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Rankings
#74 of 102 in Division 4
#22 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #74 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #89 in D4 (-514 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 37-6 H #113 West Branch (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 24 (14%), perf. rating 88
08/28 L 40-21 H #278 Union Local (7-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 82
09/04 L 35-21 H #396 Beaver Local (4-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 72
09/11 L 32-29 A Linsly WV (3-3) D5
09/18 L 41-21 A #372 East Liverpool (6-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 71
09/25 W 49-7 H Wheeling Park WV (2-5) D2
10/02 W 34-28 H #425 Bellaire (5-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 97
10/09 W 14-13 H Brooke WV (4-2) D3
10/16 H #407 Indian Creek (5-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/23 A #604 Cambridge (1-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.99 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
16% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.18 (10.94-15.86) 39% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-2) 26%
Lose: 9.94 ( 7.81-12.31) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 5W: 13.18 (11.97-15.86) 41% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-2) 26%
(57%) 4W: 9.99 ( 8.84-13.84) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 3W: 8.97 ( 7.81-10.23) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WW: 13.18 (11.97-15.86) 41% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-2) 26%
( 2%) WL: 12.15 (10.94-13.84) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out), Union Local (7-1) 33%
(55%) LW: 9.99 ( 8.84-12.31) out
( 4%) LL: 8.97 ( 7.81-10.23) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 87.0, #451, D4 #76), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (1-5, 88.6, #434, D4 #73), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (0-5, 93.8, #406, D4 #67), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 101.3, #357, D4 #53), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 99.5, #368, D4 #55), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 103.3, #338, D4 #49), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 109.1, #291, D4 #39), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 114.0, #253, D4 #32), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 110.2