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Rankings
#4 of 106 in Division 6
#2 of 27 in Region 21
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 55-34 A #42 Kirtland (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 21 (16%), perf. rating 128
08/30 (week 2) W 48-26 H #391 Highland (Marengo) (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 127
09/06 (week 3) W 34-0 A #368 Mogadore (1-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (94%), perf. rating 151
09/13 (week 4) W 46-7 H #414 Smithville (3-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 150
09/20 (week 5) A #232 Hillsdale (4-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 18 (86%)
09/27 (week 6) H #543 Northwestern (W. Salem) (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/04 (week 7) A #528 Rittman (3-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/11 (week 8) H #135 Norwayne (3-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 7 (66%)
10/18 (week 9) A #619 Chippewa (1-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/25 (week 10) H #491 Waynedale (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#22 of 106 in Division 6
Regular season projections
9-1 record
21.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 92% twice (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.10 (13.25-24.50) 100% home, 98% twice, proj. #2 (#2-#7), Rittman (3-1) 16%
Lose: 14.95 (10.40-19.10) 100% in, 99% home, 51% twice, proj. #4 (#2-#10), Wickliffe (3-1) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
(62%) 9W: 21.45 (19.55-24.50) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#2-#3), Rittman (3-1) 17%
(30%) 8W: 17.70 (15.75-20.05) 100% home, 95% twice, proj. #3 (#2-#6), Wickliffe (3-1) 14%
( 8%) 7W: 14.20 (12.20-17.75) 100% in, 99% home, 19% twice, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Smithville (3-1) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(62%) WWWWWW: 21.45 (19.55-24.50) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#2-#3), Rittman (3-1) 17%
( 6%) LWWWWW: 17.80 (16.00-19.10) 100% home, 97% twice, proj. #3 (#2-#5), Wickliffe (3-1) 17%
(24%) WWWLWW: 17.65 (15.75-20.05) 100% home, 95% twice, proj. #3 (#2-#6), Wickliffe (3-1) 13%
( 7%) LWWLWW: 14.15 (12.20-15.60) 100% in, 99% home, 15% twice, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Smithville (3-1) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 138.2, #105, D6 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 92% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 136.3, #117, D6 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 80% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 133.7, #134, D6 #6), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 69% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 136.7, #123, D6 #4), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 69% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 139.7, #102, D6 #3), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 75% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 142.7