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Rankings
#34 of 103 in Division 7
#9 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #42 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D7 (-104 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 27-24 H #529 Columbiana (6-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 69
08/28 W 50-21 H #609 Lisbon David Anderson (5-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 99
09/04 L 23-14 A #488 East Canton (6-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 70
09/11 W 40-0 A #651 Jackson-Milton (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 31 (97%), perf. rating 104
09/18 W 30-20 H #560 Campbell Memorial (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 82
09/25 W 36-12 H #585 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 97
10/02 L 53-20 A #249 Mineral Ridge (8-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 69
10/09 L 53-14 A #305 McDonald (8-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 53
10/16 H #677 Waterloo (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #370 Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (7%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 80% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.00 ( 7.65-11.05) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), St Paul (4-3) 27%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 6W: 10.25 ( 9.90-11.05) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rittman (3-5) 28%
(92%) 5W: 8.00 ( 7.65- 9.45) 100% in, 79% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Independence (4-4) 29%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WW: 10.25 ( 9.90-11.05) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rittman (3-5) 28%
(92%) WL: 8.00 ( 7.65- 8.85) 100% in, 79% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Independence (4-4) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 80.7, #500, D7 #33), likely in, 77% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #7 at 5-5
Week 6 (4-2, 81.2, #487, D7 #33), likely in, 60% home (maybe if 5-5), 11% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 76.6, #518, D7 #38), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 48% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 75.6, #519, D7 #35), 69% (bubble if 4-6), 31% home (maybe if 5-5), 3% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 75.3, #535, D7 #40), 70% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 75.8, #522, D7 #39), 72% (bubble if 4-6), 39% home (maybe if 5-5), 9% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 71.7, #548, D7 #43), 63% (bubble if 4-6), 31% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 72.6, #539, D7 #41), 58% (bubble if 4-6), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 70.6