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Rankings
#45 of 107 in Division 6
#12 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #66 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D6 (-240 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/29 W 35-6 H #481 Malvern (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 5 (60%), perf. rating 122
09/05 L 35-14 A Coal City Independence WV (3-0) D4
09/12 L 48-20 H #335 Edison (Richmond) (3-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 61
09/19 A #498 Lucas (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 10 (73%)
09/26 H Brownsville PA (0-3) D5
10/03 H #623 Buckeye Local (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/10 A #614 Cambridge (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/16 A Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (2-1) D7
10/24 A #437 Bellaire (2-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
5-4 record
9.39 Harbin points (divisor 85)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 6-3), 2% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.51 ( 4.45-17.40) 27% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
Lose: 7.60 ( 2.36-13.89) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 7W: 13.46 ( 9.99-17.40) 82% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
(30%) 6W: 11.42 ( 7.13-15.25) 37% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
(34%) 5W: 9.39 ( 5.92-13.51) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 16%
(20%) 4W: 7.36 ( 4.24-11.53) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 3W: 5.68 ( 3.27- 9.28) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WWWWWW: 13.46 ( 9.99-17.40) 82% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
( 6%) WLWWWW: 12.31 ( 9.13-15.25) 57% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 14%
(15%) WWWWLW: 11.36 ( 8.48-14.95) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 15%
( 7%) WWWWWL: 10.84 ( 7.13-13.90) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 18%
( 9%) WLWWLW: 10.10 ( 7.45-13.51) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 19%
(11%) WWWWLL: 8.69 ( 5.92-12.63) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 30%
( 7%) WLWWLL: 7.48 ( 5.07-10.36) out
( 4%) LLWWLL: 5.33 ( 3.27- 7.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-2, 91.7, #424, D6 #45), 21% (bubble if 6-3), 2% home, proj. out at 5-4
Week 3 (1-1, 114.7, #256, D6 #16), 92% (bubble if 5-4), 59% home (maybe if 7-2), 12% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #8 at 7-2
Week 2 (1-0, 115.1, #257, D6 #17), 93% (bubble if 5-4), 74% home (maybe if 7-2), 37% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #7 at 7-2
Week 1 (0-0, 100.7, #354, D6 #30), 66% (bubble if 5-4), 39% home (maybe if 7-2), 14% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #11 at 6-3
Week 0 (0-0, 100.6, #353, D6 #25), 60% (bubble if 5-4), 38% home (maybe if 6-3), 15% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #6 at 6-3
Last season 108.4