Region 15 home page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 15 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#76 of 105 in Division 4
#21 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #60 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D4 (-555 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 23-12 A #444 Carrollton (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 105
08/29 L 37-19 H #304 Indian Creek (4-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 80
09/05 L 56-20 H #227 Salem (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 63
09/12 L 21-12 A #426 Beaver Local (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (36%), perf. rating 80
09/19 A #217 St Clairsville (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/26 H #614 Cambridge (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/03 A Brooke WV (1-2) D3
10/10 H #335 Edison (Richmond) (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/17 H Weir WV (0-3) D4
10/24 A Oak Glen WV (3-0) D5
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.88 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.84 ( 4.42-17.51) 22% in, 3% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 5.51 ( 1.59-15.29) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 12.53 ( 9.98-15.92) 61% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#7-out)
(10%) 5W: 9.82 ( 5.99-15.06) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(32%) 4W: 7.10 ( 3.71-12.21) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(39%) 3W: 4.88 ( 2.59- 9.83) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(17%) 2W: 3.24 ( 2.09- 7.51) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLWWW: 10.52 ( 7.50-13.96) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out), New Lexington (4-0) 17%
( 4%) LWWLWW: 9.79 ( 7.03-12.91) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out), Philo (3-1) 27%
( 6%) LWLLWW: 7.57 ( 5.39-10.02) out
( 4%) LWLWWL: 7.21 ( 4.24- 9.76) out
(15%) LWWLWL: 6.47 ( 3.71- 9.29) out
(12%) LWWLLL: 5.40 ( 3.21- 8.01) out
(18%) LWLLWL: 4.26 ( 2.59- 6.71) out
(15%) LWLLLL: 3.24 ( 2.09- 4.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 84.5, #459, D4 #76), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 83.8, #471, D4 #76), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 93.5, #411, D4 #66), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 105.0, #320, D4 #48), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 97.7, #378, D4 #63), 43% (bubble if 5-5), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 100.1