Ohio Region 13
(after week #4)


Records are adjusted to include forfeits
# indicates a record includes one or more wins by forfeit
$ indicates a record includes one of more losses by forfeit
Strength-of-schedule is based only on previous regular-season games against OHSAA opponents, not including future games, playoff games, or contests against non-OHSAA teams.

#67 Steubenville (4-0) 130.2
Ranked #5 of 110 in Division IV, #1 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.604, #272 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.591, #34 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 7-3, win total probabilities 5W-8% 6W-19% 7W-25% 8W-25% 9W-16%
Harbin projections (ranges): 4W-10.94(7.94-14.57) 5W-14.28(8.44-19.80) 6W-17.31(11.00-25.56) 7W-21.17(15.13-29.53) 8W-25.04(18.99-34.86) 9W-29.38(24.01-37.58) 10W-34.56(29.09-39.67)
Playoff probabilities: 4W-1% 5W-36% 6W-80% 7W-99% 8W-100% 9W-100% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 5W-1% 6W-13% 7W-54% 8W-95% 9W-100% 10W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#2-#out) 6W-#7 (#1-#out) 7W-#4 (#1-#out) 8W-#2 (#1-#8) 9W-#1 (#1-#4) 10W-#1 (#1-#1)
Projected 21.17 Harbin points (divisor 95), projected #4 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 89% (control own destiny), 61% chance of a home game (control own destiny)
Playoff chance 99% with a win this week, and 85% with a loss
1st round opponents: Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) 14%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 13%, Maysville (Zanesville) 12%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 11%, Indian Creek (Wintersville) 10%
Week 1: Won 49-12 H vs #595 John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (0-4, D2 R3), pick: W by 27
Week 2: Won 23-14 H vs #229 Glen Este (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6), pick: W by 7
Week 3: Won 14-9 H vs #92 Ursuline (Youngstown) (2-2, D5 R15), pick: W by 2
Week 4: Won 35-7 H vs Brooke () [WV] (1-3, D3)
Week 5: A vs #18 Massillon Washington (Massillon) (4-0, D2 R4) 75% L (12 pts)
Week 6: H vs #80 Athens (The Plains) (4-0, D3 R9) 58% W (3 pts)
Week 7: H vs St Joseph (Hammonton) [NJ] (2-0, D6)
Week 8: H vs University Prep (co-op) (Pittsburgh) [PA] (3-0, D2)
Week 9: H vs Wheeling Park () [WV] (2-1, D1)
Week 10: H vs Canada Prep Football Academy (via Pinehurst School) (St Catharines) [ON] (0-3, D7)
Week 3: 129.3 (#72, #6 in D4, divisor 96, berth 94%, home 77%, proj. #1 seed) 3W-9.2H-7% 4W-11.9H-44% 5W-15.5H-82%-#6 6W-18.9H-98%-#4 7W-22.6H-100%-#2 8W-26.4H-100%-#1 9W-30.8H-100%-#1 10W-35.6H-100%-#1

#77 Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (3-1) 129.0
Ranked #8 of 110 in Division IV, #2 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.643, #240 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.625, #30 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 8-2, win total probabilities 7W-7% 8W-53% 9W-40%
Harbin projections (ranges): 6W-13.23(11.70-15.50) 7W-16.40(13.60-21.05) 8W-19.25(16.50-23.90) 9W-24.30(21.85-26.75)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-13% 7W-78% 8W-99% 9W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-3% 8W-20% 9W-97%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#7 (#2-#out) 8W-#6 (#1-#out) 9W-#2 (#1-#6)
Projected 19.25 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #5 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 98% (control own destiny), 49% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 99% with a win this week, and 87% with a loss
1st round opponents: Beechcroft (Columbus) 18%, Bexley (Columbus) 16%, Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) 12%, Steubenville 12%, Maysville (Zanesville) 10%
Week 1: Won 27-14 H vs #355 Westerville North (Westerville) (1-3, D1 R2), pick: W by 26
Week 2: Won 28-8 A vs #304 Northland (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5), pick: W by 13
Week 3: Lost 20-21 H vs #61 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (2-2, D5 R17), pick: W by 9
Week 4: Won 28-6 A vs #409 Independence (Columbus) (0-4, D3 R9), pick: W by 29
Week 5: A vs #314 Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R9) 90% W (23 pts)
Week 6: H vs #696 Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (1-3, D7 R25) 99% W (46 pts)
Week 7: H vs #485 West (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9) 97% W (33 pts)
Week 8: A vs #78 Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (4-0, D5 R17) 53% L (1 pts)
Week 9: H vs #444 Briggs (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R9) 96% W (31 pts)
Week 10: H vs #637 South Urban Academy (Columbus) (1-3#, D4 R13) 99% W (42 pts)
Week 3: 128.0 (#76, #14 in D4, divisor 100, berth 41%, home 12%, proj. out) 7W-16.0H-1% 8W-18.8H-13% 9W-24.1H-99%-#5

#98 Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0) 124.8
Ranked #12 of 110 in Division IV, #3 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.567, #306 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.551, #43 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 10-0, win total probabilities 7W-1% 8W-10% 9W-38% 10W-50%
Harbin projections (ranges): 7W-17.45(14.70-21.95) 8W-20.55(17.00-24.45) 9W-23.95(20.95-28.35) 10W-27.35(24.75-31.65)
Playoff probabilities: 7W-87% 8W-99% 9W-100% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-9% 8W-50% 9W-96% 10W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#7 (#2-#out) 8W-#5 (#1-#out) 9W-#2 (#1-#7) 10W-#1 (#1-#4)
Projected 27.35 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #1 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 99% (control own destiny), 92% chance of a home game (control own destiny)
Playoff chance 99% with a win this week, and 99% with a loss
1st round opponents: Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) 17%, Maysville (Zanesville) 14%, Indian Creek (Wintersville) 12%, Licking Valley (Newark) 11%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 9%
Week 1: Won 28-14 A vs #175 Chillicothe (2-2, D3 R9), pick: L by 8
Week 2: Won 26-0 A vs #426 Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 18
Week 3: Won 37-6 A vs #561 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4, D3 R9), pick: W by 33
Week 4: Won 24-21 H vs #141 Granville (3-1, D3 R9), pick: L by 1
Week 5: H vs #219 Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1, D4 R13) 77% W (13 pts)
Week 6: H vs #650 Northridge (Johnstown) (1-3, D5 R17) 99% W (42 pts)
Week 7: A vs #351 Newark Catholic (Newark) (3-1, D6 R21) 88% W (21 pts)
Week 8: H vs #494 Utica (1-3, D4 R13) 96% W (31 pts)
Week 9: A vs #390 Heath (1-3, D4 R13) 91% W (24 pts)
Week 10: H vs #237 Licking Heights (Pataskala) (3-1, D2 R5) 81% W (15 pts)
Week 3: 120.4 (#134, #13 in D4, divisor 100, berth 98%, home 81%, proj. #2 seed) 5W-9.9H-7% 6W-13.1H-53%-#8 7W-16.4H-97%-#5 8W-19.8H-100%-#3 9W-23.5H-100%-#2 10W-27.5H-100%-#1

