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Rankings
#41 of 104 in Division 7
#13 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #39 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #521 Columbiana (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%)
08/28 H #609 Lisbon David Anderson (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 15 (77%)
09/04 A #516 East Canton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 6 (37%)
09/11 A #591 Jackson-Milton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 7 (66%)
09/18 H #610 Campbell Memorial (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 15 (83%)
09/25 H #476 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/02 A #427 Mineral Ridge (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 A #342 McDonald (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/16 H #671 Waterloo (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 A #352 Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
58% (bubble if 4-6), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.55 ( 0.75-26.35) 82% in, 59% home, 27% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 32%
Lose: 5.15 ( 0.00-22.35) 38% in, 18% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 22.00 (18.05-26.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) 9W: 18.80 (13.85-23.65) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 96%
( 8%) 8W: 15.95 ( 9.85-21.25) 100% in, 99% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 65%
(12%) 7W: 13.20 ( 8.60-18.45) 99% in, 93% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 22%
(13%) 6W: 10.75 ( 6.70-16.50) 99% in, 62% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 8.55 ( 4.50-13.70) 85% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 8%
(13%) 4W: 6.40 ( 2.65-10.90) 41% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 10%
(13%) 3W: 4.50 ( 1.45- 9.90) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Malvern (0-0) 10%
(10%) 2W: 2.65 ( 0.70- 6.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 7%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.35- 3.85) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 6%
Fairport Harding (0-0) 5%
Malvern (0-0) 5%
W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Dalton (0-0) 12%
McDonald (0-0) 11%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 10%
Mogadore (0-0) 9%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 72.6, #539, D7 #41), 58% (bubble if 4-6), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 70.6