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Rankings
#88 of 107 in Division 7
#21 of 26 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #51 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D7 (-628 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/23 L 26-15 H #612 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 39
08/29 L 49-0 A #469 East Canton (4-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating 22
09/05 L 49-19 H #374 Toronto (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 45 (1%), perf. rating 53
09/12 L 41-20 H #621 Southern (Salineville) (1-3) D7 R25, pick: L by 8 (32%), perf. rating 23
09/20 A #588 Valley Christian School (2-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/26 A #532 East Palestine (4-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 A #617 Lisbon David Anderson (2-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/10 A #575 Columbiana (1-3) D6 R21, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/17 H #347 United (3-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/24 H #680 Leetonia (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 3 (57%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.60 ( 1.15- 9.50) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.00- 8.70) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), East Canton (4-0) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 4.88 ( 3.70- 7.10) 61% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), East Canton (4-0) 19%
(10%) 2W: 2.85 ( 2.15- 5.45) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(47%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.75- 3.50) out, proj. out
(40%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LLWLLW: 2.85 ( 2.50- 4.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), East Palestine (4-0) 50%
( 2%) LLLWLW: 2.58 ( 2.15- 3.95) out
( 2%) WLLLLW: 2.55 ( 2.20- 4.05) out
( 1%) LLWLLL: 1.45 ( 1.10- 2.60) out
(44%) LLLLLW: 1.05 ( 1.05- 2.15) out
(40%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 33.7, #677, D7 #88), 2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 39.8, #663, D7 #82), 6% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 35.7, #673, D7 #85), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 38.4, #671, D7 #84), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 36.4, #677, D7 #88), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 37.9