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Rankings
#9 of 105 in Division 5
#4 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #60 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #384 John Glenn (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 29 (91%)
08/28 A #410 Meadowbrook (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (94%)
09/04 H #517 Bellaire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/11 A #649 Buckeye Local (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/17 H #478 Monroe Central (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 38 (99%)
09/25 H #515 Harrison Central (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/02 A #241 Fort Frye (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/09 A #340 Martins Ferry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 H Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (0-0) D7
10/23 H #291 Union Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
22.48 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 5-5), 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 64% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.87 ( 2.92-32.13) 99% in, 93% home, 68% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 69%
Lose: 15.98 ( 0.00-26.88) 85% in, 64% home, 27% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
(23%) 10W: 24.90 (17.48-32.13) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 97%
(37%) 9W: 22.48 (14.66-30.51) 100% in, 99% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 83%
(21%) 8W: 19.26 (11.93-26.28) 100% in, 98% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 48%
(11%) 7W: 15.88 ( 9.26-23.55) 99% in, 76% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
( 5%) 6W: 12.95 ( 7.25-18.31) 91% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Berkshire (0-0) 8%
( 2%) 5W: 10.18 ( 6.19-14.88) 54% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
( 1%) 4W: 7.48 ( 4.78-12.05) 13% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 3%
Berkshire (0-0) 2%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 2%
Edison (Richmond) (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Girard (0-0) 12%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 125.7, #170, D4 #16), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 75% home (maybe if 7-3), 39% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Last season 136.6