Region 6 home page
Region 6 projections
Region 6 playoff probabilities
Region 6 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 6 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#40 of 104 in Division 2
#10 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #19 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D2 (-160 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 49-8 H #507 Scott (1-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 42 (97%), perf. rating 138
08/29 L 28-24 A #86 Anthony Wayne (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 140
09/05 L 42-10 H Orchard Lake St Mary MI (3-0) D3
09/12 W 29-18 A River Rouge MI (1-2) D3
09/19 A #112 St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (31%)
09/26 H Brother Rice MI (1-2) D2
10/03 H #11 Toledo Central Catholic (1-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 A Detroit Cath. Cent. MI (3-0) D1
10/17 A Warren De La Salle MI (1-2) D2
10/24 A U of Detroit Jesuit MI (0-3) D2
Regular season projections
4-6 record
10.95 Harbin points (divisor 93)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
56% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.99 ( 6.43-26.20) 84% in, 39% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 13%
Lose: 11.01 ( 2.93-22.22) 43% in, 9% home, proj. out (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 20.71 (16.31-26.20) 100% in, 97% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#10), Rhodes (3-1) 15%
(14%) 6W: 17.37 (12.48-22.69) 99% in, 65% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 15%
(31%) 5W: 13.98 ( 7.95-21.01) 84% in, 19% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 15%
(33%) 4W: 10.95 ( 5.96-18.53) 37% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 18%
(16%) 3W: 8.42 ( 4.12-14.01) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 2W: 5.94 ( 2.93- 7.82) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWLWWW: 20.92 (18.07-25.76) 100% in, 99% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Rhodes (3-1) 18%
( 4%) LWLWWW: 17.31 (13.87-20.38) 99% in, 60% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 20%
( 9%) LWLLWW: 12.25 ( 7.95-16.13) 62% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 19%
( 5%) LWLLWL: 11.01 ( 7.95-14.83) 30% in, proj. out (#9-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 22%
( 7%) LLLLWW: 9.77 ( 5.96-13.54) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 25%
( 8%) LWLLLW: 9.72 ( 5.96-13.54) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 26%
( 6%) LLLLLW: 7.24 ( 4.12-10.30) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 50%
( 3%) LLLLLL: 5.94 ( 2.93- 7.82) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 133.1, #145, D2 #40), 56% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 129.3, #167, D2 #42), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 131.1, #148, D2 #37), 48% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 124.9, #177, D2 #42), 70% (bubble if 5-5), 34% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 124.8, #182, D2 #43), 46% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 122.8