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Rankings
#13 of 103 in Division 7
#1 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #7 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D7 (+85 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 48-12 A #96 Danville (7-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating 88
08/28 L 40-16 H #148 Garaway (6-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 93
09/04 L 30-21 A #342 Mogadore (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 92
09/11 L 21-16 A #239 Hillsdale (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 28 (5%), perf. rating 111
09/18 W 36-6 H #533 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 19 (88%), perf. rating 117
09/25 W 35-0 A #508 Rittman (3-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 13 (80%), perf. rating 133
10/02 L 23-18 H #282 Norwayne (4-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 102
10/09 A #469 Chippewa (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/16 H #596 Waynedale (1-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 H #195 Smithville (7-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 3-7), 18% home (likely needs 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.40 ( 5.65-12.30) 99% in, 20% home, 8% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Lowellville (4-3) 26%
Lose: 4.95 ( 3.25- 9.50) 62% in, 8% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
(15%) 5W: 11.45 (10.85-12.30) 100% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 46%
(74%) 4W: 7.35 ( 7.20-10.70) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #10 (#5-#12), Lowellville (4-3) 31%
(11%) 3W: 4.95 ( 4.80- 7.85) 62% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(15%) WWW: 11.45 (10.85-12.30) 100% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 46%
(73%) WWL: 7.35 ( 7.20- 8.60) 100% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Lowellville (4-3) 32%
(10%) LWL: 4.95 ( 4.80- 5.80) 60% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 27%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 106.0, #322, D7 #13), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 18% home (likely needs 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 5-5), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 6 (2-4, 106.4, #317, D7 #13), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 54% home (likely needs 5-5), 22% bye (maybe if 5-5), proj. #5 at 5-5
Week 5 (1-4, 100.8, #358, D7 #15), 81% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 9% bye (likely needs 6-4), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 4 (0-4, 97.9, #382, D7 #19), 67% (bubble if 3-7), 37% home (maybe if 4-6), 7% bye (likely needs 6-4), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 90.9, #425, D7 #27), 42% (bubble if 3-7), 18% home (maybe if 4-6), 4% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 93.9, #404, D7 #23), 59% (bubble if 3-7), 40% home (likely needs 5-5), 18% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 94.2, #408, D7 #20), 64% (bubble if 3-7), 42% home (likely needs 5-5), 17% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 115.8, #236, D7 #7), 89% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (maybe if 5-5), 48% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 7-3
Last season 113.0