#123 Beechcroft (Columbus) (4-0) 121.9
Ranked #15 of 110 in Division IV, #4 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.556, #318 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.536, #47 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 9-1, win total probabilities 7W-2% 8W-19% 9W-60% 10W-19%
Harbin projections (ranges): 7W-16.35(13.50-21.17) 8W-19.15(15.41-23.99) 9W-22.58(18.13-27.38) 10W-25.65(21.61-29.69)
Playoff probabilities: 7W-79% 8W-98% 9W-100% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-3% 8W-26% 9W-82% 10W-99%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#7 (#3-#out) 8W-#5 (#1-#out) 9W-#3 (#1-#8) 10W-#2 (#1-#5)
Projected 22.58 Harbin points (divisor 99), projected #2 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 99% (control own destiny), 73% chance of a home game
1st round opponents: Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 17%, Bexley (Columbus) 14%, Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) 14%, Maysville (Zanesville) 12%, Steubenville 10%
Week 1: Won 47-12 A vs #349 Dunbar (Dayton) (2-2, D4 R14), pick: W by 10
Week 2: Won 26-7 H vs #228 Central Crossing (Grove City) (2-2, D1 R2), pick: W by 1
Week 3: Won 18-14 A vs #314 Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R9), pick: W by 21
Week 4: Won 48-8 H vs #486 Whetstone (Columbus) (0-4$, D2 R5), pick: W by 28
Week 5: A vs #610 Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (1-3, D5 R17) 98% W (35 pts)
Week 6: H vs #476 Mifflin (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R5) 95% W (29 pts)
Week 7: H vs #641 East (Columbus) (0-4, D5 R17) 99% W (39 pts)
Week 8: A vs #61 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (2-2, D5 R17) 74% L (11 pts)
Week 9: H vs #424 Centennial (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9) 93% W (26 pts)
Week 10: A vs #304 Northland (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) 81% W (15 pts)
Week 3: 122.0 (#123, #26 in D4, divisor 99, berth 84%, home 26%, proj. #5 seed) 7W-17.4H-5% 8W-20.3H-41% 9W-23.4H-92%-#6 10W-26.1H-99%-#4

#157 Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-1) 118.5
Ranked #16 of 110 in Division IV, #5 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.541, #330 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.522, #52 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 8-2, win total probabilities 6W-2% 7W-17% 8W-54% 9W-26%
Harbin projections (ranges): 5W-10.25(8.90-11.20) 6W-12.55(10.10-15.85) 7W-14.60(12.25-19.55) 8W-16.85(14.75-21.80) 9W-21.50(19.65-23.40)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-8% 7W-41% 8W-82% 9W-99%
Home game probabilities: 8W-2% 9W-45%
Seed projections (ranges): 6W-#out (#5-#out) 7W-#out (#5-#out) 8W-#7 (#2-#out) 9W-#5 (#1-#out)
Projected 16.85 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #6 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 78%, 13% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 78% with a win this week, and 60% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 21%, Bexley (Columbus) 20%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 18%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 15%, Steubenville 15%
Week 1: Won 41-16 H vs #340 Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (3-1, D5 R15), pick: W by 20
Week 2: Won 36-12 A vs #400 Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3, D4 R13), pick: W by 13
Week 3: Lost 20-21 A vs #124 Garaway (Sugarcreek) (4-0, D6 R19), pick: W by 3
Week 4: Won 42-14 H vs #517 Tuslaw (Massillon) (0-4, D5 R15), pick: W by 29
Week 5: A vs #597 Timken (Canton) (1-3, D2 R4) 97% W (32 pts)
Week 6: A vs #445 Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (1-3, D4 R11) 90% W (23 pts)
Week 7: H vs #412 Manchester (Akron) (1-3, D5 R15) 90% W (23 pts)
Week 8: H vs #96 Triway (Wooster) (4-0, D4 R12) 62% L (5 pts)
Week 9: A vs #435 Fairless (Navarre) (1-3, D5 R15) 90% W (22 pts)
Week 10: H vs #522 Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (0-4, D4 R13) 95% W (29 pts)
Week 3: 114.4 (#204, #26 in D4, divisor 100, berth 91%, home 35%, proj. #6 seed) 5W-10.0H-19% 6W-11.9H-38% 7W-14.1H-80%-#7 8W-16.6H-99%-#5 9W-21.0H-100%-#3

#163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0) 118.1
Ranked #17 of 110 in Division IV, #6 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.355, #510 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.336, #87 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 8-2, win total probabilities 6W-1% 7W-9% 8W-45% 9W-38% 10W-7%
Harbin projections (ranges): 6W-10.55(9.10-12.90) 7W-12.50(10.20-18.00) 8W-14.90(13.15-21.15) 9W-19.40(17.65-24.05) 10W-24.25(22.60-26.00)
Playoff probabilities: 7W-9% 8W-47% 9W-99% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 8W-1% 9W-12% 10W-93%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#out (#6-#out) 8W-#out (#3-#out) 9W-#6 (#1-#out) 10W-#3 (#1-#7)
Projected 14.90 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #8 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 66% (control own destiny), 11% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 66% with a win this week, and 63% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 21%, Bexley (Columbus) 18%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 17%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 15%, Steubenville 15%
Week 1: Won 49-15 H vs #507 Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21), pick: W by 14
Week 2: Won 43-7 A vs #405 New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 18
Week 3: Won 35-14 H vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 10
Week 4: Won 27-7 A vs #587 West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17), pick: W by 32
Week 5: A vs #589 River View (Warsaw) (0-4, D4 R13) 96% W (31 pts)
Week 6: H vs #118 Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9) 57% L (3 pts)
Week 7: A vs #628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13) 98% W (35 pts)
Week 8: H vs #443 John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2, D4 R13) 92% W (25 pts)
Week 9: A vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9) 82% L (16 pts)
Week 10: H vs #400 Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3, D4 R13) 89% W (22 pts)
Week 3: 118.8 (#150, #15 in D4, divisor 100, berth 92%, home 43%, proj. #7 seed) 6W-11.4H-27% 7W-13.0H-57%-#8 8W-14.9H-92%-#6 9W-19.4H-100%-#4 10W-24.0H-100%-#2

