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Rankings
#80 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #76 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #77 in D1 (-833 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 36-0 H #363 Lakewood (3-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 44
08/29 L 63-0 H #83 Rocky River (3-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 77
09/05 L 50-0 H #344 Cleveland Central Cath. (2-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 39
09/11 A #668 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 26 (94%)
09/18 A #10 St Ignatius (2-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 H #402 Rhodes (1-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 A #510 John Adams (1-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/09 A #222 Gilmour Academy (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/16 H #652 East Technical (0-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 A #8 Glenville (2-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.67 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.67 ( 0.55-16.05) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Ignatius (2-1) 14%
Lose: 0.55 ( 0.00-10.27) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 7.98 ( 6.05-12.35) 39% in, proj. out (#10-out), Austintown-Fitch (1-1) 16%
(17%) 3W: 4.57 ( 3.68- 9.20) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(67%) 2W: 1.67 ( 1.67- 6.57) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(12%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.55- 4.82) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLWWLWL: 7.88 ( 6.83- 9.80) 36% in, proj. out (#10-out), St Edward (3-0) 14%
( 1%) WLLLLWW: 6.49 ( 5.87- 7.74) 9% in, proj. out (#11-out), St Ignatius (2-1) 58%
( 4%) WLWLLWL: 5.19 ( 3.99- 7.06) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Canton McKinley (2-1) 33%
(11%) WLLWLWL: 4.36 ( 3.94- 6.86) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Strongsville (1-2) 29%
(65%) WLLLLWL: 1.67 ( 1.67- 4.12) out
( 8%) WLLLLLL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 2.37) out
( 4%) LLLLLWL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 2.42) out
( 1%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 61.5, #591, D1 #80), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 65.3, #583, D1 #80), 10% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 65.6, #580, D1 #80), 16% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 76.0, #524, D1 #80), 38% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 79.5