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Rankings
#41 of 100 in Division 2
#9 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #10 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D2 (-37 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 46-21 A #436 Waite (6-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 44 (98%), perf. rating 128
08/28 L 35-0 H Bishop Dwenger IN (7-1) D2
09/04 L 23-0 A #53 Perkins (8-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 119
09/11 L 47-7 H #8 Toledo Central Catholic (6-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 117
09/18 L 42-7 A Orchard Lake St Mary MI (5-2) D2
09/25 L 17-2 H Warren De La Salle MI (4-3) D2
10/02 L 46-19 A Brother Rice MI (5-2) D2
10/09 L 43-28 A Lumen Christi MI (6-1) D6
10/16 H Detroit Cath. Cent. MI (7-0) D1
10/23 A #67 St Johns Jesuit (3-5) D1 R2, pick: L by 20 (9%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
4.18 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.30 ( 9.62-13.85) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Findlay (4-4) 32%
Lose: 4.18 ( 4.18- 7.99) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 12.85 (12.16-13.85) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #9 (#8-#11), Waite (6-2) 49%
(19%) 2W: 9.62 ( 6.72-11.30) 44% in, proj. out (#9-out), Findlay (4-4) 33%
(80%) 1W: 4.18 ( 4.18- 5.18) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WW: 12.85 (12.16-13.85) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #9 (#8-#11), Waite (6-2) 49%
(11%) WL: 10.30 ( 9.62-11.30) 77% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Findlay (4-4) 33%
( 8%) LW: 6.72 ( 6.72- 7.99) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Lakewood (7-1) 100%
(80%) LL: 4.18 ( 4.18- 5.18) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 128.7, #156, D2 #39), 10% (likely needs 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (1-5, 129.5, #155, D2 #40), 16% (likely needs 3-7), 3% home (likely needs 4-6), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 129.1, #159, D2 #39), 23% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 129.4, #152, D2 #42), 36% (bubble if 3-7), 13% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 128.4, #155, D2 #41), 44% (bubble if 3-7), 16% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 130.8, #147, D2 #44), 58% (bubble if 3-7), 27% home (maybe if 4-6), 3% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 129.9, #154, D2 #43), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 54% home (maybe if 5-5), 13% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 136.9, #109, D2 #32), 78% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 5-5), 10% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 5-5
Last season 136.8