#193 Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (1-3) 115.2
Ranked #21 of 110 in Division IV, #7 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.874, #53 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.865, #2 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 2-8, win total probabilities 1W-26% 2W-38% 3W-25% 4W-10%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-9.54(5.62-14.07) 4W-13.22(8.33-18.02) 5W-16.67(13.06-21.26) 6W-19.94(17.73-22.32)
Playoff probabilities: 3W-1% 4W-9% 5W-58% 6W-100%
Home game probabilities: 5W-3% 6W-41%
Seed projections (ranges): 4W-#out (5-#out) 5W-#8 (#4-#out) 6W-#5 (#3-#7)
Projected 5.79 Harbin points (divisor 97), projected out (best #3, worst out)
Playoff chance 2% (control own destiny), 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 7% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 31%, Steubenville 21%, Bexley (Columbus) 17%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 13%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 10%
Week 1: Won 16-6 H vs #314 Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R9), pick: W by 7
Week 2: Lost 7-15 H vs #66 Mason (2-2, D1 R2), pick: W by 4
Week 3: Lost 7-35 H vs #55 Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-2, D2 R4), pick: L by 12
Week 4: Lost 16-27 A vs #63 Poland Seminary (Poland) (4-0, D3 R7), pick: L by 14
Week 5: H vs #72 Benedictine (Cleveland) (3-1, D4 R11) 77% L (13 pts)
Week 6: A vs #61 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (2-2, D5 R17) 84% L (18 pts)
Week 7: H vs Canisius (Buffalo) [NY] (3-0, D1)
Week 8: H vs #27 St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R9) 89% L (21 pts)
Week 9: A vs #105 St Charles (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R5) 72% L (10 pts)
Week 10: A vs #94 Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (2-2, D2 R6) 75% L (12 pts)
Week 3: 117.0 (#171, #18 in D4, divisor 97, berth 19%, home 4%, proj. out) 3W-9.9H-7% 4W-13.8H-55%-#8 5W-17.5H-96%-#5 6W-21.2H-100%-#3 7W-24.8H-100%-#1

#196 Bexley (Columbus) (4-0) 115.1
Ranked #22 of 110 in Division IV, #8 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.341, #520 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.324, #89 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 9-1, win total probabilities 7W-2% 8W-14% 9W-39% 10W-45%
Harbin projections (ranges): 6W-15.28(14.17-16.64) 7W-17.19(14.57-19.72) 8W-19.46(16.13-22.85) 9W-21.93(18.50-25.16) 10W-24.35(21.62-26.57)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-46% 7W-85% 8W-99% 9W-99% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-6% 8W-31% 9W-72% 10W-97%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#7 (#3-#out) 8W-#5 (#2-#out) 9W-#4 (#1-#out) 10W-#2 (#1-#6)
Projected 21.93 Harbin points (divisor 99), projected #3 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 99% (control own destiny), 76% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 99% with a win this week, and 98% with a loss
1st round opponents: Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 16%, Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) 15%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 14%, Maysville (Zanesville) 12%, Indian Creek (Wintersville) 9%
Week 1: Won 45-12 A vs #487 Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (3-1, D7 R25), pick: W by 15
Week 2: Won 56-0 H vs #643 Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (0-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 29
Week 3: Won 41-28 A vs #424 Centennial (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9), pick: W by 1
Week 4: Won 42-16 H vs #323 Grandview Heights (Columbus) (3-1, D6 R21), pick: W by 3
Week 5: H vs #396 Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (1-3, D3 R9) 85% W (18 pts)
Week 6: A vs #421 West Jefferson (1-3, D5 R18) 84% W (17 pts)
Week 7: H vs #386 Madison Plains (London) (3-1, D6 R22) 84% W (17 pts)
Week 8: H vs #711 Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (0-4, D7 R25) 99% W (43 pts)
Week 9: H vs #521 London (1-3, D4 R14) 94% W (27 pts)
Week 10: A vs #372 Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (2-1, D6 R21) 78% W (13 pts)
Week 3: 108.6 (#273, #35 in D4, divisor 99, berth 97%, home 67%, proj. #3 seed) 5W-11.2H-30% 6W-13.5H-71%-#8 7W-16.1H-96%-#6 8W-18.8H-99%-#4 9W-21.6H-100%-#2 10W-24.4H-100%-#2

#219 Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1) 113.1
Ranked #27 of 110 in Division IV, #9 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.516, #353 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.502, #56 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 6-4, win total probabilities 4W-2% 5W-16% 6W-36% 7W-32% 8W-12%
Harbin projections (ranges): 4W-7.80(6.15-12.00) 5W-9.50(7.60-17.60) 6W-13.80(10.95-20.65) 7W-17.90(15.30-24.30) 8W-22.30(20.15-26.60) 9W-26.85(25.10-28.35)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-1% 6W-19% 7W-89% 8W-100% 9W-100%
Home game probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-3% 8W-66% 9W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#7-#out) 6W-#out (#4-#out) 7W-#7 (#2-#out) 8W-#4 (#1-#8) 9W-#1 (#1-#3)
Projected 13.80 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 49% (control own destiny), 11% chance of a home game (control own destiny)
Playoff chance 82% with a win this week, and 40% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 23%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 16%, Bexley (Columbus) 16%, Steubenville 16%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 14%
Week 1: Lost 6-42 H vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 9
Week 2: Won 19-13 H vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 4
Week 3: Won 42-36 H vs #390 Heath (1-3, D4 R13), pick: W by 13
Week 4: Won 40-0 A vs #650 Northridge (Johnstown) (1-3, D5 R17), pick: W by 34
Week 5: A vs #98 Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0, D4 R13) 77% L (13 pts)
Week 6: A vs #494 Utica (1-3, D4 R13) 89% W (22 pts)
Week 7: H vs #205 Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (4-0, D2 R5) 50% W (1 pts)
Week 8: A vs #237 Licking Heights (Pataskala) (3-1, D2 R5) 51% W (1 pts)
Week 9: H vs #561 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4, D3 R9) 95% W (29 pts)
Week 10: A vs #141 Granville (3-1, D3 R9) 68% L (8 pts)
Week 3: 114.3 (#205, #27 in D4, divisor 100, berth 80%, home 35%, proj. #4 seed) 4W-8.3H-1% 5W-10.4H-19% 6W-14.1H-80%-#7 7W-18.1H-99%-#4 8W-22.4H-100%-#2 9W-27.0H-100%-#1

