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Rankings
#105 of 107 in Division 3
#28 of 28 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #100 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D3 (-614 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/29 W 44-0 H #690 Collinwood (0-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 85
09/06 L 50-6 A #274 GlenOak (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 51
09/12 L 34-0 A #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 23
09/19 H #695 Lincoln West (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/26 A #381 Lutheran East (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/03 H #18 Glenville (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 H #475 John Hay (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/17 H #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/25 A #612 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
3-6 record
3.72 Harbin points (divisor 82)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-4 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.72 ( 1.78-16.19) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 2.56 ( 0.61-11.37) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 9.30 ( 7.53-13.51) 9% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(24%) 4W: 6.31 ( 4.78-11.37) out, proj. out
(51%) 3W: 3.72 ( 3.11- 8.25) out, proj. out
(20%) 2W: 2.39 ( 1.78- 4.96) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 1.22 ( 0.61- 2.56) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLLWWW: 9.11 ( 7.71-11.55) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Rocky River (3-1) 33%
( 2%) WLLWWL: 6.34 ( 5.55- 8.96) out
(21%) WLLLWW: 6.25 ( 4.78- 8.38) out
( 3%) WLLLLW: 4.91 ( 3.51- 6.92) out
(47%) WLLLWL: 3.72 ( 3.11- 6.04) out
( 2%) LLLLWL: 2.56 ( 1.95- 4.08) out
(17%) WLLLLL: 2.39 ( 1.78- 3.91) out
( 2%) LLLLLL: 1.22 ( 0.61- 2.56) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-2, 49.0, #645, D3 #105), 1% (must have at least 5-4 for any chance), proj. out at 3-6
Week 3 (1-1, 65.2, #587, D3 #99), 23% (bubble if 5-4), 4% home (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 4-5
Week 2 (1-0, 68.7, #570, D3 #100), 34% (bubble if 5-4), 9% home (maybe if 7-2), proj. out at 5-4
Week 1 (0-0, 54.9, #619, D3 #104), 18% (bubble if 5-4), 4% home (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 4-5
Week 0 (0-0, 54.9, #624, D3 #104), 10% (bubble if 6-3), 2% home (maybe if 7-2), proj. out at 3-6
Last season 57.0