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Rankings
#69 of 108 in Division 6
#17 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #95 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #52 in D6 (-130 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-24 A #487 Lowellville (4-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 88
08/28 W 20-6 A #627 Mathews (4-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 74
09/04 W 38-37 H #570 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 66
09/11 L 56-7 A #280 United (4-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 30 (4%), perf. rating 51
09/18 L 34-7 H #303 Woodmore (6-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 67
09/25 W 52-6 A #673 Southern (Salineville) (1-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 96
10/02 H #644 Valley Christian School (1-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 A #687 Wellsville (1-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 H #593 East Palestine (4-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/23 H #621 Lisbon David Anderson (3-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.81 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.51 ( 7.86-16.03) 95% in, 5% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), United (4-1) 24%
Lose: 12.25 ( 7.10-13.86) 78% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), United (4-1) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(75%) 8W: 13.81 (12.70-16.03) 99% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), United (4-1) 26%
(21%) 7W: 11.54 (10.43-14.27) 85% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Hillsdale (5-1) 24%
( 3%) 6W: 9.32 ( 8.21-11.90) 26% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(75%) WWWW: 13.81 (12.70-16.03) 99% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), United (4-1) 26%
( 2%) LWWW: 12.65 (11.54-13.86) 99% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), United (4-1) 26%
(12%) WWLW: 11.49 (10.43-13.06) 78% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Hillsdale (5-1) 23%
( 6%) WWWL: 11.24 (10.48-13.11) 92% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Hillsdale (5-1) 24%
( 2%) WWLL: 8.97 ( 8.21-10.13) 10% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (6-0) 52%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 74.8, #527, D6 #69), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home, proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 72.7, #538, D6 #73), 93% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home, proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 74.6, #524, D6 #71), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 77.6, #515, D6 #68), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 75.5, #524, D6 #72), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 77.3, #507, D6 #69), 64% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 76.4, #521, D6 #66), 59% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 81.8