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Rankings
#53 of 104 in Division 7
#11 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #81 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 H #492 Lucas (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 13 (28%)
08/28 A #540 Strasburg-Franklin (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 10 (31%)
09/04 A #645 Bishop Rosecrans (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 15 (80%)
09/11 A #324 Toronto (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/18 A #649 Buckeye Local (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 16 (84%)
09/26 H #687 St Thomas Aquinas (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/03 H #642 Southern (Salineville) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/09 A #657 Bridgeport (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/17 H #557 Conotton Valley (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/24 H #681 Wellsville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
57% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.55 ( 0.35-22.95) 84% in, 60% home, 25% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 7.05 ( 0.00-20.00) 46% in, 22% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 16.80 (11.70-22.95) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
( 8%) 9W: 14.60 ( 9.35-20.00) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 58%
(13%) 8W: 12.50 ( 6.80-19.05) 99% in, 85% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 21%
(16%) 7W: 10.35 ( 5.35-18.00) 95% in, 48% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Frontier (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 8.40 ( 4.00-14.90) 71% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 6.55 ( 2.65-11.40) 30% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 4.90 ( 1.90- 9.50) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 12%
( 8%) 3W: 3.35 ( 1.10- 7.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.10 ( 0.70- 5.10) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Conotton Valley (0-0) 6%
South Gallia (0-0) 6%
Frontier (0-0) 6%
Fisher Catholic (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Toronto (0-0) 14%
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 12%
Danville (0-0) 9%
Symmes Valley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 43.8, #655, D7 #80), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 68.3