Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Regional champion probabilities

Updated 21-Oct-2023 11:38PM

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel
State champion probabilities
(teams below 0.5% not shown)

Region 1
St Edward (8-1) 85%
Wadsworth (8-2) 5.3%
Medina (7-3) 4.0%
Cleveland Heights (9-1) 2.3%
Mentor (7-3) 2.3%
Canton McKinley (7-3) 0.9%

Region 2
Olentangy (9-1) 24%
Olentangy Berlin (9-1) 19%
Findlay (8-2) 15%
Springfield (5-5) 9.6%
Centerville (8-2) 9.3%
Dublin Coffman (7-3) 4.7%
Whitmer (7-3) 4.0%
Wayne (7-3) 3.8%
Miamisburg (7-3) 2.7%
Olentangy Liberty (3-7) 2.6%
Kettering Fairmont (5-5) 1.4%
Olentangy Orange (4-6) 1.4%
Perrysburg (7-3) 1.3%

Region 3
Gahanna Lincoln (10-0) 47%
Pickerington North (9-1) 19%
Hilliard Bradley (9-1) 17%
Upper Arlington (7-3) 11%
Pickerington Central (7-3) 3.3%
Hilliard Davidson (5-5) 1.5%

Region 4
Archbishop Moeller (6-4) 55%
Lakota West (8-2) 13%
Princeton (10-0) 12%
St Xavier (6-4) 7.6%
Elder (6-4) 6.4%
Milford (10-0) 5.2%

Region 5
Archbishop Hoban (8-1) 85%
Walsh Jesuit (9-1) 6.8%
Hudson (7-2) 3.8%
Austintown-Fitch (6-3) 2.0%
Riverside (Painesville) (8-2) 1.3%
Nordonia (8-2) 0.7%

Region 6
Avon (10-0) 88%
Highland (Medina) (8-2) 4.9%
Anthony Wayne (8-2) 3.9%
Olmsted Falls (7-3) 2.3%

Region 7
Massillon Washington (10-0) 98%
Green (Uniontown) (7-3) 1.1%

Region 8
Anderson (9-1) 45%
Withrow (9-1) 19%
La Salle (4-6) 11%
Winton Woods (7-3) 11%
Northmont (6-4) 6.6%
Troy (9-1) 3.2%
Kings (5-5) 2.7%
Harrison (7-3) 1.4%
Loveland (5-5) 0.8%

Region 9
Ursuline (10-0) 52%
Chardon (7-3) 21%
Kenston (9-1) 7.4%
Aurora (9-1) 6.0%
Geneva (9-1) 5.9%
Villa Angela-St Joseph (7-3) 3.2%
Canfield (6-3) 2.3%
Dover (6-4) 1.8%

Region 10
Toledo Central Catholic (10-0) 95%
Tiffin Columbian (8-2) 1.8%
Norton (10-0) 1.6%
Mansfield Senior (8-2) 0.6%

Region 11
Bishop Watterson (9-1) 42%
London (10-0) 28%
Bloom-Carroll (8-2) 10%
Jackson (9-1) 6.3%
Tri-Valley (8-2) 6.3%
Granville (10-0) 4.2%
Bellefontaine (8-2) 2.6%

Region 12
Wapakoneta (8-2) 49%
Badin (10-0) 21%
Trotwood-Madison (8-2) 13%
Bellbrook (7-3) 5.2%
Celina (8-2) 4.2%
Tippecanoe (8-2) 4.2%
Mount Healthy (8-2) 2.4%
Chaminade Julienne (6-4) 1.0%

Region 13
Lake Catholic (8-2) 35%
Poland Seminary (9-1) 15%
West Branch (9-1) 13%
Struthers (7-3) 12%
Streetsboro (9-1) 7.5%
Canton South (10-0) 6.8%
Cardinal Mooney (5-5) 5.0%
Niles McKinley (6-4) 2.4%
Buchtel (5-5) 1.6%
Girard (5-5) 0.6%

