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Rankings
#107 of 107 in Division 3
#27 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #106 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #106 in D3 (-967 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/29 L 44-0 A #645 East Technical (1-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 15 (23%), perf. rating -12
09/05 L 59-0 A #512 Shaw (1-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 35 (3%), perf. rating 18
09/12 L 65-0 A #331 Port Clinton (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 44
09/19 A #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: L by 16 (16%)
09/26 H #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/03 A #509 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/10 A #354 Mogadore (3-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 H #695 Lincoln West (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/24 H Carrick PA (1-3) D4
Regular season projections
1-8 record
0.56 Harbin points (divisor 83)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.95 ( 0.67-10.94) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.56 ( 0.00- 9.31) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 3W: 4.19 ( 2.38- 9.31) out, proj. out
(31%) 2W: 2.92 ( 1.22- 8.29) out, proj. out
(44%) 1W: 0.56 ( 0.56- 4.73) out, proj. out
(18%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WLLLWW: 4.19 ( 2.38- 6.18) out
( 1%) WLLLLW: 3.03 ( 1.82- 5.62) out
(22%) LLLLWW: 2.92 ( 1.71- 5.45) out
(15%) LLLLLW: 2.36 ( 1.16- 4.17) out
( 7%) WLLLWL: 1.22 ( 1.22- 2.67) out
( 2%) WLLLLL: 0.67 ( 0.67- 2.05) out
(27%) LLLLWL: 0.56 ( 0.56- 2.00) out
(18%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-3, 24.2, #690, D3 #107), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (0-2, 24.4, #688, D3 #107), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (0-1, 28.4, #685, D3 #107), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-7
Week 1 (0-0, 42.2, #664, D3 #107), 1% (must have at least 4-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-7
Week 0 (0-0, 42.2, #666, D3 #106), 1% (must have at least 4-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-7
Last season 41.8