#278 Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (3-1) 107.3
Ranked #42 of 110 in Division IV, #10 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.468, #398 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.450, #65 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 5-5, win total probabilities 3W-3% 4W-18% 5W-34% 6W-29% 7W-13%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-7.21(4.68-9.33) 4W-9.68(6.60-14.27) 5W-12.80(9.22-17.65) 6W-16.13(11.53-21.18) 7W-19.71(16.13-24.31) 8W-23.39(20.41-26.73) 9W-27.28(26.06-27.88)
Playoff probabilities: 4W-1% 5W-8% 6W-58% 7W-98% 8W-100% 9W-100%
Home game probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-20% 8W-87% 9W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#5-#out) 6W-#8 (#4-#out) 7W-#6 (#2-#out) 8W-#3 (#1-#7) 9W-#1 (#1-#2)
Projected 12.80 Harbin points (divisor 99), projected out (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 36% (control own destiny), 6% chance of a home game (control own destiny)
Playoff chance 55% with a win this week, and 26% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 25%, Bexley (Columbus) 18%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 16%, Steubenville 16%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 13%
Week 1: Won 42-0 H vs #561 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4, D3 R9), pick: W by 22
Week 2: Won 30-0 H vs #503 Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (2-2, D5 R17), pick: W by 19
Week 3: Lost 23-34 H vs #215 Ironton (3-1, D5 R17), pick: W by 6
Week 4: Won 20-16 H vs #279 Liberty Union (Baltimore) (3-1, D5 R17), pick: L by 8
Week 5: A vs #214 Hamilton Township (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) 67% L (8 pts)
Week 6: H vs #161 Teays Valley (Ashville) (3-1, D2 R5) 71% L (10 pts)
Week 7: H vs #426 Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2, D4 R13) 77% W (13 pts)
Week 8: A vs #284 Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-1, D4 R13) 53% L (1 pts)
Week 9: A vs #109 Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-0, D3 R9) 84% L (18 pts)
Week 10: H vs #211 Circleville (3-1, D4 R14) 61% L (5 pts)
Week 3: 102.6 (#337, #51 in D4, divisor 99, berth 25%, home 4%, proj. out) 4W-9.7H-4% 5W-12.9H-42% 6W-16.3H-93%-#6 7W-19.8H-100%-#4 8W-23.4H-100%-#2

#284 Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-1) 107.0
Ranked #43 of 110 in Division IV, #11 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.353, #511 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.335, #88 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 5-5, win total probabilities 3W-7% 4W-25% 5W-33% 6W-25% 7W-9%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-5.50(3.55-7.80) 4W-8.85(5.90-12.85) 5W-12.15(8.85-16.70) 6W-15.70(11.90-19.75) 7W-19.20(15.45-22.95) 8W-23.13(20.30-25.60) 9W-26.70(25.35-27.35)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-2% 6W-46% 7W-95% 8W-100% 9W-100%
Home game probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-11% 8W-75% 9W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#6-#out) 6W-#out (#3-#out) 7W-#6 (#1-#out) 8W-#4 (#1-#8) 9W-#2 (#1-#3)
Projected 12.15 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 23% (control own destiny), 3% chance of a home game (control own destiny)
Playoff chance 33% with a win this week, and 14% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 26%, Steubenville 18%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 17%, Bexley (Columbus) 16%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 12%
Week 1: Lost 30-31 H vs #390 Heath (1-3, D4 R13), pick: W by 8
Week 2: Won 24-14 H vs #396 Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (1-3, D3 R9), pick: L by 3
Week 3: Won 39-25 A vs #621 Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (0-4, D3 R9), pick: W by 25
Week 4: Won 50-32 A vs #426 Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 6
Week 5: A vs #279 Liberty Union (Baltimore) (3-1, D5 R17) 54% L (2 pts)
Week 6: H vs #109 Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-0, D3 R9) 80% L (15 pts)
Week 7: A vs #211 Circleville (3-1, D4 R14) 68% L (8 pts)
Week 8: H vs #278 Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (3-1, D4 R13) 53% W (1 pts)
Week 9: A vs #214 Hamilton Township (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) 67% L (8 pts)
Week 10: H vs #161 Teays Valley (Ashville) (3-1, D2 R5) 71% L (10 pts)
Week 3: 105.9 (#293, #41 in D4, divisor 100, berth 40%, home 9%, proj. #8 seed) 4W-9.9H-6% 5W-13.1H-50% 6W-16.5H-95%-#6 7W-20.0H-100%-#3 8W-23.7H-100%-#2

#318 Warren (Vincent) (1-3) 104.5
Ranked #49 of 110 in Division IV, #12 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.701, #184 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.686, #20 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 4-6, win total probabilities 2W-5% 3W-21% 4W-36% 5W-28% 6W-9%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-7.21(4.43-12.21) 4W-9.78(6.29-14.07) 5W-12.50(8.51-17.90) 6W-15.27(11.69-19.72) 7W-19.26(16.63-21.48)
Playoff probabilities: 4W-1% 5W-3% 6W-36% 7W-90%
Home game probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-14%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#6-#out) 6W-#out (#4-#out) 7W-#6 (#3-#out)
Projected 9.78 Harbin points (divisor 99), projected out (best #3, worst out)
Playoff chance 5%, 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 5% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 38%, Steubenville 17%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 14%, Bexley (Columbus) 13%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 11%
Week 1: Lost 22-41 H vs Parkersburg (Parkersburg) [WV] (1-2, D1)
Week 2: Won 19-8 H vs #401 Marietta (2-2, D3 R9), pick: W by 1
Week 3: Lost 6-69 A vs #80 Athens (The Plains) (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 30
Week 4: Lost 7-49 A vs Parkersburg South (Parkersburg) [WV] (3-1, D1)
Week 5: A vs #584 Chesapeake (2-2, D5 R17) 89% W (22 pts)
Week 6: A vs #95 Jackson (4-0, D3 R9) 90% L (22 pts)
Week 7: H vs #298 Martins Ferry (3-1, D5 R17) 50% W (1 pts)
Week 8: H vs #398 Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (2-2, D4 R14) 67% W (8 pts)
Week 9: A vs #374 Portsmouth (1-3, D5 R17) 56% W (3 pts)
Week 10: H vs #254 Logan (1-3, D2 R5) 58% L (4 pts)
Week 3: 100.9 (#361, #59 in D4, divisor 99, berth 20%, home 2%, proj. out) 3W-7.0H-1% 4W-9.8H-7% 5W-13.0H-42% 6W-16.2H-88%-#6 7W-19.4H-98%-#4

