Region 11 home page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 11 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#79 of 107 in Division 3
#16 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #79 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D3 (-617 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 16-15 A #342 Circleville (4-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 104
08/29 L 28-13 A #349 Morgan (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 6 (38%), perf. rating 83
09/05 W 27-21 H #488 Logan (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 88
09/12 L 35-0 H Coal City Independence WV (3-0) D4
09/19 A #315 Union Local (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (16%)
09/27 H #250 Athens (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/03 H John Marshall WV (3-0) D2
10/10 H Point Pleasant WV (0-2) D4
10/17 A #192 Fort Frye (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/24 A #458 Marietta (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.23 Harbin points (divisor 93)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.63 ( 2.45-19.99) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Granville (3-1) 20%
Lose: 2.73 ( 0.60-17.39) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 11.25 ( 8.25-15.82) 38% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 20%
(16%) 4W: 7.73 ( 4.04-14.30) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(35%) 3W: 4.23 ( 2.19-11.16) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(34%) 2W: 1.85 ( 1.10- 7.39) out, proj. out
(11%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 3.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWLW: 11.25 ( 9.21-12.92) 26% in, proj. out (#9-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 23%
( 5%) LLWWLW: 7.71 ( 4.72-10.21) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hamilton Township (4-0) 50%
( 5%) LLWLLW: 6.27 ( 4.12- 8.69) out
( 4%) WLLWLW: 6.08 ( 4.04- 8.82) out
(18%) LLLWLW: 3.16 ( 2.19- 5.63) out
(11%) LLLWLL: 2.18 ( 1.10- 4.49) out
(18%) LLLLLW: 1.69 ( 1.15- 4.32) out
(11%) LLLLLL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 3.40) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 93.7, #411, D3 #79), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 89.3, #429, D3 #79), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 89.9, #434, D3 #80), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 93.8, #414, D3 #77), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 99.6, #358, D3 #73), 45% (bubble if 6-4), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 103.8