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Rankings
#63 of 103 in Division 7
#15 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #44 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D7 (-257 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 24-20 H #640 Trinity (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 19 (81%), perf. rating 49
08/28 L 54-28 H #339 McDonald (7-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 64
09/04 L 43-26 A #604 East Palestine (4-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 35
09/11 L 46-16 A #342 Mogadore (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 61
09/18 L 36-6 A #547 Sandy Valley (1-6) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (29%), perf. rating 30
09/25 L 36-0 H #319 Newcomerstown (5-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 51
10/02 W 28-21 A #675 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (3-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 19 (89%), perf. rating 45
10/09 A #654 Buckeye Trail (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/16 H #471 Strasburg-Franklin (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 H #509 East Canton (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.95 ( 3.05- 9.65) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 24%
Lose: 3.20 ( 2.30- 8.85) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 4W: 6.25 ( 5.30- 8.85) 76% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 25%
(66%) 3W: 3.95 ( 3.05- 6.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(27%) 2W: 3.20 ( 2.30- 4.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWL: 6.60 ( 5.70- 7.45) 86% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), East Canton (5-2) 27%
( 5%) WLW: 6.20 ( 5.30- 6.95) 70% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 26%
(64%) WLL: 3.95 ( 3.05- 4.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), St John School (5-2) 55%
(27%) LLL: 3.20 ( 2.30- 4.05) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 50.6, #630, D7 #63), 7% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 51.6, #625, D7 #62), 6% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 52.1, #621, D7 #62), 9% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 58.9, #597, D7 #56), 20% (bubble if 4-6), 5% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 55.7, #614, D7 #62), 17% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 77.1, #515, D7 #38), 76% (bubble if 4-6), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 82.1, #482, D7 #31), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 86.5, #457, D7 #28), 78% (bubble if 4-6), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 81.3