Ohio Playoff Brackets
(after week #8)

During the regular season, these projections are based on the aggregate results of at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, computing the Harbin points each time.  For each team, a projected record is determined (based on the median number of wins across the simulations), followed by a projected Harbin point total (from the median number of Harbin points earned in finishing with the projected number of wins).


Region 1 Projections
1) Westerville Central (Westerville) (10-0) 35.65
2) Hudson (9-1) 35.19
3) Mentor (10-0) 34.28
4) Berea-Midpark (Berea) (8-2) 27.05
5) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (7-3) 26.17
6) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (7-2) 26.10
7) Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (8-2) 26.05
8) St Edward (Lakewood) (7-3) 23.66
9) Wadsworth (7-3) 21.20
10) Solon (6-4) 19.35
11) Perry (Massillon) (6-4) 18.30
12) Glenoak (Canton) (6-4) 17.35
13) Elyria (6-4) 17.35
14) Strongsville (6-4) 16.58
15) Whitmer (Toledo) (6-4) 16.35
16) Jackson (Massillon) (6-4) 16.25

Region 2 Projections
1) Wayne (Huber Heights) (10-0) 39.51
2) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (10-0) 35.06
3) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (10-0) 34.58
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (7-3) 31.30
5) Centerville (9-1) 30.85
6) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (9-1) 30.80
7) Springboro (9-1) 30.10
8) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (7-3) 28.55
9) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (8-2) 23.80
10) Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-3) 22.30
11) Miamisburg (8-2) 22.15
12) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (6-4) 21.15
13) Mason (8-2) 20.66
14) Lincoln (Gahanna) (7-3) 20.40
15) Elder (Cincinnati) (6-4) 20.08
16) Central Crossing (Grove City) (7-3) 19.10

Region 3 Projections
1) Bedford (10-0) 30.44
2) Mayfield (9-1) 30.25
3) Madison (9-1) 27.88
4) South (Willoughby) (7-3) 22.90
5) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (8-2) 22.63
6) Maple Heights (8-2) 21.84
7) Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (8-2) 20.80
8) Garfield Heights (9-1) 18.35

Region 4 Projections
1) Midview (Grafton) (10-0) 38.20
2) Nordonia (Macedonia) (10-0) 35.95
3) Perrysburg (10-0) 34.25
4) Highland (Medina) (8-2) 25.95
5) Avon (9-1) 24.80
6) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (8-2) 24.45
7) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (7-3) 23.73
8) Fremont Ross (Fremont) (7-3) 21.25

Region 5 Projections
1) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (10-0) 34.05
2) Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (9-1) 23.55
3) Teays Valley (Ashville) (8-2) 23.35
4) Wooster (7-3) 20.10
5) Ashland (7-3) 19.75
6) Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (7-3) 19.35
7) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (6-4) 19.15
8) Northland (Columbus) (7-3) 15.32

Region 6 Projections
1) La Salle (Cincinnati) (9-1) 33.77
2) Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (10-0) 30.55
3) Kings (Kings Mills) (10-0) 28.60
4) Lima Senior (Lima) (9-1) 24.85
5) Harrison (8-2) 22.88
6) Loveland (7-3) 17.00
7) Glen Este (Cincinnati) (6-4) 14.25
8) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-4) 13.94

Region 7 Projections
1) Hubbard (10-0) 31.80
2) Aurora (10-0) 29.00
3) Louisville (9-1) 25.90
4) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (7-3) 24.00
5) Tallmadge (7-3) 23.10
6) Poland Seminary (Poland) (9-1) 21.85
7) Chardon (8-2) 21.15
8) Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (7-3) 18.70

Region 8 Projections
1) Central Catholic (Toledo) (8-2) 28.15
2) Clyde (8-2) 24.55
3) Norwalk (10-0) 23.45
4) Buckeye (Medina) (8-2) 18.30
5) Perkins (Sandusky) (7-3) 17.35
6) Bowling Green (6-4) 16.00
7) Columbian (Tiffin) (7-3) 15.00
8) Rocky River (6-4) 14.25

Region 9 Projections
1) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (10-0) 29.00
2) Dover (8-2) 27.88
3) Jackson (10-0) 26.77
4) Athens (The Plains) (10-0) 25.90
5) Logan Elm (Circleville) (8-2) 25.80
6) Granville (8-2) 23.35
7) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (8-2) 22.55
8) Big Walnut (Sunbury) (7-3) 18.54

Region 10 Projections
1) Wapakoneta (10-0) 30.05
2) Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (9-1) 28.35
3) Bellefontaine (8-2) 26.70
4) Western Brown (Mount Orab) (10-0) 26.36
5) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (9-1) 26.10
6) Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (8-2) 20.40
7) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (6-4) 17.07
8) Taft (Cincinnati) (7-3) 16.36

Region 11 Projections
1) Crestwood (Mantua) (10-0) 26.95
2) Benedictine (Cleveland) (8-2) 21.40
3) Woodridge (Peninsula) (8-2) 19.00
4) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (5-4) 18.45
5) Perry (6-4) 16.40
6) Bay (Bay Village) (6-4) 16.05
7) Field (Mogadore) (7-3) 15.55
8) Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (5-5) 14.25

Region 12 Projections
1) Triway (Wooster) (10-0) 24.00
2) Bellevue (8-2) 23.65
3) Wauseon (10-0) 20.90
4) Kenton (8-2) 20.55
5) Port Clinton (7-3) 19.25
6) Genoa Area (Genoa) (8-2) 16.55
7) Keystone (La Grange) (8-2) 15.40
8) Bryan (7-3) 13.80

