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Rankings
#96 of 101 in Division 4
#24 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #73 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #329 Indian Creek (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 39 (4%)
08/28 H #384 John Glenn (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 34 (4%)
09/04 H #410 Meadowbrook (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 32 (4%)
09/11 A Brooke WV (0-0) D3
09/18 H #517 Bellaire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 22 (8%)
09/25 H #452 East Liverpool (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/02 A #291 Union Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/09 A Weir WV (0-0) D4
10/16 A #369 Beaver Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #253 St Clairsville (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 42 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.27 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.97 ( 0.50-22.32) 17% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
Lose: 3.10 ( 0.00-21.90) 1% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 12.53 ( 7.43-17.64) 70% in, 15% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 13%
( 2%) 5W: 9.95 ( 4.59-15.26) 27% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 13%
( 5%) 4W: 8.10 ( 4.03-13.20) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
(12%) 3W: 6.19 ( 2.34-11.91) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(29%) 2W: 4.38 ( 0.95- 8.50) out, proj. out
(36%) 1W: 2.27 ( 0.45- 5.19) out, proj. out
(15%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
Indian Creek (0-0) 8%
Heath (0-0) 8%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 7%
Johnstown (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 119.7, #205, D4 #21), 73% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 52.4