest Edgecombe by 16 vs E9 Kinston
W7 Newton-Conover by 5 at W1 Shelby

State Championship
E2 Southwest Edgecombe by 11 vs W7 Newton-Conover


 
2A Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 East Bladen (11-0) by 31 vs E16 Carrboro (4-7)
E8 Louisburg (8-3) by 3 vs E9 Pasquotank (7-4)
E5 Jordan-Matthews (9-2) by 26 vs E12 Northwest Halifax (5-6)
E13 Franklinton (5-6) by 4 at E4 Fairmont (4-6)
E3 Roanoke Rapids (8-3) by 12 vs E14 North Brunswick (5-6)
E6 Tarboro (10-1) by 34 vs E11 Croatan (6-5)
E7 Whiteville (7-3) by 3 vs E10 Farmville Central (6-5)
E2 First Flight (9-2) by 16 vs E15 Cummings (4-6)
W1 Starmount (9-2) by 27 vs W16 Surry Central (2-9)
W9 Lexington (5-6) by 1 at W8 Trinity (6-5)
W5 Polk (9-2) by 18 vs W12 Brevard (6-5)
W4 Thomasville (7-4) by 21 vs W13 East Rutherford (4-7)
W3 Carver (7-4) by 30 vs W14 West Davidson (4-7)
W6 Lincolnton (8-3) by 16 vs W11 Maiden (6-5)
W7 Providence Grove (8-3) by 7 vs W10 Eastern Randolph (7-4)
W2 Mountain Heritage (9-2) by 31 vs W15 Madison County (4-7)

Second Round
E1 East Bladen by 22 vs E8 Louisburg
E5 Jordan-Matthews by 22 vs E13 Franklinton
E6 Tarboro by 22 at E3 Roanoke Rapids
E2 First Flight by 5 vs E7 Whiteville
W1 Starmount by 8 vs W9 Lexington
W4 Thomasville by 5 vs W5 Polk
W3 Carver by 9 vs W6 Lincolnton
W2 Mountain Heritage by 12 vs W7 Providence Grove

Third Round
E1 East Bladen by 11 vs E5 Jordan-Matthews
E6 Tarboro by 17 at E2 First Flight
W4 Thomasville by 11 at W1 Starmount
W3 Carver by 3 at W2 Mountain Heritage

Regional Championships
E6 Tarboro by 6 at E1 East Bladen
W3 Carver by 4 vs W4 Thomasville

State Championship
E6 Tarboro by 10 vs W3 Carver


 
1AA Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 Southwest Onslow (11-0) by 28 vs E16 Union (2-9)
E8 James Kenan (6-5) by 27 vs E9 East Montgomery (5-5-1)
E5 Ayden-Grifton (6-5) by 24 vs E12 Dixon (4-7)
E4 Pender (9-1) by 28 vs E13 Perquimans (4-7)
E14 Trask (4-7) by 1 at E3 East Columbus (5-5)
E11 Gates County (5-6) by 9 at E6 East Carteret (4-7)
E10 Midway (5-6) by 11 at E7 Southeast Halifax (3-8)
E2 Goldsboro (9-2) by 24 vs E15 South Robeson (4-7)
W1 Albemarle (11-0) by 48 vs W16 North Wilkes (1-10)
W8 Murphy (7-4) by 19 vs W9 North Rowan (5-6)
W5 Bessemer City (7-4) by 18 vs W12 Avery (5-6)
W4 Swain (7-3) by 25 vs W13 West Wilkes (4-7)
W3 Hendersonville (9-2) by 19 vs W14 Mitchell (4-7)
W6 East Surry (10-1) by 22 vs W11 East Wilkes (6-5)
W7 West Montgomery (8-3) by 5 vs W10 Bishop McGuinness (9-2)
W2 Monroe (11-0) by 34 vs W15 Cherryville (4-7)

Second Round
E1 Southwest Onslow by 18 vs E8 James Kenan
E4 Pender by 23 vs E5 Ayden-Grifton
E14 Trask by 10 at E11 Gates County
E2 Goldsboro by 19 vs E10 Midway
W1 Albemarle by 16 vs W8 Murphy
W5 Bessemer City by 2 at W4 Swain
W3 Hendersonville by 1 vs W6 East Surry
W2 Monroe by 21 vs W7 West Montgomery

Third Round
E1 Southwest Onslow by 11 vs E4 Pender
E2 Goldsboro by 16 vs E14 Trask
W1 Albemarle by 15 vs W5 Bessemer City
W2 Monroe by 17 vs W3 Hendersonville

Regional Championships
E1 Southwest Onslow by 13 vs E2 Goldsboro
W2 Monroe by 2 at W1 Albemarle

State Championship
W2 Monroe by 5 vs E1 Southwest Onslow


 
1A Bracket Predictions  (Back to top)

First Round
E1 Manteo (11-0) by 51 vs E16 Mattamuskeet (1-7)
E9 Plymouth (7-4) by 24 at E8 Jamesville (5-4)
E5 Williamston (9-2) by 26 vs E12 Southside (4-7)
E4 Wallace-Rose Hill (9-2) by 35 vs E13 Northampton-East (3-8)
E3 Weldon (9-2) by 26 vs E14 Roanoke (3-8)
E6 Jones (7-4) by 22 vs E11 Northampton-West (4-6)
E7 North Edgecombe (5-4) by 30 vs E10 Columbia (5-4)
E2 Creswell (10-0) by 21 vs E15 Northside-Pinetown (3-8)
W1 Mount Airy (11-0) by 44 vs W16 Rosewood (3-8)
W8 North Stokes (6-5) by 6 vs W9 West Columbus (5-6)
W5 Hobbton (8-3) by 27 vs W12 Alleghany (4-7)
W4 Princeton (8-3) by 13 vs W13 Hayesville (3-7)
W3 Robbinsville (8-2) by 36 vs W14 South Davidson (3-8)
W6 South Stanly (7-4) by 6 vs W11 Lakewood (5-6)
W7 Cherokee (6-5) by 9 vs W10 North Duplin (4-7)
W2 Elkin (9-2) by 30 vs W15 Union Academy (2-7-1)

Second Round
E1 Manteo by 26 vs E9 Plymouth
E4 Wallace-Rose Hill by 20 vs E5 Williamston
E6 Jones by 1 at E3 Weldon
E7 North Edgecombe by 2 at E2 Creswell
W1 Mount Airy by 34 vs W8 North Stokes
W5 Hobbton by 7 at W4 Princeton
W3 Robbinsville by 20 vs W6 South Stanly
W2 Elkin by 22 vs W7 Cherokee

Third Round
E4 Wallace-Rose Hill by 1 at E1 Manteo
E6 Jones by 12 vs E7 North Edgecombe
W1 Mount Airy by 26 vs W5 Hobbton
W3 Robbinsville by 7 at W2 Elkin

Regional Championships
E4 Wallace-Rose Hill by 18 vs E6 Jones
W1 Mount Airy by 16 vs W3 Robbinsville

State Championship
W1 Mount Airy by 13 vs E4 Wallace-Rose Hill