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Rankings
#25 of 101 in Division 4
#8 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #26 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 A #561 Trinity (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 35 (96%)
09/04 H #206 West Holmes (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 10 (72%)
09/18 A #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 H #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/02 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/09 A #470 Worthington Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 A #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 A #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
71% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 19% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.50 ( 0.60-31.95) 76% in, 51% home, 21% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 27%
Lose: 6.90 ( 0.00-29.35) 37% in, 17% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 26.15 (20.45-31.95) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 96%
(12%) 9W: 22.15 (16.35-29.50) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 66%
(15%) 8W: 18.65 (11.30-26.25) 99% in, 93% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(15%) 7W: 15.50 ( 9.05-23.40) 99% in, 68% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(14%) 6W: 12.60 ( 6.90-19.40) 92% in, 28% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 9.90 ( 4.80-16.15) 63% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 7.50 ( 2.85-14.65) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Norton (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 3W: 5.30 ( 1.55-11.20) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.35 ( 0.95- 8.65) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.45- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 7%
West Geauga (0-0) 6%
Norton (0-0) 6%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 14%
Streetsboro (0-0) 12%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 12%
Norton (0-0) 11%
Rocky River (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 86.7, #456, D4 #72), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 119.5