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Rankings
#72 of 72 in Division 1
#18 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #66 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D1 (-617 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 45-20 A #358 Lakewood (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 67
08/29 L 55-6 A #108 Rocky River (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 79
09/06 L 36-8 A #403 Cleveland Central Cath. (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 55
09/12 W 24-16 A #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 28 (5%), perf. rating 102
09/19 A #169 Gilmour Academy (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (1%)
09/26 H #18 Glenville (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 H #690 Collinwood (0-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/10 A #48 Canfield (4-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 H #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.75 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
86% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Lose: 9.65 ( 4.42-18.20) 86% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Strongsville (3-1) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 13.87 (11.06-16.93) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 24%
(68%) 4W: 9.75 ( 8.06-14.60) 97% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Strongsville (3-1) 22%
(28%) 3W: 6.70 ( 5.07-10.37) 64% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
( 2%) 2W: 5.54 ( 4.42- 8.65) 38% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWWWW: 14.58 (12.29-16.93) 100% in, 60% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 24%
(68%) LLWLWW: 9.75 ( 8.06-11.94) 97% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Strongsville (3-1) 22%
( 1%) LLWLWL: 8.54 ( 6.70-10.27) 89% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Strongsville (3-1) 30%
(26%) LLWLLW: 6.70 ( 5.07- 8.74) 62% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
( 1%) LLWLLL: 5.54 ( 4.42- 6.71) 36% in, proj. out (#11-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 78.8, #509, D1 #72), 86% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely, proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 62.3, #599, D1 #72), 15% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 62.5, #593, D1 #72), 22% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 68.0, #574, D1 #72), 29% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #548, D1 #72), 28% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 67.4