Region 17 home page
Region 17 projections
Region 17 playoff probabilities
Region 17 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 17 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#16 of 106 in Division 5
#7 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #84 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D5 (+138 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-19 A #367 Mount Gilead (4-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 136
08/28 W 60-6 H #676 Mifflin (0-7) D2 R7, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 92
09/04 W 53-15 H Pitt. Brashear PA (3-3) D2
09/11 W 34-0 A #474 Edison (Richmond) (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 137
09/18 W 49-0 A #621 Harrison Central (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 118
09/25 W 45-20 H #290 Union Local (6-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 146
10/02 W 49-7 A #635 Buckeye Local (0-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 112
10/09 H #99 Barnesville (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/16 H #652 Woodward (Toledo) (0-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #482 Bellaire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
19.50 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 18% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.94 (19.15-26.42) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 91%
Lose: 19.50 (14.56-22.33) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Bellaire (4-3) 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 10W: 23.99 (21.16-26.42) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
(79%) 9W: 19.50 (16.98-24.25) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Bellaire (4-3) 29%
( 2%) 8W: 17.94 (14.56-20.72) 100% in, 83% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Bellaire (4-3) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(20%) WWW: 23.99 (21.16-26.42) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
(79%) LWW: 19.50 (16.98-22.33) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Bellaire (4-3) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 124.5, #189, D5 #16), appears locked in and likely home, 18% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 126.3, #172, D5 #16), appears locked in and likely home, 42% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 118.1, #230, D5 #23), likely in, 87% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 118.0, #236, D5 #24), likely in, 83% home (maybe if 8-2), 25% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 112.4, #277, D5 #31), 97% (bubble if 6-4), 56% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 110.8, #286, D5 #31), 86% (bubble if 7-3), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 113.0, #265, D5 #29), 85% (bubble if 7-3), 54% home (maybe if 8-2), 14% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 102.7, #340, D5 #44), 63% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 101.4