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Rankings
#96 of 102 in Division 3
#23 of 25 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #78 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D3 (-366 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 44-8 H #66 St Johns Jesuit (3-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 42 (3%), perf. rating 92
08/27 L 58-6 H #42 Perkins (6-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 92
09/04 L 35-22 A #521 John Hay (2-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 59
09/10 L 28-6 A #472 Start (3-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 22 (10%), perf. rating 54
09/17 W 32-14 H #650 Woodward (Toledo) (0-6) D3 R10, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 66
09/25 L 52-0 A #115 Warren G Harding (3-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 76
10/02 A #566 Bowsher (1-5) D2 R6, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/09 H #425 Waite (4-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 H #590 Rogers (1-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 H #182 Lima Senior (5-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.15 ( 1.70-13.40) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 2.40 ( 0.55-11.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 4W: 7.60 ( 7.25-11.65) 10% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(33%) 3W: 4.15 ( 3.80- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(41%) 2W: 2.40 ( 1.70- 6.35) out, proj. out
(20%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.55- 2.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WWWL: 7.60 ( 7.25- 8.85) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Wapakoneta (3-3) 42%
( 3%) LWWL: 5.85 ( 5.50- 6.90) out
(28%) WLWL: 4.15 ( 3.80- 6.00) out
(30%) LLWL: 2.40 ( 2.05- 3.65) out
( 9%) WLLL: 1.70 ( 1.70- 4.10) out
(20%) LLLL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 2.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (1-5, 67.9, #565, D3 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 65.3, #579, D3 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 67.0, #569, D3 #95), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 68.1, #566, D3 #94), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 76.2, #520, D3 #91), 25% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 68.4, #570, D3 #97), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 66.7, #572, D3 #96), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 70.4