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Rankings
#64 of 107 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #98 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #67 in D6 (-296 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/23 W 23-19 A #577 Meigs (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (85%), perf. rating 74
08/29 W 47-13 A Wirt County WV (2-1) D7
09/05 L 22-21 A #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 78
09/12 W 50-16 H #706 Federal Hocking (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 43
09/19 H #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/26 H #364 Waterford (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/03 H Wahama WV (3-0) D7
10/10 A #478 Trimble (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/17 H #697 Belpre (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/24 A #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.51 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
37% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.14 ( 5.34-19.55) 37% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
Lose: 9.68 ( 6.22-17.43) 16% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 17.78 (15.75-19.55) 100% in, 98% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 40%
(17%) 8W: 14.56 (11.91-18.11) 98% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
(45%) 7W: 11.51 ( 8.64-15.20) 42% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 14%
(35%) 6W: 8.71 ( 6.52-13.35) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 5W: 7.47 ( 5.34- 9.66) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 17.78 (15.75-19.55) 100% in, 98% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 40%
( 2%) WWLWWW: 15.14 (13.47-16.44) 99% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), West Jefferson (4-0) 12%
(12%) WLWWWW: 14.51 (11.91-16.23) 97% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 12%
( 2%) WWWLWW: 14.41 (12.64-16.02) 96% in, 28% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 18%
(15%) WLLWWW: 11.92 ( 9.79-14.42) 55% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
( 2%) WWLLWW: 11.82 (10.15-13.49) 50% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 16%
(27%) WLWLWW: 11.25 ( 8.64-13.38) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 15%
(33%) WLLLWW: 8.66 ( 6.52-10.53) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Fort Frye (3-1) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 76.5, #523, D6 #64), 37% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 77.5, #511, D6 #60), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 82.3, #489, D6 #57), 71% (bubble if 7-3), 36% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 86.3, #464, D6 #48), 86% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 92.1, #432, D6 #41), 81% (bubble if 6-4), 59% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 92.0