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Rankings
#100 of 107 in Division 6
#25 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #106 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #647 Frontier (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (45%)
08/28 H #559 Shenandoah (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 23 (12%)
09/04 A #642 Southern (Salineville) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 A #700 Federal Hocking (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 35 (98%)
09/18 H Magnolia WV (0-0) D6
09/25 A #557 Conotton Valley (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A Cameron WV (0-0) D6
10/09 H #584 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/16 H #668 Shadyside (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/23 A Clay-Batelle WV (0-0) D6
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.60 Harbin points (divisor 94)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.34 ( 0.70-21.86) 27% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Waterford (0-0) 7%
Lose: 4.63 ( 0.00-17.04) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Garaway (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 15.77 (11.01-21.86) 99% in, 76% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 12%
( 4%) 8W: 13.49 ( 8.80-19.92) 88% in, 37% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Waterford (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 7W: 11.33 ( 6.37-17.39) 60% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Colonel Crawford (0-0) 8%
(13%) 6W: 9.22 ( 4.97-15.71) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Centerburg (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 7.27 ( 3.34-12.27) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Nelsonville-York (0-0) 9%
(21%) 4W: 5.60 ( 2.25-10.01) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 3W: 4.08 ( 1.05- 8.28) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(11%) 2W: 2.45 ( 0.70- 6.33) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.09 ( 0.35- 3.38) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Waterford (0-0) 8%
Colonel Crawford (0-0) 7%
Caldwell (0-0) 7%
Newcomerstown (0-0) 6%
Garaway (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Nelsonville-York (0-0) 14%
Colonel Crawford (0-0) 12%
Harvest Prep (0-0) 9%
Centerburg (0-0) 8%
Garaway (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 42.5, #657, D6 #100), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 46.7