Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#52 of 106 in Division 5
#14 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #57 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #52 in D5 (-155 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-0 H #673 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 96
08/29 L 36-7 H #192 Fort Frye (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 28 (92%), perf. rating 79
09/05 L 28-7 A #301 John Glenn (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 80
09/12 L 33-7 A #148 New Lexington (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 95
09/19 H #648 River View (0-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/26 A #349 Morgan (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/03 H #410 Crooksville (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (57%)
10/10 A #474 Maysville (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/17 A #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/24 H #414 Meadowbrook (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.20 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
12% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.35 ( 0.95-14.97) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 19%
Lose: 3.92 ( 0.50-12.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 7W: 12.24 (11.53-14.97) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 18%
(27%) 6W: 9.62 ( 8.20-12.45) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 27%
(26%) 5W: 7.20 ( 5.73-10.43) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(19%) 4W: 4.73 ( 3.72- 8.47) out, proj. out
(11%) 3W: 2.51 ( 1.91- 5.44) out, proj. out
( 4%) 2W: 0.95 ( 0.95- 3.58) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(13%) WWWWWW: 12.24 (11.53-14.97) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 18%
(18%) WLWWWW: 9.52 ( 9.11-12.35) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 33%
( 4%) WWLWWW: 8.76 ( 8.20-10.83) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Nelsonville-York (4-0) 25%
( 8%) WLWWWL: 7.45 ( 7.25- 9.88) out
( 8%) WLLWWW: 6.29 ( 6.19- 8.21) out
( 7%) WLLWWL: 4.37 ( 4.32- 5.79) out
( 6%) WLLLWL: 2.31 ( 2.31- 3.77) out
( 4%) WLLLLL: 0.95 ( 0.95- 2.26) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 95.1, #404, D5 #52), 12% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 91.6, #421, D5 #59), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 101.6, #352, D5 #42), 34% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 126.4, #173, D5 #16), 87% (bubble if 7-3), 66% home (maybe if 8-2), 30% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 129.2, #158, D5 #15), 85% (bubble if 7-3), 62% home (maybe if 8-2), 26% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #3 at 9-1
Last season 131.2