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Rankings
#32 of 103 in Division 7
#8 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #75 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D7 (+21 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-13 H #491 Meigs (4-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 68
08/28 W 34-8 H #683 Miller (1-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 63
09/04 W 42-6 H #592 South Gallia (5-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 21 (88%), perf. rating 112
09/11 W 42-20 H #527 Eastern (Beaver) (4-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 107
09/18 W 28-21 A #537 Warren (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 86
09/25 L 35-0 A #323 Waterford (5-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 56
10/02 W 48-0 A #700 Federal Hocking (0-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 54
10/09 H #642 Trimble (2-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/16 A #679 Belpre (4-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/24 H #598 Southern (Racine) (3-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 16% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.20 ( 9.50-15.95) 100% in, 99% home, 17% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#10), Lucas (4-3) 19%
Lose: 12.70 ( 8.45-14.10) 100% in, 97% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Frontier (5-2) 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
(90%) 8W: 14.30 (13.05-15.95) 100% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#8), Lucas (4-3) 20%
( 9%) 7W: 12.35 (11.25-14.10) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Southern (Racine) (3-4) 22%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(90%) WWW: 14.30 (13.05-15.95) 100% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#8), Lucas (4-3) 20%
( 2%) LWW: 12.70 (12.00-14.10) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Frontier (5-2) 27%
( 7%) WWL: 12.10 (11.30-13.80) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Southern (Racine) (3-4) 31%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 81.3, #495, D7 #32), appears locked in and likely home, 16% bye, proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 83.9, #473, D7 #32), appears locked in and likely home, proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 88.5, #435, D7 #29), appears locked in and likely home, 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 87.9, #444, D7 #29), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 78.8, #504, D7 #34), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 68.0, #570, D7 #51), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 75.4, #523, D7 #37), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 84.9, #471, D7 #31), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 52% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 83.2