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Rankings
#62 of 105 in Division 5
#15 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #66 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #6 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #98 Perry (Massillon) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 38 (4%)
08/28 H #383 Mogadore (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 6 (38%)
09/04 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (7%)
09/11 A #445 Ellet (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 A #691 Cardinal (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/25 A #655 Crestline (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/02 H #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/09 H #409 John F Kennedy (Warren) (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/16 A #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/22 H #687 St Thomas Aquinas (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 45 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
28% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.25 ( 2.35-26.60) 72% in, 40% home, 8% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 7.45 ( 0.00-25.05) 26% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 17.95 (11.85-25.10) 99% in, 82% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 21%
( 7%) 8W: 14.75 ( 7.65-23.45) 94% in, 50% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Berkshire (0-0) 8%
(15%) 7W: 11.90 ( 6.20-19.20) 72% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(21%) 6W: 9.25 ( 4.30-17.20) 33% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(24%) 5W: 6.90 ( 2.80-15.75) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
(18%) 4W: 4.70 ( 2.00-10.25) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 9%) 3W: 3.20 ( 1.10- 7.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 2W: 1.80 ( 0.70- 5.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.10) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 9%
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Berkshire (0-0) 8%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 23%
Barnesville (0-0) 16%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 10%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 46.7, #649, D5 #97), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 85.5