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Rankings
#33 of 107 in Division 6
#7 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #94 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D6 (+65 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-0 H #461 Minerva (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 35 (95%), perf. rating 135
08/29 W 27-9 A #416 Mineral Ridge (3-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 122
09/05 L 34-7 H #184 Crestview (Columbiana) (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 17 (17%), perf. rating 83
09/12 W 27-7 A #575 Columbiana (1-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (95%), perf. rating 98
09/19 A #617 Lisbon David Anderson (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (98%)
09/26 A #680 Leetonia (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/03 H #532 East Palestine (4-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/10 H #588 Valley Christian School (2-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/17 A #677 Wellsville (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/24 H #621 Southern (Salineville) (1-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
19.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 41% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.25 (11.40-21.35) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#12), bye 42%
Lose: 16.55 (10.25-19.10) 100% in, 85% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Wickliffe (4-0) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(88%) 9W: 19.30 (17.20-21.35) 100% in, 99% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 46%
(11%) 8W: 16.75 (14.20-20.10) 100% in, 97% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), Mineral Ridge (3-1) 13%
( 1%) 7W: 14.15 (11.85-17.45) 100% in, 56% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Garaway (3-0) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(88%) WWWWWW: 19.30 (17.20-21.35) 100% in, 99% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 46%
( 1%) WWWWWL: 17.70 (16.30-19.25) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Rootstown (4-0) 16%
( 2%) WWWLWW: 16.80 (15.00-18.80) 100% in, 96% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Mineral Ridge (3-1) 16%
( 1%) LWWWWW: 16.80 (15.10-19.10) 100% in, 99% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Wickliffe (4-0) 15%
( 4%) WWLWWW: 15.90 (14.20-18.15) 100% in, 95% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Mineral Ridge (3-1) 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 103.5, #347, D6 #33), appears locked in and likely home, 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 104.9, #341, D6 #31), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 108.8, #300, D6 #22), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 90.1, #439, D6 #45), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 47% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 88.7, #460, D6 #47), 79% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 7-3), 17% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Last season 86.6