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Rankings
#40 of 101 in Division 4
#12 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #76 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #665 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 43 (98%)
08/28 A #241 Fort Frye (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 10 (31%)
09/04 H #411 Maysville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 16 (81%)
09/11 H #334 Morgan (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 6 (64%)
09/18 H #313 Philo (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (60%)
09/25 A #384 John Glenn (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 8 (69%)
10/02 A #472 Crooksville (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 H #100 New Lexington (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #560 Coshocton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #410 Meadowbrook (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
58% (bubble if 6-4), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.65 ( 0.50-29.35) 58% in, 36% home, 12% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 21%
Lose: 6.22 ( 0.00-23.80) 25% in, 11% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 24.20 (18.05-29.35) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
(12%) 9W: 20.55 (14.85-26.95) 100% in, 98% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 49%
(16%) 8W: 17.25 (11.60-23.80) 99% in, 80% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 12%
(16%) 7W: 14.25 ( 9.45-20.25) 93% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 11.40 ( 6.85-17.50) 58% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(13%) 5W: 8.75 ( 4.90-13.75) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 12%
(10%) 4W: 6.35 ( 2.80-13.05) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 7%) 3W: 4.10 ( 1.45- 8.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.25 ( 0.90- 8.60) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.50 ( 0.45- 4.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 6%
Indian Creek (0-0) 6%
Union Local (0-0) 5%
Heath (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 15%
New Lexington (0-0) 15%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 8%
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 119.5, #206, D4 #22), 58% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 99.8