Region 14
Perkins (9-0) 69%
Glenville (7-2) 25%
Shelby (8-2) 1.9%
Van Wert (7-3) 1.7%
West Holmes (8-2) 0.9%
St Marys Memorial (6-4) 0.8%

Region 15
Steubenville (9-1) 49%
Bishop Hartley (8-2) 31%
St Clairsville (8-2) 7.0%
Sheridan (9-1) 4.0%
Indian Valley (7-3) 3.6%
Bishop Ready (9-1) 2.1%
Logan Elm (9-1) 1.8%
Jonathan Alder (7-3) 0.9%
Gallia Academy (8-2) 0.6%

Region 16
Clinton-Massie (10-0) 37%
Archbishop Alter (7-3) 27%
Shawnee (Springfield) (9-1) 11%
Archbishop McNicholas (5-5) 11%
Taft (8-2) 8.6%
Eaton (8-2) 1.6%
Indian Hill (8-2) 1.5%
Wyoming (9-1) 1.3%
Unioto (9-1) 0.7%
Urbana (7-3) 0.6%

Region 17
Perry (10-0) 59%
South Range (9-1) 28%
Norwayne (9-1) 10%
Garfield (10-0) 2.6%

Region 18
Liberty Center (10-0) 59%
Coldwater (9-1) 15%
Edison (Milan) (9-1) 11%
Archbold (9-1) 6.9%
Oak Harbor (10-0) 4.5%
Liberty-Benton (9-1) 2.5%

Region 19
Harvest Prep (8-1) 40%
Ironton (9-1) 29%
Wheelersburg (6-3) 18%
Barnesville (10-0) 7.6%
Heath (8-2) 1.8%
Fairland (9-1) 1.4%
Columbus Academy (9-1) 0.9%
West Muskingum (9-1) 0.7%

Region 20
Valley View (9-1) 64%
Brookville (8-2) 18%
Waynesville (8-2) 17%

Region 21
Kirtland (9-1) 86%
Mogadore (7-2) 11%
Canton Central Catholic (6-4) 2.2%
Rootstown (8-1) 0.5%
United (9-1) 0.5%

Region 22
Bluffton (9-1) 41%
Columbus Grove (8-2) 40%
Carey (8-2) 13%
Ottawa Hills (9-1) 2.5%
Colonel Crawford (9-1) 2.0%
Tinora (7-3) 0.8%

Region 23
Garaway (10-0) 90%
West Jefferson (9-1) 4.0%
Fort Frye (7-2) 3.6%
Bellaire (5-5) 1.2%
Northmor (8-2) 1.0%

Region 24
Versailles (8-2) 90%
Anna (5-5) 6.9%
West Liberty-Salem (9-1) 1.8%

Region 25
Dalton (8-1) 78%
Springfield (New Middletown) (7-3) 4.8%
Danville (10-0) 4.1%
Lucas (7-3) 3.7%
St Paul (6-4) 3.4%
Lowellville (9-1) 2.2%
Toronto (9-1) 1.1%
Western Reserve (Berlin Ctr.) (8-2) 1.1%
Hillsdale (8-2) 0.5%
Malvern (9-1) 0.5%

Region 26
Pandora-Gilboa (7-3) 24%
Lima Central Catholic (6-3) 22%
McComb (8-2) 21%
Hopewell-Loudon (10-0) 11%
Patrick Henry (8-2) 11%
Leipsic (8-2) 4.7%
Antwerp (9-1) 2.4%
Calvert (8-1) 2.2%
Crestview (Convoy) (6-4) 0.6%

Region 27
Caldwell (7-3) 44%
River (7-2) 32%
Eastern (Reedsville) (9-1) 11%
Waterford (6-4) 9.4%
Monroe Central (6-4) 2.7%
Eastern (Beaver) (10-0) 0.7%

Region 28
Marion Local (10-0) 96%
Minster (8-2) 2.7%