Region 17 home page
Region 17 projections
Region 17 playoff probabilities
Region 17 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 17 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#77 of 105 in Division 5
#21 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #46 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #649 Buckeye Local (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 28 (90%)
08/28 H #478 Monroe Central (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 A #128 Barnesville (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/11 H John Marshall WV (0-0) D2
09/18 A #633 Cambridge (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/25 H #329 Indian Creek (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 A #253 St Clairsville (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 A #515 Harrison Central (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/17 H #291 Union Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/23 A #340 Martins Ferry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.90 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
22% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.75 ( 0.45-28.94) 24% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Lose: 3.47 ( 0.00-19.06) 5% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Liberty (0-0) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.18 (16.82-26.52) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 74%
( 2%) 8W: 18.34 (12.89-24.20) 99% in, 93% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
( 5%) 7W: 14.97 ( 9.76-20.22) 98% in, 55% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
(10%) 6W: 11.94 ( 6.94-19.01) 76% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 10%
(15%) 5W: 9.27 ( 4.42-16.94) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
(21%) 4W: 6.90 ( 3.01-12.25) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Girard (0-0) 12%
(22%) 3W: 4.88 ( 1.70-10.34) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 2W: 2.92 ( 0.85- 9.33) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.26 ( 0.40- 5.45) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 9%
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Berkshire (0-0) 7%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 20%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 12%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Girard (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 19.0, #690, D5 #104), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 77.9