Ohio Playoff Brackets
(during week #9)

During the regular season, these projections are based on the aggregate results of at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, computing the Harbin points each time.  For each team, a projected record is determined (based on the median number of wins across the simulations), followed by a projected Harbin point total (from the median number of Harbin points earned in finishing with the projected number of wins).


Region 1 Projections
1) Hudson (10-0) 41.70
2) Westerville Central (Westerville) (9-1) 29.15
3) Mentor (9-1) 28.43
4) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (7-3) 27.46
5) Berea-Midpark (Berea) (8-2) 27.10
6) Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (8-2) 25.50
7) St Edward (Lakewood) (7-3) 23.77
8) Elyria (7-3) 22.50
9) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-3) 22.39
10) Glenoak (Canton) (7-3) 21.20
11) Wadsworth (7-3) 20.70
12) Lorain (7-3) 19.40
13) Brunswick (7-3) 19.00
14) Solon (6-4) 18.75
15) Perry (Massillon) (6-4) 17.80
16) Strongsville (6-4) 16.58

Region 2 Projections
1) Wayne (Huber Heights) (10-0) 38.90
2) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (10-0) 34.60
3) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (10-0) 33.98
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (7-3) 32.45
5) Centerville (9-1) 31.45
6) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (9-1) 30.80
7) Springboro (9-1) 29.95
8) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (9-1) 29.75
9) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (7-3) 28.75
10) Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-3) 22.25
11) Miamisburg (8-2) 22.10
12) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (6-4) 21.09
13) Lincoln (Gahanna) (7-3) 20.40
14) Elder (Cincinnati) (6-4) 20.08
15) Mason (8-2) 20.05
16) Central Crossing (Grove City) (7-3) 19.10

Region 3 Projections
1) Bedford (10-0) 30.90
2) Mayfield (9-1) 29.60
3) Madison (9-1) 28.45
4) South (Willoughby) (7-3) 22.85
5) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (8-2) 22.12
6) Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (8-2) 20.80
7) Maple Heights (7-3) 19.35
8) Garfield Heights (9-1) 18.85

Region 4 Projections
1) Midview (Grafton) (10-0) 39.75
2) Nordonia (Macedonia) (10-0) 36.05
3) Perrysburg (10-0) 34.80
4) Highland (Medina) (8-2) 26.40
5) Avon (9-1) 24.45
6) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (7-3) 23.79
7) Fremont Ross (Fremont) (7-3) 20.65
8) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (7-3) 20.32

Region 5 Projections
1) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (10-0) 34.05
2) Teays Valley (Ashville) (8-2) 24.40
3) Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (9-1) 23.08
4) Wooster (7-3) 20.70
5) Hamilton Township (Columbus) (7-3) 19.65
6) Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (7-3) 19.35
7) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (6-4) 19.10
8) Ashland (6-4) 16.65

Region 6 Projections
1) La Salle (Cincinnati) (9-1) 33.87
2) Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (10-0) 30.95
3) Kings (Kings Mills) (10-0) 28.65
4) Lima Senior (Lima) (9-1) 24.85
5) Harrison (7-3) 19.91
6) Loveland (7-3) 17.00
7) Northwest (Cincinnati) (6-4) 14.71
8) Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (5-5) 14.45

Region 7 Projections
1) Hubbard (10-0) 31.90
2) Aurora (10-0) 29.00
3) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (8-2) 27.83
4) Louisville (9-1) 25.95
5) Poland Seminary (Poland) (9-1) 23.10
6) Tallmadge (7-3) 22.60
7) Chardon (8-2) 20.55
8) Revere (Richfield) (6-4) 18.60

Region 8 Projections
1) Clyde (9-1) 28.45
2) Central Catholic (Toledo) (8-2) 28.20
3) Norwalk (10-0) 23.95
4) Bowling Green (7-3) 18.90
5) Buckeye (Medina) (8-2) 18.20
6) Perkins (Sandusky) (7-3) 16.65
7) Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (7-3) 16.00
8) Columbian (Tiffin) (7-3) 14.45

Region 9 Projections
1) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (10-0) 28.95
2) Dover (8-2) 28.39
3) Granville (9-1) 27.45
4) Jackson (10-0) 26.64
5) Athens (The Plains) (10-0) 25.85
6) Logan Elm (Circleville) (7-3) 22.45
7) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (8-2) 21.52
8) Chillicothe (7-3) 18.10

Region 10 Projections
1) Wapakoneta (10-0) 30.10
2) Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (9-1) 27.90
3) Bellefontaine (8-2) 26.20
4) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (9-1) 26.05
5) Western Brown (Mount Orab) (9-1) 21.62
6) Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (8-2) 20.20
7) Bellbrook (8-2) 20.00
8) Talawanda (Oxford) (7-3) 17.42

Region 11 Projections
1) Crestwood (Mantua) (10-0) 27.50
2) Benedictine (Cleveland) (9-1) 25.65
3) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (6-3) 24.06
4) Woodridge (Peninsula) (8-2) 19.00
5) Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (6-4) 18.80
6) Perry (6-4) 15.80
7) Bay (Bay Village) (6-4) 15.75
8) Field (Mogadore) (7-3) 15.60

Region 12 Projections
1) Triway (Wooster) (10-0) 23.50
2) Bellevue (8-2) 23.25
3) Wauseon (10-0) 20.90
4) Kenton (8-2) 20.55
5) Port Clinton (7-3) 19.25
6) Genoa Area (Genoa) (8-2) 16.45
7) Keystone (La Grange) (8-2) 15.35
8) Galion (6-4) 14.60

