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Rankings
#24 of 102 in Division 4
#5 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #69 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D4 (+76 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 51-0 A #613 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 120
08/28 L 42-20 A #215 Fort Frye (6-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 90
09/04 W 44-7 H #380 Maysville (3-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 151
09/11 W 44-0 H #516 Morgan (1-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 138
09/18 W 42-21 H #226 Philo (5-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 12 (23%), perf. rating 148
09/25 W 28-27 A #293 John Glenn (3-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (83%), perf. rating 114
10/02 W 56-14 A #450 Crooksville (3-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 152
10/09 H #80 New Lexington (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/16 H #555 Coshocton (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 A #488 Meadowbrook (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.18 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.85 (18.30-23.40) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 94%
Lose: 17.00 (12.30-19.10) 99% in, 98% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-out), Union Local (6-1) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
(15%) 9W: 21.85 (20.65-23.40) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 96%
(82%) 8W: 17.18 (16.05-20.60) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Union Local (6-1) 16%
( 2%) 7W: 15.20 (14.25-18.30) 99% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(15%) WWW: 21.85 (20.65-23.40) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 96%
(82%) LWW: 17.10 (16.05-19.10) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Union Local (6-1) 16%
( 1%) LWL: 15.20 (14.25-16.65) 100% in, 35% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Beaver Local (4-3) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 125.3, #181, D4 #24), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 124.7, #187, D4 #24), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 126.0, #179, D4 #24), 97% (bubble if 6-4), 77% home (likely needs 8-2), 25% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 115.8, #251, D4 #37), 51% (bubble if 7-3), 17% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 109.5, #296, D4 #41), 44% (bubble if 7-3), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 99.9, #363, D4 #55), 26% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 106.6, #314, D4 #43), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 107.1, #298, D4 #40), 58% (bubble if 6-4), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 99.8