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Rankings
#51 of 105 in Division 5
#13 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #70 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #560 Coshocton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 A #421 Carrollton (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (58%)
09/03 H #478 Monroe Central (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 17 (83%)
09/11 H #340 Martins Ferry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (45%)
09/18 A Weir WV (0-0) D4
09/25 A #324 Toronto (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 8 (31%)
10/02 H #452 East Liverpool (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 H #486 Warren (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/16 H #515 Harrison Central (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/23 A #329 Indian Creek (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.34 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
64% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 17% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.76 ( 0.45-31.84) 69% in, 47% home, 19% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 27%
Lose: 6.69 ( 0.00-27.26) 30% in, 15% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 23.99 (17.46-31.84) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 89%
(12%) 9W: 21.19 (13.64-30.12) 100% in, 99% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 63%
(14%) 8W: 18.19 (11.20-27.27) 99% in, 90% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(15%) 7W: 15.19 ( 7.74-23.04) 97% in, 63% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Martins Ferry (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 12.34 ( 4.99-19.53) 81% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
(12%) 5W: 9.85 ( 4.44-16.18) 47% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 7.46 ( 2.51-14.20) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Barnesville (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 3W: 5.38 ( 1.81-10.64) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.50 ( 0.95- 7.48) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.72 ( 0.45- 4.78) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 6%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 6%
Berkshire (0-0) 6%
Girard (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Barnesville (0-0) 13%
Perry (0-0) 12%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Girard (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 79.5, #499, D5 #72), 19% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 99.4