Region 13 Projections
1) Beechcroft (Columbus) (9-1) 24.85
2) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (9-1) 24.55
3) Steubenville (7-3) 23.75
4) Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (9-1) 22.50
5) Maysville (Zanesville) (9-1) 19.30
6) Bexley (Columbus) (8-2) 18.00
7) Licking Valley (Newark) (7-3) 16.85
8) Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (8-2) 16.20

Region 14 Projections
1) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (10-0) 30.55
2) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (10-0) 28.20
3) Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (9-1) 27.45
4) Wyoming (Cincinnati) (9-1) 26.12
5) Taylor (Cleves) (9-1) 25.46
6) Norwood (8-2) 24.10
7) Circleville (7-3) 20.10
8) Monroe (7-3) 17.45

Region 15 Projections
1) Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (10-0) 30.75
2) Liberty (Youngstown) (9-1) 21.15
3) Ursuline (Youngstown) (6-4) 17.74
4) Crestview (Columbiana) (6-4) 15.60
5) United (Hanoverton) (7-3) 15.20
6) Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (8-2) 15.15
7) Girard (8-2) 15.10
8) Beachwood (5-5) 14.10

Region 16 Projections
1) Pleasant (Marion) (10-0) 26.00
2) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (10-0) 25.95
3) Coldwater (9-1) 23.05
4) Huron (8-2) 22.85
5) Chippewa (Doylestown) (9-1) 21.40
6) Eastwood (Pemberville) (9-1) 20.70
7) Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (7-3) 20.05
8) Delta (9-1) 18.70

Region 17 Projections
1) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (8-2) 30.78
2) Wheelersburg (9-1) 26.12
3) St Clairsville (10-0) 23.60
4) Ironton (6-3) 20.07
5) Coshocton (9-1) 19.65
6) Martins Ferry (9-1) 18.28
7) Liberty Union (Baltimore) (7-3) 17.75
8) Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (8-2) 14.96

Region 18 Projections
1) Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (10-0) 23.49
2) Greeneview (Jamestown) (10-0) 20.20
3) Shroder (Cincinnati) (9-1) 19.34
4) Madeira (Cincinnati) (7-3) 17.79
5) Mariemont (Cincinnati) (7-3) 15.72
6) Badin (Hamilton) (7-3) 15.65
7) West Jefferson (6-4) 15.33
8) Waynesville (7-3) 15.20

Region 19 Projections
1) Loudonville (10-0) 25.16
2) Kirtland (10-0) 24.50
3) Garaway (Sugarcreek) (10-0) 24.50
4) Mogadore (10-0) 24.25
5) Mc Donald (10-0) 23.35
6) Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (9-1) 22.25
7) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (8-2) 19.55
8) Springfield (New Middletown) (8-2) 19.35

Region 20 Projections
1) Tinora (Defiance) (10-0) 23.05
2) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (8-2) 20.92
3) Wynford (Bucyrus) (9-1) 20.15
4) Spencerville (9-1) 19.65
5) Crestview (Convoy) (8-2) 18.15
6) Carey (9-1) 15.40
7) Van Buren (8-2) 15.30
8) Wayne Trace (Haviland) (8-2) 13.90

Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 22.15
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 20.25
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 19.46
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.50
5) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 15.30
6) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 14.88
7) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 14.70
8) Oak Hill (7-3) 13.25

Region 22 Projections
1) Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (9-0) 21.95
2) Miami East (Casstown) (9-1) 17.95
3) Minster (7-3) 17.20
4) West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (9-1) 16.95
5) Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (10-0) 16.40
6) Anna (6-4) 12.45
7) Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (7-2) 12.06
8) Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (7-3) 11.39

Region 23 Projections
1) St Paul (Norwalk) (9-1) 19.20
2) Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (9-1) 16.40
3) Plymouth (8-2) 14.65
4) Mapleton (Ashland) (7-3) 11.55
5) Wellsville (7-3) 11.50
6) Toronto (8-2) 10.72
7) Mathews (Vienna) (7-3) 9.76
8) Lucas (5-5) 9.25

Region 24 Projections
1) Arlington (9-1) 16.25
2) Calvert (Tiffin) (8-2) 15.25
3) Columbus Grove (6-4) 12.90
4) Mc Comb (7-3) 11.70
5) Toledo Christian (Toledo) (8-2) 11.05
6) Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (6-4) 8.40
7) Leipsic (5-5) 8.00
8) Edgerton (5-5) 7.25

Region 25 Projections
1) Shadyside (9-0) 22.44
2) Trimble (Glouster) (10-0) 21.75
3) Caldwell (10-0) 20.30
4) Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (7-3) 16.30
5) Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (8-2) 11.89
6) Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (8-2) 11.21
7) Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (6-4) 11.19
8) Frontier (New Matamoras) (7-3) 10.98

Region 26 Projections
1) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (10-0) 24.95
2) Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (8-2) 15.30
3) Miami Valley Christian (Cincinnati) (8-1) 13.29
4) Fort Recovery (7-3) 13.20
5) Fort Loramie (7-3) 10.85
6) Troy Christian (Troy) (7-3) 10.49
7) Covington (6-4) 9.48
8) Triad (North Lewisburg) (6-4) 9.10