Region 13 Projections
1) Beechcroft (Columbus) (9-1) 24.75
2) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (9-1) 24.55
3) Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (9-1) 23.00
4) Steubenville (6-4) 19.82
5) Maysville (Zanesville) (9-1) 19.30
6) Bexley (Columbus) (8-2) 18.60
7) Licking Valley (Newark) (7-3) 16.90
8) Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (8-2) 16.20

Region 14 Projections
1) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (10-0) 30.55
2) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (10-0) 29.15
3) Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (9-1) 27.45
4) Wyoming (Cincinnati) (9-1) 26.12
5) Taylor (Cleves) (9-1) 25.31
6) Monroe (8-2) 20.55
7) Circleville (7-3) 19.75
8) Norwood (7-3) 18.85

Region 15 Projections
1) Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (10-0) 30.40
2) Ursuline (Youngstown) (7-3) 22.03
3) Liberty (Youngstown) (9-1) 21.10
4) Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (8-2) 15.35
5) United (Hanoverton) (7-3) 14.65
6) Beachwood (5-5) 14.10
7) Cardinal (Middlefield) (8-2) 13.25
8) Crestview (Columbiana) (5-5) 12.65

Region 16 Projections
1) Pleasant (Marion) (10-0) 26.15
2) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (10-0) 25.50
3) Chippewa (Doylestown) (10-0) 24.90
4) Huron (8-2) 23.30
5) Coldwater (9-1) 23.20
6) Eastwood (Pemberville) (9-1) 21.15
7) Columbia (Columbia Station) (9-1) 18.90
8) Delta (9-1) 18.75

Region 17 Projections
1) Wheelersburg (9-1) 26.07
2) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (7-3) 25.92
3) Ironton (7-2) 23.66
4) St Clairsville (10-0) 23.65
5) Coshocton (9-1) 19.85
6) Martins Ferry (9-1) 18.38
7) Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (8-2) 15.51
8) Liberty Union (Baltimore) (6-4) 14.95

Region 18 Projections
1) Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (10-0) 23.85
2) Greeneview (Jamestown) (10-0) 20.55
3) Shroder (Cincinnati) (9-1) 19.81
4) Waynesville (8-2) 17.95
5) Madeira (Cincinnati) (7-3) 17.64
6) Badin (Hamilton) (7-3) 16.20
7) Mariemont (Cincinnati) (7-3) 16.18
8) North Union (Richwood) (7-3) 15.25

Region 19 Projections
1) Loudonville (10-0) 25.00
2) Garaway (Sugarcreek) (10-0) 24.55
3) Kirtland (10-0) 24.45
4) Mogadore (10-0) 24.30
5) Mc Donald (10-0) 22.55
6) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (8-2) 19.45
7) Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (8-2) 18.05
8) Springfield (New Middletown) (7-3) 16.25

Region 20 Projections
1) Tinora (Defiance) (10-0) 23.50
2) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (8-2) 20.82
3) Wynford (Bucyrus) (9-1) 20.15
4) Crestview (Convoy) (9-1) 20.15
5) Spencerville (9-1) 19.55
6) Van Buren (8-2) 15.65
7) Carey (9-1) 15.55
8) Wayne Trace (Haviland) (8-2) 13.90

Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 21.85
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 19.55
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 18.70
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.55
5) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 15.30
6) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 15.20
7) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 14.42
8) Oak Hill (7-3) 13.46

Region 22 Projections
1) Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (9-0) 21.83
2) West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (9-1) 16.95
3) Minster (7-3) 16.80
4) Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (8-1) 16.27
5) Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (10-0) 16.04
6) Miami East (Casstown) (8-2) 14.65
7) Ada (6-4) 12.85
8) Versailles (6-4) 12.45

Region 23 Projections
1) St Paul (Norwalk) (9-1) 19.25
2) Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (9-1) 16.80
3) Plymouth (8-2) 14.75
4) Mapleton (Ashland) (7-3) 11.55
5) Wellsville (7-3) 11.50
6) Lucas (6-4) 11.00
7) Mathews (Vienna) (7-3) 9.76
8) Toronto (7-3) 9.26

Region 24 Projections
1) Arlington (9-1) 15.95
2) Calvert (Tiffin) (8-2) 15.20
3) Mc Comb (7-3) 11.70
4) Toledo Christian (Toledo) (8-2) 11.05
5) Columbus Grove (5-5) 9.70
6) Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (6-4) 8.45
7) Leipsic (5-5) 8.40
8) Edgerton (5-5) 6.95

Region 25 Projections
1) Shadyside (9-0) 22.06
2) Trimble (Glouster) (10-0) 21.85
3) Caldwell (10-0) 20.00
4) Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (8-2) 18.60
5) Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (8-2) 12.14
6) Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (8-2) 11.52
7) Danville (6-4) 11.50
8) Frontier (New Matamoras) (7-3) 11.44

Region 26 Projections
1) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (10-0) 24.55
2) Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (8-2) 15.80
3) Miami Valley Christian (Cincinnati) (8-1) 12.87
4) Fort Loramie (7-3) 11.25
5) Fort Recovery (6-4) 11.25
6) Troy Christian (Troy) (7-3) 10.49
7) Triad (North Lewisburg) (6-4) 9.20
8) Covington (6-4) 9.11