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Rankings
#76 of 102 in Division 4
#21 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #75 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D4 (-518 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 37-6 H #119 West Branch (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 24 (14%), perf. rating 88
08/28 L 40-21 H #290 Union Local (6-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 80
09/04 L 35-21 H #316 Beaver Local (4-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 84
09/11 L 32-29 A Linsly WV (2-3) D5
09/18 L 41-21 A #377 East Liverpool (5-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 70
09/25 W 49-7 H Wheeling Park WV (2-4) D2
10/02 W 34-28 H #482 Bellaire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 90
10/09 H Brooke WV (4-1) D3
10/16 H #507 Indian Creek (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #611 Cambridge (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.31 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.15 ( 7.81-14.97) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 29%
Lose: 9.05 ( 4.47-12.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 5W: 12.65 (10.44-14.97) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 28%
(58%) 4W: 9.31 ( 7.58-13.94) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(21%) 3W: 6.60 ( 4.97-10.86) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 5.58 ( 4.47- 6.84) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(19%) WWW: 12.65 (10.44-14.97) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 28%
( 7%) WLW: 10.05 ( 7.84-11.89) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 100%
(51%) LWW: 9.21 ( 7.58-12.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 100%
( 2%) LWL: 8.66 ( 7.08- 9.97) out
(19%) LLW: 6.60 ( 4.97- 8.39) out
( 1%) LLL: 5.58 ( 4.47- 6.84) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 87.0, #451, D4 #76), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (1-5, 88.6, #434, D4 #73), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (0-5, 93.8, #406, D4 #67), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 101.3, #357, D4 #53), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 99.5, #368, D4 #55), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 103.3, #338, D4 #49), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 109.1, #291, D4 #39), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 114.0, #253, D4 #32), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 110.2