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Rankings
#46 of 100 in Division 2
#13 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #10 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #200 New Philadelphia (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 9 (66%)
08/28 H #6 Ursuline (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 36 (4%)
09/04 A #194 Dover (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/11 A #129 Boardman (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 A #70 Hoover (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 20 (11%)
09/25 H #57 Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 A #121 Canfield (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/09 H #71 Green (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 H #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H Linsly WV (0-0) D6
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.29 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
28% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.53 ( 0.55-37.49) 38% in, 18% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 4.20 ( 0.00-32.19) 9% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.11 (24.99-37.49) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 94%
( 2%) 9W: 27.42 (20.15-36.47) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
( 5%) 8W: 23.53 (13.33-32.61) 99% in, 87% home, 26% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
( 8%) 7W: 19.51 (11.25-29.51) 95% in, 49% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 9%
(11%) 6W: 15.70 ( 8.66-24.06) 70% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Ashland (0-0) 11%
(13%) 5W: 12.39 ( 5.76-20.91) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 9.29 ( 3.99-18.32) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Ashland (0-0) 13%
(16%) 3W: 6.60 ( 2.21-13.08) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(14%) 2W: 4.06 ( 1.15- 9.62) out, proj. out
(10%) 1W: 1.82 ( 0.40- 6.16) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Walnut Ridge (0-0) 8%
Ashland (0-0) 8%
Massillon Washington (0-0) 7%
DeSales (Columbus) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Bishop Watterson (0-0) 20%
Big Walnut (0-0) 16%
Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) 7%
Ashland (0-0) 7%
Massillon Washington (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 149.8, #57, D2 #18), 69% (bubble if 5-5), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 31% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 133.8