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Rankings
#92 of 107 in Division 7
#22 of 25 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #58 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D7 (-582 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 54-7 A #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 9 (34%), perf. rating 17
08/29 L 36-0 H #589 South Point (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 19 (17%), perf. rating 8
09/05 L 52-14 A #587 Miller (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 9
09/12 W 51-0 H #708 Green (FF) (0-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 41
09/19 A #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/26 A #478 Trimble (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/03 H #364 Waterford (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/10 H #697 Belpre (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/17 A #706 Federal Hocking (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/24 H #523 Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.17 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Lose: 2.17 ( 0.35- 8.79) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 5.07 ( 4.15- 7.32) out, proj. out
(74%) 3W: 2.17 ( 2.17- 5.03) out, proj. out
(20%) 2W: 1.06 ( 1.06- 3.56) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 0.76) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLWWW: 4.87 ( 4.15- 5.94) out
(73%) LLLWWL: 2.17 ( 2.17- 3.29) out
( 3%) LLLWLL: 1.46 ( 1.46- 2.18) out
(17%) LLLLWL: 1.06 ( 1.06- 2.84) out
( 2%) LLLLLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 0.76) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 30.0, #684, D7 #92), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 30.3, #683, D7 #93), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 32.6, #675, D7 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 40.7, #668, D7 #83), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 56.8, #618, D7 #63), 42% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 59.3