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Rankings
#33 of 104 in Division 7
#9 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #40 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #603 Whetstone (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 H #516 East Canton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 9 (67%)
09/04 A #521 Columbiana (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #671 Waterloo (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (98%)
09/18 H #342 McDonald (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 16 (16%)
09/25 A #539 Lowellville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/02 A #610 Campbell Memorial (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #352 Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #427 Mineral Ridge (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 H #591 Jackson-Milton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 4-6), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.35 ( 0.60-27.50) 84% in, 64% home, 34% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 41%
Lose: 5.65 ( 0.00-22.65) 43% in, 23% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 21.70 (16.80-27.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(11%) 9W: 18.60 (13.95-25.10) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 94%
(14%) 8W: 15.80 (10.70-21.95) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 66%
(15%) 7W: 13.10 ( 8.10-18.95) 99% in, 92% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
(15%) 6W: 10.70 ( 5.95-17.55) 99% in, 62% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 7%
(13%) 5W: 8.45 ( 4.55-14.65) 84% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
(10%) 4W: 6.35 ( 2.75-12.45) 43% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 3W: 4.45 ( 1.55-11.10) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Dalton (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 2W: 2.65 ( 0.95- 8.50) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.35- 4.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Malvern (0-0) 4%
Fairport Harding (0-0) 4%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 4%
East Canton (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
McDonald (0-0) 11%
Dalton (0-0) 10%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 10%
Monroeville (0-0) 9%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 67.1, #571, D7 #50), 28% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 79.7