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Rankings
#29 of 107 in Division 6
#7 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #90 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D6 (-150 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-7 A #568 Minerva (1-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 122
08/28 L 31-28 H #279 Mineral Ridge (2-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 7 (36%), perf. rating 106
09/04 A #360 Crestview (Columbiana) (1-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (57%)
09/11 H #525 Columbiana (2-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 H #634 Lisbon David Anderson (1-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/02 A #659 East Palestine (0-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/10 A #623 Valley Christian School (0-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 H #691 Wellsville (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #657 Southern (Salineville) (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 44 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-1 record
4.90 Harbin points (divisor 90)
#6 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 65% home (maybe if 7-2), 3% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.89 ( 3.53- 5.28) 99% in, 89% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Columbiana (2-0) 14%
Lose: 4.13 ( 2.16- 4.52) 97% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Wickliffe (2-0) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
(52%) 8W: 4.90 ( 4.58- 5.28) 100% in, 94% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Columbiana (2-0) 14%
(42%) 7W: 4.16 ( 3.90- 4.62) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Wickliffe (2-0) 16%
( 6%) 6W: 3.44 ( 3.22- 4.02) 85% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Mineral Ridge (2-0) 17%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(52%) WWWWWWW: 4.90 ( 4.58- 5.28) 100% in, 94% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Columbiana (2-0) 14%
(37%) LWWWWWW: 4.16 ( 3.94- 4.52) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Wickliffe (2-0) 16%
( 3%) LLWWWWW: 3.39 ( 3.22- 3.63) 78% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Mineral Ridge (2-0) 20%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 105.9, #320, D6 #29), 97% (bubble if 6-3), 63% home (maybe if 7-2), 3% bye, proj. #8 at 8-1
Week 1 (1-0, 104.6, #329, D6 #28), 93% (bubble if 6-3), 75% home (maybe if 7-2), 30% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #4 at 8-1
Week 0 (0-0, 99.1, #375, D6 #35), 89% (bubble if 5-4), 74% home (maybe if 6-3), 43% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #4 at 7-2
Last season 104.0