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Rankings
#33 of 100 in Division 2
#10 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #12 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D2 (+174 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-10 H #209 New Philadelphia (2-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 9 (66%), perf. rating 134
08/28 L 43-10 H #29 Ursuline (4-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 110
09/04 W 15-14 A #89 Dover (4-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 5 (39%), perf. rating 145
09/11 W 34-7 A #287 Boardman (0-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 153
09/18 L 27-18 A #117 Hoover (4-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 125
09/25 W 16-15 H #85 Lake (Uniontown) (4-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 141
10/02 A #125 Canfield (2-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 H #109 Green (Uniontown) (3-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #215 GlenOak (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/23 H Linsly WV (2-2) D5
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.48 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.78 (13.97-26.23) 99% in, 71% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Green (Uniontown) (3-3) 17%
Lose: 17.02 (11.13-23.44) 97% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(16%) 8W: 23.12 (20.11-26.23) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Green (Uniontown) (3-3) 18%
(32%) 7W: 20.48 (16.60-23.95) 100% in, 79% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
(33%) 6W: 17.48 (13.86-21.31) 99% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 22%
(16%) 5W: 15.05 (11.88-18.46) 96% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 23%
( 3%) 4W: 13.07 (11.13-15.36) 77% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(16%) WWWW: 23.12 (20.11-26.23) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Green (Uniontown) (3-3) 18%
(11%) WWWL: 20.83 (18.39-23.95) 100% in, 92% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
(11%) LWWW: 20.43 (17.98-23.44) 100% in, 88% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
( 9%) WLWW: 19.41 (16.60-22.47) 100% in, 51% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hamilton Township (4-2) 27%
( 8%) LWWL: 18.50 (16.15-20.95) 100% in, 58% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Hamilton Township (4-2) 25%
(14%) LLWW: 16.72 (13.86-20.59) 99% in, 10% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 21%
( 9%) LLWL: 14.84 (11.88-18.46) 95% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 23%
( 3%) LLLL: 13.07 (11.13-15.36) 77% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 135.5, #123, D2 #33), likely in, 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 135.9, #115, D2 #31), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 137.8, #105, D2 #30), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 125.6, #176, D2 #47), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 123.5, #195, D2 #47), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 130.0, #152, D2 #42), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 128.3, #161, D2 #46), 28% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 133.8