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Rankings
#38 of 104 in Division 3
#13 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #79 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 2 (46%)
08/28 H #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (93%)
09/04 H #130 Streetsboro (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 12 (25%)
09/11 A #237 Salem (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/18 A #562 Minerva (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 H #421 Carrollton (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 H #493 Howland (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/09 A #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/16 A #89 West Branch (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #495 Marlington (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
48% (bubble if 7-3), 24% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.65 ( 1.45-32.90) 73% in, 43% home, 14% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 18%
Lose: 11.55 ( 0.00-28.35) 26% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Ursuline (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 25.85 (18.05-32.90) 100% in, 98% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 60%
(14%) 9W: 21.70 (14.20-28.90) 99% in, 76% home, 15% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 15%
(19%) 8W: 18.05 (12.05-26.25) 86% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Maple Heights (0-0) 7%
(20%) 7W: 14.65 ( 8.60-21.55) 41% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Geneva (0-0) 9%
(17%) 6W: 11.50 ( 6.30-19.90) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Geneva (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 8.80 ( 4.65-16.10) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 4W: 6.55 ( 2.65-12.10) out, proj. out
( 3%) 3W: 4.55 ( 2.00- 8.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.90 ( 1.00- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.27 ( 0.50- 4.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Geneva (0-0) 7%
Maple Heights (0-0) 6%
Ursuline (0-0) 6%
Chardon (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Cuyahoga Val. Christian (0-0) 14%
Ursuline (0-0) 11%
Lake Catholic (0-0) 9%
Aurora (0-0) 9%
Geneva (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 138.7, #102, D2 #30), 63% (bubble if 6-4), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 127.9