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Rankings
#103 of 107 in Division 7
#25 of 27 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #68 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #106 in D7 (-945 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 14-6 A #670 Southeastern (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 27
08/29 L 47-0 H #608 Alexander (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating -5
09/06 L 44-0 H #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 36 (2%), perf. rating 1
09/12 L 42-12 H #672 Manchester (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 8 (32%), perf. rating -10
09/19 A #523 Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/26 H #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/03 A #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/10 A #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/17 H #708 Green (FF) (0-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/24 H #590 Notre Dame (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.35 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.05 ( 2.33- 7.83) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.35 ( 0.00- 7.12) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 2W: 3.20 ( 2.28- 4.68) out, proj. out
(90%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.92) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLWW: 2.94 ( 2.59- 4.02) out
(90%) LLLLWL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.12) out
( 5%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 9.2, #704, D7 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 19.8, #695, D7 #98), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 18.1, #697, D7 #99), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 25.1, #689, D7 #94), 6% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 22.8, #693, D7 #95), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 15.3