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Rankings
#71 of 101 in Division 4
#21 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #63 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #421 Carrollton (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 3 (45%)
08/28 A #329 Indian Creek (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 18 (18%)
09/04 A #237 Salem (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/11 H #369 Beaver Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 10 (28%)
09/18 H #253 St Clairsville (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 A #633 Cambridge (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/02 A #378 Edison (Richmond) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/09 H Oak Glen WV (0-0) D5
10/16 A Weir WV (0-0) D4
10/23 H Brooke WV (0-0) D3
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.32 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
31% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.29 ( 0.50-29.63) 52% in, 27% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 6.29 ( 0.00-24.18) 13% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Union Local (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 22.79 (15.61-28.61) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 74%
( 4%) 8W: 19.69 (13.11-26.26) 100% in, 95% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 39%
( 7%) 7W: 16.45 (10.45-23.18) 98% in, 69% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 9%
(11%) 6W: 13.53 ( 7.11-20.84) 85% in, 26% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Union Local (0-0) 8%
(16%) 5W: 10.82 ( 6.18-17.71) 45% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(19%) 4W: 8.32 ( 3.42-14.06) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
(20%) 3W: 5.98 ( 2.13-11.19) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(15%) 2W: 3.84 ( 0.95- 8.21) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 1.61 ( 0.45- 4.87) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Union Local (0-0) 7%
Heath (0-0) 6%
West Muskingum (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 16%
New Lexington (0-0) 14%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 8%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
Johnstown (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 92.8, #420, D4 #64), 26% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 84.2