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Rankings
#10 of 107 in Division 6
#1 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #5 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D6 (+250 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 35-7 A #124 Barnesville (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 29 (9%), perf. rating 97
08/29 W 36-7 A #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 140
09/05 W 40-0 H Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (2-1) D7
09/12 W 28-0 A #364 Waterford (3-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 6 (64%), perf. rating 144
09/26 H #415 Caldwell (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/03 H Greenbrier West WV (1-2) D5
10/10 A #458 Marietta (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/17 H #411 Warren (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/24 H Point Pleasant WV (0-2) D4
Regular season projections
7-2 record
18.38 Harbin points (divisor 84)
#2 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-4), 71% bye (maybe if 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.12 (11.92-25.01) 99% in, 98% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 73%
Lose: 15.62 ( 8.84-20.40) 95% in, 63% home, 17% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
(45%) 8W: 20.19 (16.02-25.01) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 91%
(42%) 7W: 18.38 (13.32-23.38) 99% in, 99% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 64%
(12%) 6W: 16.40 (11.93-20.21) 99% in, 85% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
( 1%) 5W: 14.00 (10.96-17.57) 90% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(45%) WWWWW: 20.19 (16.02-25.01) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 91%
(15%) WWWWL: 18.56 (14.04-23.38) 100% in, 99% home, 69% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 69%
( 1%) WWLWW: 18.45 (14.82-22.56) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 66%
(22%) WLWWW: 18.38 (14.45-22.31) 100% in, 99% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 64%
( 2%) WWWLW: 17.50 (14.82-20.65) 100% in, 98% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 41%
( 2%) LWWWW: 16.83 (13.32-20.40) 99% in, 91% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 37%
( 7%) WLWWL: 16.69 (13.12-20.21) 100% in, 91% home, 28% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 124.2, #192, D6 #10), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-4), 71% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #2 at 7-2
Week 3 (2-1, 115.0, #251, D6 #15), 93% (bubble if 5-4), 76% home (maybe if 6-3), 42% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #3 at 7-2
Week 2 (1-1, 118.7, #230, D6 #14), 88% (bubble if 4-5), 69% home (maybe if 5-4), 36% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #4 at 6-3
Week 1 (0-1, 95.1, #402, D6 #38), 28% (bubble if 4-5), 12% home (maybe if 5-4), 3% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 3-6
Week 0 (0-0, 96.8, #389, D6 #32), 49% (bubble if 4-5), 30% home (maybe if 5-4), 13% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #12 at 4-5
Last season 92.7