#334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2) 103.4
Ranked #52 of 110 in Division IV, #13 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.473, #391 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.459, #63 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 5-5, win total probabilities 3W-2% 4W-15% 5W-40% 6W-36% 7W-6%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-3.20(1.90-8.25) 4W-5.00(3.50-9.45) 5W-7.10(5.35-12.70) 6W-9.30(8.05-15.55) 7W-13.70(12.15-17.55) 8W-18.55(16.90-19.25)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-7% 8W-83%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#out (#6-#out) 8W-#8 (#6-#out)
Projected 7.10 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #6, worst out)
Playoff chance 1%, no home game
Playoff chance 1% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 53%, Steubenville 17%, Bexley (Columbus) 11%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 9%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 8%
Week 1: Won 20-6 H vs #587 West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17), pick: W by 32
Week 2: Lost 13-19 A vs #219 Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 4
Week 3: Lost 14-35 A vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13), pick: L by 10
Week 4: Won 49-6 H vs #589 River View (Warsaw) (0-4, D4 R13), pick: W by 22
Week 5: A vs #443 John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2, D4 R13) 67% W (8 pts)
Week 6: H vs #507 Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21) 82% W (16 pts)
Week 7: A vs #118 Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9) 88% L (21 pts)
Week 8: H vs #405 New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13) 66% W (7 pts)
Week 9: A vs #628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13) 93% W (26 pts)
Week 10: H vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9) 93% L (26 pts)
Week 3: 103.0 (#329, #48 in D4, divisor 100, berth 5%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-5.5H-1% 5W-7.5H-1% 6W-9.7H-6% 7W-14.1H-58%-#8 8W-18.3H-100%-#5

#365 Indian Creek (Wintersville) (4-0) 101.0
Ranked #57 of 110 in Division IV, #14 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.155, #660 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.142, #108 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 8-2, win total probabilities 6W-13% 7W-31% 8W-35% 9W-15% 10W-2%
Harbin projections (ranges): 4W-6.88(4.95-8.80) 5W-9.25(6.65-13.25) 6W-11.55(7.70-17.10) 7W-13.95(9.55-19.75) 8W-16.75(12.75-23.90) 9W-20.00(16.45-24.85) 10W-23.95(21.40-27.25)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-3% 7W-25% 8W-71% 9W-98% 10W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-1% 8W-2% 9W-23% 10W-88%
Seed projections (ranges): 6W-#out (#6-#out) 7W-#out (#4-#out) 8W-#8 (#2-#out) 9W-#6 (#1-#out) 10W-#3 (#1-#7)
Projected 16.75 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #7 seed (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 50% (control own destiny), 6% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 87% with a win this week, and 41% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 25%, Bexley (Columbus) 18%, Steubenville 17%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 16%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 13%
Week 1: Won 9-8 A vs Brooke () [WV] (1-3, D3)
Week 2: Won 25-6 H vs #567 East Liverpool (0-4, D4 R11), pick: W by 10
Week 3: Won 16-0 A vs Oak Glen () [WV] (1-3, D5)
Week 4: Won 19-12 A vs #575 Buckeye Local (Rayland) (0-4, D4 R13), pick: W by 20
Week 5: H vs #176 St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17) 79% L (14 pts)
Week 6: A vs #554 Beaver (Lisbon) (2-2, D4 R11) 82% W (16 pts)
Week 7: H vs #524 Union Local (Belmont) (2-2, D5 R17) 81% W (16 pts)
Week 8: A vs #298 Martins Ferry (3-1, D5 R17) 64% L (6 pts)
Week 9: H vs #422 Harrison Central (Cadiz) (3-1, D5 R15) 64% W (6 pts)
Week 10: H vs #450 Edison (Richmond) (1-3, D4 R13) 70% W (9 pts)
Week 3: 104.0 (#318, #46 in D4, divisor 100, berth 88%, home 38%, proj. #5 seed) 5W-10.8H-19% 6W-12.7H-52%-#8 7W-15.0H-86%-#7 8W-17.6H-99%-#5 9W-20.9H-100%-#3 10W-24.5H-100%-#2

#390 Heath (1-3) 98.8
Ranked #61 of 110 in Division IV, #15 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.759, #136 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.742, #15 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 4-6, win total probabilities 2W-4% 3W-21% 4W-39% 5W-28% 6W-7%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-5.55(3.90-12.20) 4W-7.55(5.25-14.60) 5W-10.20(7.80-17.25) 6W-14.35(12.20-19.55) 7W-18.55(16.85-20.65)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-1% 6W-17% 7W-93%
Home game probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-7%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#6-#out) 6W-#out (#4-#out) 7W-#7 (#4-#out)
Projected 7.55 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #4, worst out)
Playoff chance 2%, 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 2% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 33%, Bexley (Columbus) 18%, Steubenville 18%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 14%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 10%
Week 1: Won 31-30 A vs #284 Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 8
Week 2: Lost 12-21 H vs #141 Granville (3-1, D3 R9), pick: L by 19
Week 3: Lost 36-42 A vs #219 Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 13
Week 4: Lost 13-47 H vs #237 Licking Heights (Pataskala) (3-1, D2 R5), pick: L by 7
Week 5: A vs #561 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4, D3 R9) 79% W (14 pts)
Week 6: H vs #351 Newark Catholic (Newark) (3-1, D6 R21) 55% L (2 pts)
Week 7: A vs #494 Utica (1-3, D4 R13) 66% W (7 pts)
Week 8: H vs #205 Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (4-0, D2 R5) 79% L (14 pts)
Week 9: H vs #98 Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0, D4 R13) 91% L (24 pts)
Week 10: A vs #650 Northridge (Johnstown) (1-3, D5 R17) 93% W (25 pts)
Week 3: 103.0 (#330, #49 in D4, divisor 100, berth 26%, home 4%, proj. out) 3W-5.6H-1% 4W-7.9H-1% 5W-10.7H-14% 6W-14.0H-65%-#8 7W-17.7H-99%-#5 8W-21.4H-100%-#2

