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Rankings
#81 of 106 in Division 6
#20 of 27 in Region 21
Schedule and results
08/22 (week 1) W 24-6 A #681 Mathews (1-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 58
08/30 (week 2) W 48-6 H #689 Newton Falls (0-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 32 (94%), perf. rating 85
09/06 (week 3) L 26-14 A #495 Windham (4-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 66
09/13 (week 4) L 42-14 H #467 Mineral Ridge (2-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 43
09/20 (week 5) A #392 McDonald (2-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 29 (3%)
09/27 (week 6) H #239 Springfield (New Midd.) (2-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/04 (week 7) A #627 Waterloo (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 10 (73%)
10/11 (week 8) H #524 Lowellville (3-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/18 (week 9) H #575 Campbell Memorial (2-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/25 (week 10) A #334 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (4-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#70 of 106 in Division 6
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
27% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.05 ( 3.05-12.45) 89% in, 3% home, proj. #13 (#7-out), Pymatuning Valley (4-0) 20%
Lose: 3.40 ( 1.15-10.10) 24% in, proj. out (#10-out), Kirtland (4-0) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 6W: 9.20 ( 8.10-12.45) 100% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#8-#14), Pymatuning Valley (4-0) 25%
(16%) 5W: 6.20 ( 5.80- 8.80) 93% in, proj. #15 (#10-out), Dalton (3-1) 27%
(31%) 4W: 4.30 ( 3.90- 8.05) 31% in, proj. out (#13-out), Kirtland (4-0) 61%
(36%) 3W: 2.70 ( 2.35- 5.00) 1% in, proj. out (#15-out)
(15%) 2W: 1.15 ( 1.15- 2.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(13%) LLWWWL: 6.15 ( 5.80- 8.40) 92% in, proj. #15 (#11-out), Dalton (3-1) 28%
( 7%) LLWWLL: 4.55 ( 4.20- 6.05) 26% in, proj. out (#13-out), Kirtland (4-0) 54%
(20%) LLWLWL: 4.30 ( 3.95- 5.75) 29% in, proj. out (#13-out), Kirtland (4-0) 67%
( 6%) LLLLWL: 2.75 ( 2.40- 4.30) out
(28%) LLWLLL: 2.70 ( 2.35- 3.95) 1% in, proj. out (#15-out), Dalton (3-1) 50%
(15%) LLLLLL: 1.15 ( 1.15- 2.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 63.3, #588, D6 #81), 27% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 77.7, #519, D6 #60), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #13 at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 80.1, #511, D6 #57), 76% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% twice (likely needs 9-1), proj. #13 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 79.1, #517, D6 #63), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% twice (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 79.7, #509, D6 #54), 74% (bubble if 4-6), 14% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #13 at 6-4
Last season 80.4