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Rankings
#44 of 106 in Division 5
#12 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #52 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D5 (-106 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-7 A #194 Perry (Massillon) (2-5) D2 R7, pick: L by 38 (4%), perf. rating 74
08/28 W 19-8 H #342 Mogadore (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 118
09/04 L 30-21 H #209 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 21 (12%), perf. rating 106
09/11 L 21-20 A #546 Ellet (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 20 (88%), perf. rating 73
09/18 W 31-28 A #354 Firelands (5-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (44%), perf. rating 109
09/25 W 42-7 A #651 Crestline (2-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 95
10/02 W 49-0 H #605 Coventry (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 118
10/09 H #336 John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-3) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/16 A #90 Triway (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/22 H #673 St Thomas Aquinas (2-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 45 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.30 (11.55-19.70) 100% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#5-#12), Liberty (6-1) 42%
Lose: 11.45 ( 8.35-16.50) 99% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-out), Liberty (6-1) 32%
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 6W: 14.30 (12.80-16.80) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Liberty (6-1) 43%
(59%) 5W: 11.45 (10.10-13.95) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), Liberty (6-1) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WLW: 14.30 (12.80-16.60) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Liberty (6-1) 43%
(59%) LLW: 11.45 (10.10-13.30) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), Liberty (6-1) 32%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 98.6, #371, D5 #44), likely in, home game unlikely, proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 96.3, #388, D5 #49), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home, proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 97.6, #381, D5 #46), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 7% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 97.2, #390, D5 #49), 64% (likely needs 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 99.7, #366, D5 #44), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 98.5, #374, D5 #49), 64% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 89.6, #427, D5 #59), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 89.6, #443, D5 #62), 29% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 85.5