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Rankings
#19 of 106 in Division 5
#4 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #72 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D5 (+290 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 19-14 H #246 Ridgewood (4-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 122
08/28 W 42-20 H #181 West Muskingum (6-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 156
09/04 W 29-27 A Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (3-3) D6
09/11 W 20-0 H #323 Waterford (5-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 20 (88%), perf. rating 134
09/18 W 54-23 A #564 Grandview Heights (2-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 116
09/25 W 38-7 A #559 Caldwell (2-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 117
10/02 L 34-7 H #99 Barnesville (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 97
10/09 H #529 Marietta (0-7) D3 R11, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 A #537 Warren (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 A #585 Liberty Union (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 40 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.16 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.16 (16.73-23.24) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 19.16 (16.69-20.82) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 96%
Based on eventual number of wins
(97%) 9W: 20.16 (18.24-23.24) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) 8W: 19.06 (16.73-21.43) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 94%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) WWW: 20.16 (18.24-23.24) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
( 1%) WWL: 19.74 (18.45-21.43) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WLW: 18.25 (16.73-19.96) 100% home, 84% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#5), bye 84%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 120.5, #215, D5 #19), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 127.8, #165, D5 #13), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 127.4, #170, D5 #13), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 126.9, #168, D5 #11), appears locked in and home, 97% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 124.8, #183, D5 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 121.8, #208, D5 #17), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 85% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 118.5, #227, D5 #18), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 50% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 115.6, #241, D5 #24), 79% (bubble if 4-6), 63% home (maybe if 6-4), 37% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 123.9