#400 Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3) 98.0
Ranked #65 of 110 in Division IV, #16 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.668, #211 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.653, #23 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 4-6, win total probabilities 2W-6% 3W-32% 4W-43% 5W-16% 6W-2%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-4.90(2.95-11.10) 4W-7.60(5.25-13.70) 5W-11.40(8.40-16.45) 6W-15.20(13.05-19.05) 7W-19.20(18.60-20.60)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-1% 6W-29% 7W-100%
Home game probabilities: 7W-7%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#7-#out) 6W-#out (#5-#out) 7W-#6 (#4-#8)
Projected 7.60 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #4, worst out)
Playoff chance 1% (control own destiny), 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 1% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 42%, Steubenville 22%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 11%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 11%, Bexley (Columbus) 9%
Week 1: Lost 7-28 A vs #176 St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17), pick: L by 8
Week 2: Lost 12-36 H vs #157 Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 13
Week 3: Lost 15-35 A vs #195 Carrollton (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 16
Week 4: Won 40-7 H vs #554 Beaver (Lisbon) (2-2, D4 R11), pick: W by 6
Week 5: A vs #625 Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (1-3, D7 R25) 89% W (22 pts)
Week 6: H vs #185 New Philadelphia (2-2, D3 R9) 83% L (16 pts)
Week 7: H vs #589 River View (Warsaw) (0-4, D4 R13) 86% W (19 pts)
Week 8: H vs #428 Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1, D4 R13) 59% W (4 pts)
Week 9: A vs #186 Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17) 86% L (19 pts)
Week 10: A vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13) 89% L (22 pts)
Week 3: 92.9 (#460, #80 in D4, divisor 100, berth 2%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-8.1H-1% 5W-11.5H-15% 6W-15.2H-75%-#7

#405 New Lexington (2-2) 97.6
Ranked #66 of 110 in Division IV, #17 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.396, #479 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.380, #82 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 4-6, win total probabilities 2W-3% 3W-23% 4W-43% 5W-26% 6W-5%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-4.00(2.95-8.30) 4W-6.30(5.20-12.50) 5W-9.20(8.05-14.85) 6W-13.15(11.45-17.15) 7W-17.15(16.40-18.35)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-1% 6W-6% 7W-79%
Seed projections (ranges): 6W-#out (#7-#out) 7W-#8 (#6-#out)
Projected 6.30 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #3, worst out)
Playoff chance 1%, 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 9% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 48%, Bexley (Columbus) 21%, Steubenville 14%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 11%, Maysville (Zanesville) 4%
Week 1: Lost 21-27 A vs #426 Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: W by 9
Week 2: Lost 7-43 H vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13), pick: L by 18
Week 3: Won 49-14 A vs #628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13), pick: W by 14
Week 4: Won 33-6 H vs #507 Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21), pick: L by 2
Week 5: A vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9) 96% L (31 pts)
Week 6: H vs #186 Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17) 83% L (17 pts)
Week 7: H vs #587 West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17) 85% W (18 pts)
Week 8: A vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13) 66% L (7 pts)
Week 9: H vs #443 John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2, D4 R13) 61% W (5 pts)
Week 10: A vs #118 Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9) 93% L (25 pts)
Week 3: 93.5 (#455, #79 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-6.8H-1% 5W-10.0H-4% 6W-13.2H-43% 7W-16.9H-100%-#6

#426 Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2) 95.6
Ranked #70 of 110 in Division IV, #18 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.525, #342 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.510, #53 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 3-7, win total probabilities 2W-35% 3W-41% 4W-19% 5W-4%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-7.35(4.90-10.70) 4W-10.60(7.60-14.45) 5W-13.75(10.00-17.95) 6W-17.10(14.85-21.20)
Playoff probabilities: 4W-1% 5W-9% 6W-66%
Home game probabilities: 6W-7%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#6-#out) 6W-#8 (#4-#out)
Projected 7.35 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #3, worst out)
Playoff chance 1%, 1% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 6% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 45%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 14%, Steubenville 14%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 11%, Bexley (Columbus) 9%
Week 1: Won 27-21 H vs #405 New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13), pick: L by 9
Week 2: Lost 0-26 H vs #98 Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0, D4 R13), pick: L by 18
Week 3: Won 39-23 A vs #620 Adena (Frankfort) (1-3, D5 R17), pick: W by 10
Week 4: Lost 32-50 H vs #284 Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 6
Week 5: A vs #109 Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-0, D3 R9) 94% L (27 pts)
Week 6: H vs #211 Circleville (3-1, D4 R14) 83% L (16 pts)
Week 7: A vs #278 Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (3-1, D4 R13) 77% L (13 pts)
Week 8: H vs #214 Hamilton Township (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) 82% L (16 pts)
Week 9: A vs #161 Teays Valley (Ashville) (3-1, D2 R5) 91% L (24 pts)
Week 10: A vs #279 Liberty Union (Baltimore) (3-1, D5 R17) 77% L (13 pts)
Week 3: 98.4 (#391, #63 in D4, divisor 100, berth 13%, home 1%, proj. out) 3W-7.1H-1% 4W-10.1H-5% 5W-13.1H-47% 6W-16.4H-96%-#6 7W-20.0H-100%-#4

