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Rankings
#19 of 109 in Division 3
#6 of 29 in Region 11
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 47-12 A #475 Marion-Franklin (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 139
08/30 (week 2) W 31-14 H #245 Clear Fork (1-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 139
09/06 (week 3) W 48-12 H #262 Johnstown (3-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 164
09/13 (week 4) W 70-14 H #525 Washington (0-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 45 (99%), perf. rating 136
09/20 (week 5) A #439 Utica (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (98%)
09/27 (week 6) H #329 Watkins Memorial (0-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (97%)
10/04 (week 7) H #284 Licking Heights (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 29 (96%)
10/11 (week 8) A #156 Licking Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 9 (71%)
10/18 (week 9) A #553 Zanesville (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/25 (week 10) H #522 Mount Vernon (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 44 (99%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#87 of 109 in Division 3
Regular season projections
10-0 record
24.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 79% home (maybe if 9-1), 33% twice (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.45 (12.45-28.25) 100% in, 79% home, 34% twice, proj. #5 (#1-#16), Licking Valley (3-1) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
(67%) 10W: 24.20 (20.55-28.25) 100% in, 99% home, 50% twice, proj. #5 (#1-#10), Licking Valley (3-1) 12%
(30%) 9W: 19.50 (16.15-23.50) 100% in, 40% home, 1% twice, proj. #9 (#3-#16), Jackson (3-1) 18%
( 3%) 8W: 16.45 (13.20-19.60) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-#16), Bloom-Carroll (3-1) 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(67%) WWWWWW: 24.20 (20.55-28.25) 100% in, 99% home, 50% twice, proj. #5 (#1-#10), Licking Valley (3-1) 12%
(26%) WWWLWW: 19.35 (16.15-22.80) 100% in, 34% home, 1% twice, proj. #9 (#4-#16), Jackson (3-1) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 141.0, #96, D3 #19), likely in, 79% home (maybe if 9-1), 33% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #6 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 142.8, #95, D3 #18), appears locked in, 90% home (maybe if 9-1), 47% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 136.1, #118, D3 #21), 98% (bubble if 7-3), 63% home (maybe if 9-1), 25% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 138.4, #112, D3 #24), likely in, 68% home (maybe if 9-1), 28% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 133.6, #139, D3 #27), 98% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 79% home (maybe if 8-2), 40% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Last season 136.4