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Rankings
#10 of 105 in Division 5
#4 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #9 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #49 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #206 West Holmes (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (75%)
08/28 A #183 Norwayne (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 6 (62%)
09/04 H #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 36 (98%)
09/11 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 14 (80%)
09/18 H #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 A #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 A #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/09 A #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/16 H #443 Canton Central Catholic (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
20.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
78% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.10 ( 1.05-33.65) 88% in, 75% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 61%
Lose: 12.40 ( 0.00-30.05) 49% in, 30% home, 13% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 10W: 27.85 (22.20-33.65) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(20%) 9W: 24.15 (17.65-31.65) 100% in, 99% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 85%
(17%) 8W: 20.65 (13.75-27.70) 99% in, 93% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 39%
(13%) 7W: 17.25 (11.65-24.25) 96% in, 57% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 7%
(10%) 6W: 14.15 ( 8.75-20.75) 71% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 11.10 ( 5.65-17.25) 29% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Norwayne (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 4W: 8.50 ( 4.40-14.85) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 4%) 3W: 6.05 ( 2.70-10.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 2W: 3.80 ( 1.45- 8.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.45- 5.50) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 3%
Margaretta (0-0) 3%
Eastwood (0-0) 3%
Norwayne (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 50.6, #635, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 136.4