#428 Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1) 95.6
Ranked #71 of 110 in Division IV, #19 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.236, #615 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.227, #101 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 6-4, win total probabilities 4W-4% 5W-19% 6W-39% 7W-29% 8W-8%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-2.89(2.06-3.98) 4W-4.12(2.41-7.71) 5W-5.43(3.26-10.43) 6W-7.25(4.82-13.16) 7W-9.62(6.69-15.52) 8W-12.59(9.21-18.40) 9W-15.87(14.25-18.39)
Playoff probabilities: 7W-1% 8W-5% 9W-55%
Seed projections (ranges): 8W-#out (#5-#out) 9W-#8 (#6-#out)
Projected 7.25 Harbin points (divisor 99), projected out (best #5, worst out)
Playoff chance 1%, no home game
Playoff chance 1% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 40%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 22%, Bexley (Columbus) 18%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 10%, Steubenville 8%
Week 1: Lost 20-34 A vs #207 Shadyside (4-0, D7 R25), pick: L by 17
Week 2: Won 35-12 A vs #670 Barnesville (0-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 6
Week 3: Won 45-7 H vs #674 Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (0-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 26
Week 4: Won 46-0 H vs #628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13), pick: W by 24
Week 5: A vs #534 Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (1-3, D6 R21) 68% W (8 pts)
Week 6: H vs #589 River View (Warsaw) (0-4, D4 R13) 83% W (16 pts)
Week 7: H vs #186 Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17) 86% L (19 pts)
Week 8: A vs #400 Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3, D4 R13) 59% L (4 pts)
Week 9: H vs #625 Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (1-3, D7 R25) 90% W (22 pts)
Week 10: A vs #295 Cambridge (2-2, D3 R9) 75% L (12 pts)
Week 3: 95.3 (#435, #73 in D4, divisor 99, berth 6%, home 1%, proj. out) 5W-5.9H-1% 6W-7.6H-1% 7W-9.6H-5% 8W-12.4H-28% 9W-15.7H-87%-#7

#443 John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2) 94.1
Ranked #75 of 110 in Division IV, #20 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.428, #442 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.415, #75 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 4-6, win total probabilities 2W-2% 3W-17% 4W-40% 5W-32% 6W-9%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-3.35(1.80-8.00) 4W-5.10(3.40-10.00) 5W-7.30(5.20-13.70) 6W-9.80(8.10-16.05) 7W-13.85(12.45-16.10)
Playoff probabilities: 6W-1% 7W-14%
Projected 5.10 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #6, worst out)
Playoff chance 1%, no home game
Playoff chance 1% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 42%, Bexley (Columbus) 33%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 8%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 8%, Steubenville 8%
Week 1: Won 34-8 H vs #670 Barnesville (0-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 23
Week 2: Lost 21-56 A vs #295 Cambridge (2-2, D3 R9), pick: W by 8
Week 3: Won 14-10 H vs #587 West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17), pick: W by 21
Week 4: Lost 0-42 A vs #118 Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 28
Week 5: H vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13) 67% L (8 pts)
Week 6: A vs #628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13) 85% W (18 pts)
Week 7: H vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9) 96% L (32 pts)
Week 8: A vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13) 92% L (25 pts)
Week 9: A vs #405 New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13) 61% L (5 pts)
Week 10: H vs #507 Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21) 65% W (7 pts)
Week 3: 94.4 (#446, #77 in D4, divisor 100, berth 2%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-5.6H-1% 5W-7.8H-1% 6W-10.4H-9% 7W-14.4H-69%-#8

#450 Edison (Richmond) (1-3) 93.6
Ranked #77 of 110 in Division IV, #21 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.548, #324 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.530, #49 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 3-7, win total probabilities 1W-3% 2W-16% 3W-34% 4W-31% 5W-14%
Harbin projections (ranges): 3W-5.55(3.05-10.60) 4W-8.15(5.40-14.15) 5W-11.30(8.50-17.05) 6W-14.80(12.90-18.50) 7W-18.80(17.80-19.35)
Playoff probabilities: 5W-2% 6W-26% 7W-100%
Seed projections (ranges): 5W-#out (#5-#out) 6W-#out (#5-#out) 7W-#7 (#6-#8)
Projected 5.55 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #5, worst out)
Playoff chance 1% (control own destiny), no home game
Playoff chance 1% with a win this week, and 1% with a loss
1st round opponents: Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 39%, Steubenville 28%, Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 10%, Bexley (Columbus) 8%, Beechcroft (Columbus) 7%
Week 1: Lost 14-17 H vs Oak Glen () [WV] (1-3, D5)
Week 2: Lost 13-46 A vs #195 Carrollton (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 21
Week 3: Lost 14-23 H vs Weir () [WV] (3-1, D4)
Week 4: Won 19-16 H vs #493 Bellaire (0-4, D6 R21), pick: L by 5
Week 5: A vs #524 Union Local (Belmont) (2-2, D5 R17) 61% W (5 pts)
Week 6: A vs #575 Buckeye Local (Rayland) (0-4, D4 R13) 72% W (10 pts)
Week 7: H vs #422 Harrison Central (Cadiz) (3-1, D5 R15) 53% L (1 pts)
Week 8: H vs #176 St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17) 89% L (22 pts)
Week 9: A vs #298 Martins Ferry (3-1, D5 R17) 78% L (14 pts)
Week 10: A vs #365 Indian Creek (Wintersville) (4-0, D4 R13) 70% L (9 pts)
Week 3: 87.9 (#516, #91 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-8.8H-2% 5W-11.4H-20% 6W-14.9H-63%-#8

#494 Utica (1-3) 90.0
Ranked #87 of 110 in Division IV, #22 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.572, #301 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.556, #42 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 3-7, win total probabilities 1W-5% 2W-44% 3W-38% 4W-11% 5W-1%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 0-23 H vs #317 Centerburg (3-1, D6 R21), pick: L by 5
Week 2: Won 14-0 A vs #635 East Knox (Howard) (0-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 1
Week 3: Lost 32-48 A vs #179 Fredericktown (4-0, D6 R21), pick: L by 26
Week 4: Lost 8-25 H vs #205 Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (4-0, D2 R5), pick: L by 19
Week 5: A vs #141 Granville (3-1, D3 R9) 95% L (28 pts)
Week 6: H vs #219 Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1, D4 R13) 89% L (22 pts)
Week 7: H vs #390 Heath (1-3, D4 R13) 66% L (7 pts)
Week 8: A vs #98 Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0, D4 R13) 96% L (31 pts)
Week 9: H vs #650 Northridge (Johnstown) (1-3, D5 R17) 88% W (21 pts)
Week 10: A vs #351 Newark Catholic (Newark) (3-1, D6 R21) 79% L (14 pts)
Week 3: 92.5 (#463, #81 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, home 1%, proj. out) 4W-8.8H-1% 5W-12.4H-27% 6W-16.0H-92%-#6

