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Rankings
#12 of 103 in Division 7
#1 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #55 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D7 (+177 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 44-0 A #650 Valley Christian School (1-7) D6 R21, pick: W by 32 (93%), perf. rating 107
08/28 W 54-28 A #616 Malvern (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 96
09/04 W 28-0 H #526 LaBrae (4-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 115
09/11 W 54-16 A #560 Campbell Memorial (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 128
09/18 W 38-8 A #585 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 110
09/25 W 37-7 H #651 Jackson-Milton (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 85
10/02 W by forfeit H #677 Waterloo (1-7) D7 R25 (no game)
10/09 W 53-14 H #506 Lowellville (4-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 135
10/16 A #370 Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 H #249 Mineral Ridge (8-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
15.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.80 (14.55-20.70) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 13.05 (11.95-17.75) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(31%) 10W: 19.15 (18.35-20.70) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(47%) 9W: 15.35 (14.55-17.75) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(22%) 8W: 12.75 (11.95-14.30) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 97%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(31%) WW: 19.15 (18.35-20.70) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 8%) LW: 16.55 (15.75-17.75) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(39%) WL: 15.35 (14.55-16.95) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(22%) LL: 12.75 (11.95-14.30) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 97%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 104.3, #339, D7 #16), appears locked in and home, 97% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 103.9, #335, D7 #15), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 109.5, #294, D7 #13), appears locked in and home, 98% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 110.3, #294, D7 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 106.3, #319, D7 #12), likely in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 110.2, #291, D7 #11), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 107.5, #299, D7 #11), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 102.6, #342, D7 #16), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 107.8