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Rankings
#80 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #78 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 H #408 Lakewood (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (23%)
08/29 H #141 Rocky River (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 38 (3%)
09/05 H #522 Cleveland Central Cath. (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/11 A #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/18 A #74 St Ignatius (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 46 (1%)
09/25 H #412 Rhodes (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/02 A #527 John Adams (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/09 A #212 Gilmour Academy (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/16 H #628 East Technical (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #14 Glenville (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.56 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
39% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.28 ( 0.60-26.93) 70% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Lose: 4.36 ( 0.00-22.83) 30% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 18.41 (12.62-23.41) 100% in, 95% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 19%
( 3%) 7W: 15.56 ( 9.31-22.13) 99% in, 76% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Cleveland Heights (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 6W: 12.46 ( 7.21-18.41) 98% in, 41% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Strongsville (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 9.52 ( 4.99-16.14) 85% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(20%) 4W: 6.79 ( 2.77-13.98) 53% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
(22%) 3W: 4.56 ( 1.65-10.40) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
(19%) 2W: 2.30 ( 1.05- 7.92) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), Hudson (0-0) 14%
(10%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.50- 5.24) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Hudson (0-0) 9%
Strongsville (0-0) 9%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 8%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 8%
Most likely second round opponents
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 18%
Mentor (0-0) 17%
St Edward (0-0) 13%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
Hudson (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 76.0, #524, D1 #80), 39% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 79.5