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Rankings
#24 of 104 in Division 2
#7 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #38 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D2 (+252 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 24-0 A #207 New Philadelphia (1-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 23 (15%), perf. rating 159
08/29 W 30-13 A #111 Alliance (3-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 167
09/05 W 10-3 H #147 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 141
09/12 W 45-7 A #433 Marlington (2-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 149
09/19 H #63 Hoover (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 2 (45%)
09/26 A #428 Canton Central Catholic (0-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/03 H #48 Canfield (4-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/10 A #83 Green (Uniontown) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/17 H #40 La Salle (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/24 H #446 Wooster (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 42 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
19.46 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 37% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.46 (15.32-37.32) 99% in, 98% home, 66% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 66%
Lose: 17.59 (11.53-30.30) 90% in, 49% home, 13% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 31.31 (26.16-37.32) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(17%) 9W: 27.22 (21.67-32.73) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 94%
(23%) 8W: 23.29 (17.58-29.10) 100% in, 99% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 46%
(27%) 7W: 19.46 (14.10-26.23) 99% in, 73% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 12%
(24%) 6W: 15.57 (11.53-22.14) 79% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Northland (2-2) 13%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWWWW: 31.31 (26.16-37.32) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) WWWWLW: 27.32 (21.67-31.87) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 95%
( 5%) WWWLLW: 25.13 (20.51-28.49) 100% home, 76% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 76%
( 6%) WWLWLW: 22.33 (18.24-26.32) 100% in, 99% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 35%
( 6%) LWWLLW: 20.57 (16.48-23.55) 100% in, 87% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Teays Valley (3-1) 13%
( 9%) WWLLLW: 19.96 (15.32-23.70) 99% in, 90% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 13%
( 8%) LWLWLW: 17.74 (14.10-21.58) 98% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Northland (2-2) 11%
(23%) LWLLLW: 15.52 (11.53-19.26) 78% in, 10% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Northland (2-2) 13%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 144.9, #79, D2 #24), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 37% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 144.4, #84, D2 #24), likely in, 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 138.7, #106, D2 #30), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 129.4, #154, D2 #34), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 109.0, #285, D2 #64), 34% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 113.7