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Rankings
#92 of 102 in Division 3
#22 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #76 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D3 (-747 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-32 A #507 Morgan (2-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 17 (22%), perf. rating 76
08/28 L 37-28 H John Marshall WV (5-2) D2
09/04 L 38-10 A #277 Athens (7-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 73
09/11 L 42-13 A #319 Watkins Memorial (4-4) D2 R7, pick: L by 30 (4%), perf. rating 66
09/18 L 42-0 H #160 Claymont (8-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 64
09/25 L 20-13 H #441 Amanda-Clearcreek (2-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 76
10/02 L 42-14 H Williamstown WV (6-0) D6
10/09 L 42-0 A #215 Fort Frye (7-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 35 (1%), perf. rating 60
10/16 H Point Pleasant WV (3-4) D3
10/23 A #522 Warren (3-5) D3 R11, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.06 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.84 ( 2.27- 5.37) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 2.53) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 2W: 4.33 ( 4.33- 5.37) out, proj. out
(46%) 1W: 2.06 ( 2.06- 2.84) out, proj. out
(41%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) WW: 4.33 ( 4.33- 5.37) out
(17%) WL: 2.27 ( 2.27- 2.84) out
(29%) LW: 2.06 ( 2.06- 2.53) out
(41%) LL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 75.6, #529, D3 #89), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (0-6, 76.9, #517, D3 #88), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (0-5, 77.1, #515, D3 #88), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (0-4, 79.3, #496, D3 #84), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 81.6, #484, D3 #79), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 88.0, #441, D3 #76), 7% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 92.1, #420, D3 #74), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 87.9, #448, D3 #79), 26% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 89.1