Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#66 of 105 in Division 5
#14 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #86 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D5 (-123 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 21-13 A #504 Eastern (Reedsville) (2-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 93
08/28 L 55-14 A #293 Symmes Valley (3-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 51
09/04 W 39-7 H #581 Liberty Union (0-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 109
09/11 A #520 Vinton County (2-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/18 H #664 River Valley (Bidwell) (1-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 38 (99%)
09/25 A #208 Nelsonville-York (3-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/02 H #288 Athens (2-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/09 H #598 Minford (1-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 H #649 Wellston (1-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 A #608 Alexander (2-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
82% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.50 ( 5.95-23.75) 99% in, 65% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (0-3) 12%
Lose: 9.20 ( 2.85-19.70) 57% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#2-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.75 (18.90-23.75) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 94%
( 8%) 8W: 16.55 (14.25-20.90) 100% in, 99% home, 28% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 28%
(44%) 7W: 12.50 (10.20-17.60) 99% in, 67% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (0-3) 13%
(33%) 6W: 9.70 ( 7.30-13.85) 76% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 15%
(10%) 5W: 7.80 ( 5.15-11.60) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 18%
( 3%) 4W: 5.95 ( 4.30- 8.55) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWWW: 20.75 (18.90-23.75) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 94%
( 7%) WWLWWWW: 16.55 (14.35-19.45) 100% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 27%
(41%) WWLLWWW: 12.45 (10.20-16.45) 99% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (0-3) 13%
( 3%) WWLLLWW: 10.80 ( 8.95-13.00) 98% in, 28% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Ridgewood (2-1) 15%
( 3%) WWLLWWL: 10.15 ( 7.95-12.75) 92% in, 13% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 17%
(26%) LWLLWWW: 9.55 ( 7.30-12.35) 70% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 16%
( 4%) LWLLWWL: 7.50 ( 5.15-10.35) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 20%
( 2%) LWLLLWL: 5.90 ( 4.30- 8.20) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out), Fairland (2-1) 36%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 83.3, #474, D5 #66), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 66.0, #580, D5 #86), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 80.2, #493, D5 #72), 52% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 70.7, #553, D5 #84), 31% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 72.1