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Rankings
#21 of 106 in Division 5
#3 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #72 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D5 (+226 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 19-14 H #235 Ridgewood (5-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 123
08/28 W 42-20 H #208 West Muskingum (6-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 153
09/04 W 29-27 A Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (4-3) D6
09/11 W 20-0 H #359 Waterford (6-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 20 (88%), perf. rating 129
09/18 W 54-23 A #553 Grandview Heights (3-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 118
09/25 W 38-7 A #573 Caldwell (2-6) D6 R23, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 114
10/02 L 34-7 H #94 Barnesville (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 97
10/09 W 42-0 H #534 Marietta (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 135
10/16 A #522 Warren (3-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 A #577 Liberty Union (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.97 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.97 (19.10-22.79) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
Lose: 18.40 (17.19-19.91) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 92%
Based on eventual number of wins
(98%) 9W: 20.97 (19.10-22.79) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) 8W: 19.56 (17.24-21.93) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 97%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(98%) WW: 20.97 (19.10-22.79) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) LW: 18.40 (17.24-19.91) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 93%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 120.5, #215, D5 #19), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 127.8, #165, D5 #13), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 127.4, #170, D5 #13), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 126.9, #168, D5 #11), appears locked in and home, 97% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 124.8, #183, D5 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 121.8, #208, D5 #17), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 85% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 118.5, #227, D5 #18), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 50% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 115.6, #241, D5 #24), 79% (bubble if 4-6), 63% home (maybe if 6-4), 37% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 123.9