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Rankings
#31 of 109 in Division 3
#5 of 26 in Region 10
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 35-13 A #358 Harvey (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 135
08/31 (week 2) W 42-14 A #566 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 40 (97%), perf. rating 113
09/06 (week 3) L 49-0 H #20 Perkins (4-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 103
09/13 (week 4) W 52-28 A #283 Valley Forge (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 147
09/20 (week 5) H #327 Lakewood (3-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/27 (week 6) A #373 Normandy (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 26 (94%)
10/04 (week 7) H #347 North Olmsted (0-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 26 (94%)
10/10 (week 8) H #351 Westlake (2-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 26 (94%)
10/18 (week 9) A #215 Buckeye (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/25 (week 10) H #298 Bay (2-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 22 (91%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#67 of 109 in Division 3
Regular season projections
8-2 record
22.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 92% twice (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.70 (11.45-29.30) 100% in, 99% home, 94% twice, proj. #2 (#1-#11), Norwalk (2-2) 16%
Lose: 17.95 ( 8.40-24.95) 100% in, 94% home, 56% twice, proj. #4 (#2-#12), Norwalk (2-2) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(48%) 9W: 27.10 (25.05-29.30) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#1-#3), Norwalk (2-2) 13%
(35%) 8W: 22.45 (19.65-27.00) 100% home, 99% twice, proj. #3 (#1-#6), Norwalk (2-2) 17%
(12%) 7W: 18.95 (15.70-23.70) 100% home, 69% twice, proj. #4 (#2-#7), Norwalk (2-2) 21%
( 4%) 6W: 15.95 (13.80-19.65) 100% in, 99% home, 22% twice, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Cleveland Central Cath. (2-2) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(48%) WWWWWW: 27.10 (25.05-29.30) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#1-#3), Norwalk (2-2) 13%
( 4%) WWWWWL: 23.45 (21.30-25.60) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#1-#3), Norwalk (2-2) 16%
(25%) WWWWLW: 22.20 (19.65-24.70) 100% home, 99% twice, proj. #3 (#1-#6), Norwalk (2-2) 20%
( 3%) WWWWLL: 18.78 (16.80-20.65) 100% home, 64% twice, proj. #4 (#2-#6), Norwalk (2-2) 23%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 128.6, #168, D3 #31), appears locked in and likely home, 92% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 120.2, #218, D3 #41), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 63% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 121.7, #206, D3 #39), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 5-5), 72% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 126.8, #173, D3 #35), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 5-5), 57% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 121.6, #205, D3 #41), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 76% home (maybe if 5-5), 42% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 127.3