#522 Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (0-4) 87.3
Ranked #93 of 110 in Division IV, #23 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.731, #161 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.714, #16 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 2-8, win total probabilities 0W-5% 1W-22% 2W-35% 3W-26% 4W-10%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 14-27 H vs #305 Waynedale (Apple Creek) (2-2, D5 R16), pick: L by 1
Week 2: Lost 7-34 H vs #186 Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17), pick: L by 14
Week 3: Lost 0-14 A vs #340 Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (3-1, D5 R15), pick: L by 10
Week 4: Lost 7-47 A vs #96 Triway (Wooster) (4-0, D4 R12), pick: L by 33
Week 5: H vs #412 Manchester (Akron) (1-3, D5 R15) 68% L (8 pts)
Week 6: H vs #435 Fairless (Navarre) (1-3, D5 R15) 63% L (6 pts)
Week 7: A vs #517 Tuslaw (Massillon) (0-4, D5 R15) 55% L (2 pts)
Week 8: A vs #597 Timken (Canton) (1-3, D2 R4) 64% W (6 pts)
Week 9: H vs #445 Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (1-3, D4 R11) 62% L (5 pts)
Week 10: A vs #157 Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-1, D4 R13) 95% L (29 pts)
Week 3: 83.0 (#568, #99 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, proj. out) 4W-6.8H-1%

#575 Buckeye Local (Rayland) (0-4) 81.9
Ranked #101 of 110 in Division IV, #24 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.460, #408 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.439, #70 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 2-8, win total probabilities 0W-12% 1W-33% 2W-35% 3W-17% 4W-4%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 0-36 H vs #298 Martins Ferry (3-1, D5 R17), pick: L by 20
Week 2: Lost 23-26 A vs #524 Union Local (Belmont) (2-2, D5 R17), pick: L by 9
Week 3: Lost 6-41 H vs John Marshall () [WV] (3-1, D3)
Week 4: Lost 12-19 H vs #365 Indian Creek (Wintersville) (4-0, D4 R13), pick: L by 20
Week 5: A vs #493 Bellaire (0-4, D6 R21) 71% L (10 pts)
Week 6: H vs #450 Edison (Richmond) (1-3, D4 R13) 72% L (10 pts)
Week 7: H vs #554 Beaver (Lisbon) (2-2, D4 R11) 51% L (1 pts)
Week 8: A vs #567 East Liverpool (0-4, D4 R11) 55% L (2 pts)
Week 9: A vs #176 St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17) 96% L (31 pts)
Week 10: A vs #422 Harrison Central (Cadiz) (3-1, D5 R15) 82% L (16 pts)
Week 3: 82.9 (#570, #100 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, proj. out) 4W-7.7H-1% 5W-9.9H-6% 6W-11.9H-25%

#589 River View (Warsaw) (0-4) 80.6
Ranked #102 of 110 in Division IV, #25 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.671, #209 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.651, #24 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 1-9, win total probabilities 0W-21% 1W-55% 2W-21% 3W-3%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 0-26 H vs #337 Danville (3-1, D7 R25), pick: L by 15
Week 2: Lost 0-36 A vs #176 St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17), pick: L by 30
Week 3: Lost 0-35 H vs #257 Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (3-1, D6 R21), pick: L by 26
Week 4: Lost 6-49 A vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13), pick: L by 22
Week 5: H vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13) 96% L (31 pts)
Week 6: A vs #428 Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1, D4 R13) 83% L (16 pts)
Week 7: A vs #400 Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3, D4 R13) 86% L (19 pts)
Week 8: H vs #625 Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (1-3, D7 R25) 67% W (8 pts)
Week 9: H vs #217 Zanesville (1-3, D2 R5) 95% L (28 pts)
Week 10: A vs #186 Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17) 96% L (32 pts)
Week 3: 82.9 (#572, #101 in D4, divisor 100, berth 1%, proj. out) 4W-9.4H-1%

#628 Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4) 74.3
Ranked #106 of 110 in Division IV, #26 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.567, #305 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.549, #45 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 1-9, win total probabilities 0W-45% 1W-41% 2W-12% 3W-1%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 0-42 H vs #401 Marietta (2-2, D3 R9), pick: L by 7
Week 2: Lost 0-69 A vs #52 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9), pick: L by 42
Week 3: Lost 14-49 H vs #405 New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13), pick: L by 14
Week 4: Lost 0-46 A vs #428 Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1, D4 R13), pick: L by 24
Week 5: A vs #118 Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9) 99% L (39 pts)
Week 6: H vs #443 John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2, D4 R13) 85% L (18 pts)
Week 7: H vs #163 Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13) 98% L (35 pts)
Week 8: A vs #507 Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21) 82% L (16 pts)
Week 9: H vs #334 Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13) 93% L (26 pts)
Week 10: A vs #587 West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17) 68% L (8 pts)
Week 3: 72.3 (#647, #110 in D4, out of playoff contention)

#637 South Urban Academy (Columbus) (1-3#) 73.6
Ranked #108 of 110 in Division IV, #27 in Region 13
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.441, #433 toughest (of 721)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.420, #74 toughest (of 110)
Projected record 2-8, win total probabilities 1W-19% 2W-56% 3W-22% 4W-3%
Not in playoff contention
Week 1: Lost 8-28 H vs #486 Whetstone (Columbus) (0-4$, D2 R5), pick: L by 14, later won by forfeit
Week 2: Lost 0-49 H vs #350 Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (2-2, D1 R2), pick: L by 21
Week 3: Lost 0-41 A vs #487 Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (3-1, D7 R25), pick: W by 1
Week 4: Lost 14-50 A vs #314 Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R9), pick: L by 29
Week 5: H vs #409 Independence (Columbus) (0-4, D3 R9) 90% L (22 pts)
Week 6: A vs #78 Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (4-0, D5 R17) 99% L (42 pts)
Week 7: A vs #444 Briggs (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R9) 90% L (22 pts)
Week 8: H vs #696 Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (1-3, D7 R25) 72% W (10 pts)
Week 9: H vs #485 West (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9) 82% L (16 pts)
Week 10: A vs #77 Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (3-1, D4 R13) 99% L (42 pts)
Week 3: 72.7 (#643, #109 in D4, out of playoff contention)