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Rankings
#5 of 106 in Division 5
#2 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #4 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D5 (+433 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-14 H #122 West Holmes (6-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 143
08/28 W 38-13 A #245 Norwayne (5-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 21 (85%), perf. rating 155
09/04 W 31-7 H #297 Wooster (3-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (96%), perf. rating 144
09/11 L 21-18 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (7-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 117
09/18 W 51-0 H #377 Tuslaw (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 158
09/25 W 35-7 A #267 Fairless (4-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 158
10/02 W 62-6 A #440 Canton South (0-8) D4 R15, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 153
10/09 W 38-6 A #212 Manchester (Akron) (4-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (77%), perf. rating 171
10/16 H #337 Canton Central Catholic (5-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 H #232 Orrville (7-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
25.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.65 (20.00-27.10) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Based on eventual number of wins
(94%) 9W: 25.65 (23.55-27.10) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 6%) 8W: 21.65 (20.00-24.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(94%) WW: 25.65 (23.55-27.10) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 5%) WL: 21.60 (20.00-23.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 140.3, #90, D5 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 137.0, #114, D5 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 137.1, #103, D5 #8), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 132.8, #127, D5 #8), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 74% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 135.8, #115, D5 #7), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 89% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 136.1, #115, D5 #7), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 80% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 130.7, #146, D5 #10), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 132.1, #137, D5 #10), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 136.4