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Rankings
#20 of 104 in Division 7
#5 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #12 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #499 Crestwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 20 (82%)
08/28 A #443 Canton Central Catholic (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 6 (62%)
09/04 H #236 Dalton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/11 H #457 Malvern (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 A #626 North (Akron) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/25 H Linsly WV (0-0) D6
10/02 H #432 Pymatuning Valley (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/09 A #434 Clearview (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/16 A #495 Marlington (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/23 H #306 Brush (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.74 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#4 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
83% (bubble if 3-7), 66% home (maybe if 5-5), 41% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.35 ( 0.45-33.32) 89% in, 74% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 53%
Lose: 7.21 ( 0.00-27.26) 55% in, 34% home, 14% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 23.63 (16.39-33.32) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(12%) 9W: 21.04 (12.52-30.48) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(15%) 8W: 18.24 (10.23-26.20) 100% in, 99% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 86%
(15%) 7W: 15.34 ( 7.89-23.09) 100% in, 98% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 57%
(14%) 6W: 12.74 ( 6.32-21.17) 99% in, 87% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 22%
(13%) 5W: 10.21 ( 4.74-17.50) 95% in, 54% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 7%
(11%) 4W: 7.77 ( 2.82-14.45) 74% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 7%
( 8%) 3W: 5.58 ( 1.96-10.43) 30% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Malvern (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 2W: 3.45 ( 0.95- 7.63) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.62 ( 0.40- 4.38) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Fairport Harding (0-0) 3%
Malvern (0-0) 3%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 3%
St Paul (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Dalton (0-0) 11%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 9%
McDonald (0-0) 9%
Monroeville (0-0) 9%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 97.6, #383, D7 #20), 83% (bubble if 3-7), 66% home (maybe if 5-5), 41% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 6-4
Last season 100.0