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Region 27 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#79 of 104 in Division 7
#18 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #95 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #657 Bridgeport (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/28 A Magnolia WV (0-0) D6
09/04 H #694 Belpre (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 29 (95%)
09/11 H #668 Shadyside (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 11 (74%)
09/18 H Valley (Pine Grove) WV (0-0) D7
09/25 A St Marys WV (0-0) D7
10/02 H #557 Conotton Valley (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/09 H Cameron WV (0-0) D6
10/16 A #559 Shenandoah (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 A #620 River (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 10 (26%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.10 Harbin points (divisor 92)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
58% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.78 ( 0.78-23.42) 76% in, 42% home, 11% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 6.15 ( 0.00-19.20) 36% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 16.28 (11.50-22.37) 100% in, 99% home, 77% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 77%
( 6%) 8W: 14.20 ( 9.80-19.20) 100% in, 97% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 45%
(13%) 7W: 12.11 ( 7.22-16.73) 99% in, 80% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
(18%) 6W: 10.02 ( 6.06-15.08) 94% in, 40% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), South Gallia (0-0) 8%
(21%) 5W: 8.10 ( 4.24-13.32) 68% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 10%
(19%) 4W: 6.39 ( 2.92-11.28) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 11%
(13%) 3W: 4.74 ( 1.53- 8.49) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 12%
( 6%) 2W: 3.20 ( 0.70- 5.91) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.49 ( 0.35- 3.44) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Conotton Valley (0-0) 7%
South Gallia (0-0) 7%
Fisher Catholic (0-0) 6%
Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Toronto (0-0) 14%
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 11%
Danville (0-0) 9%
Symmes Valley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #541, D7 #43), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 50.1