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Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#55 of 105 in Division 7
#12 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #72 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 38 (4%)
08/28 A #638 Fairfield Christian (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (73%)
09/04 A #601 Vinton County (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/11 H #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 24 (92%)
09/18 A #559 Shenandoah (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 A #656 Southern (Racine) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/02 H #695 Belpre (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 A #471 Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/16 H #361 Waterford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/23 H #700 Federal Hocking (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 46 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
9.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
57% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.15 ( 3.95-26.00) 97% in, 85% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 7.90 ( 0.00-23.05) 55% in, 28% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.05 (16.85-26.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 16.75 (11.35-23.05) 100% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 85%
(10%) 8W: 13.75 ( 8.45-20.35) 99% in, 94% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 40%
(17%) 7W: 11.25 ( 6.40-17.05) 98% in, 64% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 8%
(19%) 6W: 9.05 ( 4.60-14.80) 83% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 7%
(18%) 5W: 7.05 ( 3.10-13.45) 44% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 5.20 ( 1.90-10.25) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
(10%) 3W: 3.50 ( 1.15- 7.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.10 ( 0.80- 4.85) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.25) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
South Gallia (0-0) 6%
Conotton Valley (0-0) 6%
Fisher Catholic (0-0) 6%
Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Toronto (0-0) 14%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
Danville (0-0) 9%
Symmes Valley (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 20.6, #689, D7 #96), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 60.0