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Rankings
#103 of 104 in Division 2
#27 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #98 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #103 in D2 (-965 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 63-0 A #524 Rittman (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 23 (15%), perf. rating 16
08/29 L 70-0 A #545 Warrensville Heights (1-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 12
09/04 L 44-8 A #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 65
09/12 L 48-0 A #475 John Hay (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 22
09/19 H #690 Collinwood (0-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 16 (84%)
09/26 A #67 Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 A #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 H #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/17 A #645 East Technical (1-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/23 H #509 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.07 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.44 ( 0.55-15.11) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.24) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 5.61 ( 4.04- 9.56) out, proj. out
(22%) 2W: 2.71 ( 1.67- 7.24) out, proj. out
(61%) 1W: 1.07 ( 0.55- 4.20) out, proj. out
(14%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWLWL: 5.24 ( 4.10- 6.75) out
( 2%) WLWLLL: 3.49 ( 2.61- 5.32) out
( 2%) WLLLLW: 3.44 ( 2.40- 4.64) out
(18%) WLLLWL: 2.71 ( 1.67- 4.43) out
( 2%) LLLLWL: 1.64 ( 1.12- 2.27) out
(59%) WLLLLL: 1.07 ( 0.55- 2.37) out
(14%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 37.9, #669, D2 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 42.5, #656, D2 #103), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 39.9, #663, D2 #103), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 45.1, #657, D2 #103), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 54.5, #628, D2 #102), 8% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 51.2