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Rankings
#33 of 107 in Division 7
#4 of 25 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #83 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D7 (+20 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-8 H #248 Nelsonville-York (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 75
08/29 W 36-0 H #628 Berne Union (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 29 (93%), perf. rating 107
09/05 W 10-0 H #627 Vinton County (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (71%), perf. rating 68
09/12 W 40-0 A #653 Wellston (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 105
09/19 H #599 Shenandoah (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/26 H #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/03 A #697 Belpre (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/10 H #523 Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/17 A #364 Waterford (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/24 A #706 Federal Hocking (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.20 ( 7.35-19.25) 99% in, 87% home, 31% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 31%
Lose: 10.45 ( 6.50-17.00) 95% in, 52% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 9W: 16.60 (14.55-19.25) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(55%) 8W: 13.45 (10.60-17.20) 100% in, 99% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 34%
(30%) 7W: 10.85 ( 8.30-14.80) 99% in, 65% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Conotton Valley (2-2) 11%
( 5%) 6W: 9.20 ( 7.25-13.25) 92% in, 21% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 12%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WWWWWW: 16.60 (14.55-19.25) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 2%) WWWLWW: 13.75 (11.50-15.50) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 62%
(52%) WWWWLW: 13.45 (10.60-16.55) 100% in, 99% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 33%
( 3%) LWWWLW: 11.85 (10.15-13.85) 100% in, 87% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 11%
(25%) WWWLLW: 10.70 ( 8.30-13.95) 99% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 11%
( 4%) LWWLLW: 9.15 ( 7.25-11.35) 91% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 12%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 81.9, #478, D7 #33), likely in, 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 83.4, #475, D7 #38), likely in, 81% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 79.5, #507, D7 #39), 81% (bubble if 6-4), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 73.5, #543, D7 #47), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 42% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 80.1, #518, D7 #40), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 6-4), 31% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 77.4