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Rankings
#85 of 104 in Division 2
#23 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #96 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D2 (-235 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 12-6 H #663 Richmond Heights (0-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 41 (97%), perf. rating 47
08/29 W 34-12 A #358 Lakewood (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 137
09/05 W 34-14 A #585 Lakeside (0-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 14 (78%), perf. rating 96
09/12 L 24-16 H #509 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (95%), perf. rating 65
09/19 H #475 John Hay (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (69%)
09/26 A #690 Collinwood (0-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/03 H #695 Lincoln West (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/09 A #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/17 A #169 Gilmour Academy (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/24 A #18 Glenville (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.99 Harbin points (divisor 93)
#10 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
58% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.99 ( 8.40-21.03) 79% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 17%
Lose: 9.71 ( 6.52-17.03) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 16.55 (13.49-20.27) 99% in, 48% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 19%
(65%) 7W: 12.99 ( 9.50-18.42) 79% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 17%
(31%) 6W: 9.81 ( 7.02-14.71) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 27%
( 1%) 5W: 8.57 ( 6.52-13.45) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWL: 16.23 (13.49-20.00) 99% in, 41% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 21%
(64%) WWWWLL: 12.94 ( 9.50-18.42) 79% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 17%
(29%) LWWWLL: 9.76 ( 7.02-14.71) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 30%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 88.2, #439, D2 #85), 58% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 92.5, #412, D2 #83), 73% (bubble if 7-3), 13% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 90.5, #429, D2 #83), 55% (bubble if 7-3), 7% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 75.8, #535, D2 #92), 17% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 91.3, #439, D2 #86), 37% (bubble if 7-3), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 96.1