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Rankings
#8 of 106 in Division 5
#4 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #4 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D5 (+378 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-14 H #129 West Holmes (5-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 142
08/28 W 38-13 A #282 Norwayne (4-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 21 (85%), perf. rating 151
09/04 W 31-7 H #288 Wooster (2-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (96%), perf. rating 144
09/11 L 21-18 H #209 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 115
09/18 W 51-0 H #359 Tuslaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 162
09/25 W 35-7 A #277 Fairless (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 155
10/02 W 62-6 A #420 Canton South (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 156
10/09 A #168 Manchester (Akron) (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 H #371 Canton Central Catholic (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 H #218 Orrville (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
25.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.10 (17.15-27.60) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 99%
Lose: 21.90 (14.40-24.25) 100% in, 99% home, 84% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#11), bye 84%
Based on eventual number of wins
(70%) 9W: 25.20 (22.70-27.60) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(26%) 8W: 21.90 (18.20-24.25) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) 7W: 18.25 (16.30-20.30) 100% in, 95% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#10), Port Clinton (6-1) 17%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(70%) WWW: 25.20 (22.70-27.60) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(19%) LWW: 22.05 (19.55-24.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 6%) WWL: 20.95 (18.20-23.25) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
( 4%) LWL: 18.10 (16.30-19.90) 100% in, 95% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Port Clinton (6-1) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 140.3, #90, D5 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 137.0, #114, D5 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 137.1, #103, D5 #8), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 132.8, #127, D5 #8), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 74% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 135.8, #115, D5 #7), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 89% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 136.1, #115, D5 #7), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 80% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 130.7, #146, D5 #10), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 132.1, #137, D5 #10), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 136.4