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Rankings
#49 of 103 in Division 7
#10 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #62 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D7 (+15 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 50-14 A #665 Bridgeport (1-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 88
08/28 W 45-14 A Magnolia WV (0-2) D6
09/04 W 41-6 H #675 Belpre (1-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 79
09/11 H #487 Shadyside (3-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 10 (28%)
09/18 H Valley (Pine Grove) WV (1-1) D7
09/25 A St Marys WV (1-0) D6
10/02 H #565 Conotton Valley (2-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 3 (57%)
10/09 H Cameron WV (2-0) D7
10/16 A #549 Shenandoah (2-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 A #483 River (3-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.27 Harbin points (divisor 92)
#8 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 4-6), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.72 ( 5.58-26.74) 99% in, 95% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 11.05 ( 3.11-21.66) 89% in, 57% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Fisher Catholic (2-1) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 22.01 (19.02-26.74) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 19.30 (15.68-24.11) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 91%
(15%) 8W: 16.42 (12.18-21.04) 100% in, 99% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 49%
(23%) 7W: 13.74 (10.37-18.90) 100% in, 98% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), Lucas (1-2) 12%
(27%) 6W: 11.27 ( 8.12-15.07) 99% in, 72% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Fisher Catholic (2-1) 16%
(19%) 5W: 8.86 ( 5.87-12.28) 89% in, 13% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Eastern (Beaver) (2-1) 17%
( 7%) 4W: 6.61 ( 4.22- 9.82) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Conotton Valley (2-1) 22%
( 1%) 3W: 4.36 ( 3.11- 6.37) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWWW: 22.01 (19.02-26.74) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) LWWWWWL: 15.39 (12.18-18.60) 100% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), bye 27%
( 4%) LWWWWLL: 13.69 (10.53-16.89) 100% in, 99% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (1-2) 12%
( 3%) LWWWLLL: 11.38 ( 9.04-13.88) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Fisher Catholic (2-1) 14%
( 7%) LWWLWLL: 11.05 ( 8.61-13.83) 99% in, 62% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Fisher Catholic (2-1) 19%
( 3%) LLWLWLL: 9.18 ( 6.68-11.63) 96% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Conotton Valley (2-1) 19%
( 5%) LWWLLLL: 8.80 ( 6.74-11.25) 89% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Eastern (Beaver) (2-1) 17%
( 1%) LLLLLLL: 4.36 ( 3.11- 6.37) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (2-1) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 69.3, #561, D7 #49), 92% (bubble if 4-6), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 64.4, #587, D7 #53), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 64.2, #589, D7 #54), 85% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 47.8, #647, D7 #79), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 50.1